Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

AFC North · 2011

Baltimore Ravens

Record

12-4

Seed

#2

Net EPA

+0.136est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play+0.041
  • Success rate41.6%
  • EPA / dropback+0.110
  • EPA / rush-0.057
  • Explosive rate8.2%
  • CPOE-1.68
  • Third-down rate42.5%
  • Red-zone TD rate60.0%
  • Points / drive1.79
  • Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed-0.126
  • Success rate allowed38.1%
  • EPA / dropback allowed-0.111
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.149
  • Explosive rate allowed7.0%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)20.9%
  • Sack rate7.4%
  • Points / drive allowed1.24
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.041 · 67th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.126 · 2th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-7-1

+0.9 vs line

Home

4-3-1

Away

4-4

As favorite

7-7-1

As dog

1-0

O/U

9-7

+0.0 vs total

Roster

Roster

No roster published for 2011

Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.

Schedule

18 games

Baltimore Ravens schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs SteelersW 35-7
2@ TitansL 13-26
3@ RamsW 37-7
4vs JetsW 34-17
6vs TexansW 29-14
7@ JaguarsL 7-12
8vs CardinalsW 30-27
9@ SteelersW 23-20
10@ SeahawksL 17-22
11vs BengalsW 31-24
12vs 49ersW 16-6
13@ BrownsW 24-10
14vs ColtsW 24-10
15@ ChargersL 14-34
16vs BrownsW 20-14
17@ BengalsW 24-16
DIVvs TexansW 20-13
CON@ PatriotsL 20-23