NFC South · 2011
Atlanta Falcons
Record
10-6
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.090est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.046
- Success rate43.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.130
- EPA / rush-0.087
- Explosive rate9.6%
- CPOE+1.80
- Third-down rate45.0%
- Red-zone TD rate57.5%
- Points / drive1.86
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.032
- Success rate allowed41.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.040
- EPA / rush allowed-0.165
- Explosive rate allowed9.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.8%
- Sack rate5.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.77
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.046 · 71th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.032 · 40th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-7-2
+0.7 vs line
Home
4-2-2
Away
3-5
As favorite
5-4-2
As dog
2-3
O/U
7-9
+1.2 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 26 | 6'4" 217 | 3 | Boston College | ACT |
| 4 | John Parker Wilson | QB | 27 | 6'2" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 8 | Chris Redman | QB | 34 | 6'3" 225 | 11 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julio Jones | WR | 22 | 6'3" 220 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 12 | Kevin Cone | WR | 23 | 6'2" 216 | R | — | ACT |
| 14 | Eric Weems | WR | 26 | 5'9" 195 | 4 | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 22 | Jacquizz Rodgers | RB | 21 | 5'6" 196 | R | Oregon State | ACT |
| 33 | Michael Turner | RB | 29 | 5'10" 247 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Antone Smith | RB | 27 | 5'9" 192 | 2 | Florida State | ACT |
| 42 | Mike Cox | FB | 26 | 6'0" 252 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Jason Snelling | RB | 29 | 5'11" 234 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Kerry Meier | WR | 26 | 6'2" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Michael Palmer | TE | 23 | 6'5" 252 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Harry Douglas | WR | 28 | 6'0" 183 | 3 | Louisville | ACT |
| 84 | Roddy White | WR | 31 | 6'0" 211 | 6 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 88 | Tony Gonzalez | TE | 35 | 6'5" 247 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Reggie Kelly | TE | 34 | 6'4" 257 | 12 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Joe Hawley | C | 24 | 6'3" 302 | 1 | Nevada-Las Vegas | ACT |
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 34 | 6'1" 296 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Justin Blalock | G | 29 | 6'4" 326 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Brett Romberg | C | 33 | 6'2" 293 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Sam Baker | T | 26 | 6'5" 301 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Kirk Chambers | T | 32 | 6'7" 315 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Will Svitek | T | 29 | 6'6" 308 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Garrett Reynolds | G | 24 | 6'7" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tyson Clabo | T | 31 | 6'6" 329 | 7 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Curtis Lofton | MLB | 25 | 6'0" 241 | 3 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 51 | Robert James | LB | 29 | 5'11" 224 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Akeem Dent | MLB | 25 | 6'1" 239 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 54 | Stephen Nicholas | OLB | 28 | 6'3" 236 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 55 | John Abraham | DE | 33 | 6'4" 263 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Sean Weatherspoon | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 244 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 59 | Spencer Adkins | OLB | 24 | 5'11" 236 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kroy Biermann | DE | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Lawrence Sidbury | DE | 25 | 6'3" 261 | 2 | Richmond | ACT |
| 91 | Corey Peters | DT | 23 | 6'3" 305 | 1 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 93 | Ray Edwards | DE | 26 | 6'5" 268 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Peria Jerry | DT | 27 | 6'2" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jonathan Babineaux | DT | 31 | 6'2" 300 | 6 | Iowa | ACT |
| 98 | Cliff Matthews | DE | 22 | 6'4" 268 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Vance Walker | DT | 24 | 6'2" 304 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Brent Grimes | CB | 28 | 5'10" 183 | 5 | Shippensburg | ACT |
| 21 | Christopher Owens | CB | 26 | 5'9" 180 | 2 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 23 | Dunta Robinson | CB | 29 | 5'10" 183 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Dominique Franks | CB | 25 | 6'0" 197 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | William Moore | SS | 26 | 6'0" 221 | 2 | Missouri | ACT |
| 28 | Thomas DeCoud | FS | 26 | 6'2" 192 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Darrin Walls | CB | 23 | 6'0" 190 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | SS | 29 | 5'10" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Shann Schillinger | FS | 25 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 36 | 5'9" 203 | 9 | Baylor | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Bosher | P | 25 | 6'0" 208 | R | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 82 | Joe Zelenka | LS | 35 | 6'3" 266 | 12 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bears | L 12-30 | -1 | -0.237 |
| 2 | vs Eagles | W 35-31 | +2.5 | +0.052 |
| 3 | @ Buccaneers | L 13-16 | +1 | -0.109 |
| 4 | @ Seahawks | W 30-28 | -6 | +0.211 |
| 5 | vs Packers | L 14-25 | +6 | -0.086 |
| 6 | vs Panthers | W 31-17 | -3.5 | +0.281 |
| 7 | @ Lions | W 23-16 | +4.5 | -0.028 |
| 9 | @ Colts | W 31-7 | -6.5 | +0.148 |
| 10 | vs Saints | L 23-26 | -1 | +0.019 |
| 11 | vs Titans | W 23-17 | -6 | +0.132 |
| 12 | vs Vikings | W 24-14 | -10 | +0.135 |
| 13 | @ Texans | L 10-17 | -1 | -0.122 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | W 31-23 | -3 | +0.178 |
| 15 | vs Jaguars | W 41-14 | -14 | +0.094 |
| 16 | @ Saints | L 16-45 | +7 | -0.070 |
| 17 | vs Buccaneers | W 45-24 | -10 | +0.146 |
| WC | @ Giants | L 2-24 | +3 | -0.213 |