NFC South · 2005
Carolina Panthers
Record
11-5
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.166est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.011
- Success rate41.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.125
- EPA / rush-0.116
- Explosive rate7.4%
- Third-down rate43.3%
- Red-zone TD rate63.9%
- Points / drive1.90
- Turnover rate2.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.118
- Success rate allowed37.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.056
- EPA / rush allowed-0.211
- Explosive rate allowed6.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.1%
- Sack rate7.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.24
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.011 · 64th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.118 · 5th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-5-2
+4.4 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
6-5-2
As dog
1-0
O/U
7-8-1
+0.2 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stefan LeFors | QB | 24 | 6'0" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 16 | Chris Weinke | QB | 33 | 6'4" 232 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Jake Delhomme | QB | 30 | 6'2" 215 | 8 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Efrem Hill | WR | 22 | 6'0" 179 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Drew Carter | WR | 25 | 6'3" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Jamal Robertson | RB | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Rod Smart | RB | 28 | 5'11" 201 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Nick Goings | RB | 27 | 6'0" 225 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Brad Hoover | FB | 30 | 6'0" 245 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Casey Cramer | TE | 23 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Ricky Proehl | WR | 37 | 6'0" 190 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Mike Seidman | TE | 24 | 6'4" 261 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Keary Colbert | WR | 23 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Michael Gaines | TE | 25 | 6'3" 280 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Kris Mangum | TE | 32 | 6'4" 252 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Karl Hankton | WR | 35 | 6'2" 202 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Steve Smith | WR | 26 | 5'9" 185 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Jeff Mitchell | C | 31 | 6'4" 300 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Dave Kadela | T | 27 | 6'6" 304 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Geoff Hangartner | G | 23 | 6'5" 301 | R | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Wahle | G | 28 | 6'6" 304 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Jordan Gross | T | 25 | 6'4" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Travelle Wharton | T | 24 | 6'4" 312 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Evan Mathis | G | 25 | 6'5" 304 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 76 | Tutan Reyes | G | 29 | 6'3" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Todd Fordham | T | 33 | 6'5" 319 | 8 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Vinny Ciurciu | MLB | 25 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Chris Draft | OLB | 29 | 5'11" 232 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Brandon Short | OLB | 28 | 6'3" 253 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Will Witherspoon | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 231 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Dan Morgan | MLB | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Sean Tufts | LB | 23 | 6'3" 236 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Jordan Carstens | DT | 24 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Julius Peppers | DE | 25 | 6'7" 283 | 3 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 92 | Jovan Haye | DE | 23 | 6'2" 290 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Mike Rucker | DE | 30 | 6'5" 275 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Kindal Moorehead | DT | 28 | 6'2" 285 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Al Wallace | DE | 31 | 6'5" 275 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Kemp Rasmussen | DE | 26 | 6'3" 265 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Atiyyah Ellison | DT | 25 | 6'4" 303 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Brentson Buckner | DT | 35 | 6'2" 310 | 11 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Chris Gamble | CB | 22 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Dante Wesley | CB | 26 | 6'0" 211 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Ken Lucas | CB | 26 | 6'0" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Ricky Manning | CB | 26 | 5'8" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Marlon McCree | SS | 28 | 5'11" 202 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mike Minter | FS | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Billy Parker | DB | 24 | 6'1" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 38 | Garnell Wilds | CB | 24 | 5'11" 196 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Thomas Davis | SS | 22 | 6'0" 231 | R | Georgia | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | John Kasay | K | 37 | 5'10" 198 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Jason Baker | P | 27 | 6'2" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Jason Kyle | LS | 33 | 6'3" 242 | 10 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saints | L 20-23 | -6.5 | +0.069 |
| 2 | vs Patriots | W 27-17 | +3 | -0.168 |
| 3 | @ Dolphins | L 24-27 | -3.5 | +0.047 |
| 4 | vs Packers | W 32-29 | -3 | +0.102 |
| 5 | @ Cardinals | W 24-20 | -3 | -0.018 |
| 6 | @ Lions | W 21-20 | +0 | -0.331 |
| 8 | vs Vikings | W 38-13 | -8 | +0.343 |
| 9 | @ Buccaneers | W 34-14 | +0 | +0.168 |
| 10 | vs Jets | W 30-3 | -9.5 | -0.094 |
| 11 | @ Bears | L 3-13 | -3 | -0.249 |
| 12 | @ Bills | W 13-9 | -4 | +0.130 |
| 13 | vs Falcons | W 24-6 | -3 | -0.006 |
| 14 | vs Buccaneers | L 10-20 | -5.5 | -0.185 |
| 15 | @ Saints | W 27-10 | -7 | +0.055 |
| 16 | vs Cowboys | L 20-24 | -5.5 | -0.105 |
| 17 | @ Falcons | W 44-11 | -3.5 | +0.363 |
| WC | @ Giants | W 23-0 | +3 | +0.145 |
| DIV | @ Bears | W 29-21 | +3 | +0.188 |
| CON | @ Seahawks | L 14-34 | +5.5 | -0.376 |