AFC West · 2013
Denver Broncos
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.218est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.205
- Success rate50.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.346
- EPA / rush-0.029
- Explosive rate9.8%
- CPOE+6.21
- Third-down rate47.1%
- Red-zone TD rate81.1%
- Points / drive2.85
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.006
- Success rate allowed41.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.086
- EPA / rush allowed-0.176
- Explosive rate allowed8.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.7%
- Sack rate5.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.68
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.205 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.006 · 40th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+3.6 vs line
Home
5-2-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
10-4-1
As dog
0-1
O/U
11-5
+9.7 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zac Dysert | QB | 23 | 6'3" 221 | R | Miami (Ohio) | ACT |
| 17 | Brock Osweiler | QB | 24 | 6'8" 240 | 1 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 37 | 6'5" 230 | 15 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trindon Holliday | WR | 27 | 5'5" 170 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Andre Caldwell | WR | 28 | 6'0" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Ronnie Hillman | RB | 23 | 5'10" 195 | 1 | San Diego State | ACT |
| 22 | C.J. Anderson | RB | 22 | 5'8" 224 | R | California | ACT |
| 27 | Knowshon Moreno | RB | 26 | 5'11" 220 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Montee Ball | RB | 24 | 5'10" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Julius Thomas | TE | 25 | 6'5" 250 | 2 | Portland State | ACT |
| 81 | Joel Dreessen | TE | 31 | 6'4" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 32 | 5'9" 185 | 9 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Jacob Tamme | TE | 28 | 6'3" 230 | 5 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 85 | Virgil Green | TE | 25 | 6'5" 255 | 2 | Nevada | ACT |
| 87 | Eric Decker | WR | 26 | 6'3" 214 | 3 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 88 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 27 | 6'3" 229 | 3 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Steve Vallos | C | 31 | 6'3" 310 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Louis Vasquez | G | 26 | 6'5" 335 | 4 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 66 | Manuel Ramirez | C | 30 | 6'3" 320 | 6 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 68 | Zane Beadles | G | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 70 | Vinston Painter | T | 25 | 6'6" 309 | R | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 73 | Chris Kuper | G | 32 | 6'4" 303 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Orlando Franklin | T | 27 | 6'7" 320 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 75 | Chris Clark | T | 29 | 6'5" 305 | 5 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 77 | Winston Justice | T | 30 | 6'6" 317 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Sione Fua | G | 25 | 6'1" 310 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 98 | Sione Fua | G | 25 | 6'1" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Paris Lenon | MLB | 37 | 6'2" 240 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Wesley Woodyard | MLB | 27 | 6'0" 233 | 5 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 53 | Steven Johnson | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 237 | 1 | Kansas | ACT |
| 54 | Brandon Marshall | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 238 | 1 | Nevada | ACT |
| 56 | Nate Irving | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jeremy Mincey | DE | 31 | 6'4" 265 | 7 | Florida | ACT |
| 57 | Jeremy Mincey | DE | 31 | 6'4" 265 | 7 | Florida | TRD |
| 59 | Danny Trevathan | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 240 | 1 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 90 | Shaun Phillips | OLB | 32 | 6'3" 255 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Robert Ayers | DE | 29 | 6'3" 274 | 4 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 92 | Sylvester Williams | NT | 26 | 6'2" 313 | R | North Carolina | ACT |
| 94 | Terrance Knighton | NT | 27 | 6'3" 335 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Mitch Unrein | DT | 26 | 6'4" 306 | 3 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 97 | Malik Jackson | DE | 23 | 6'5" 293 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
Secondary13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mike Adams | SS | 32 | 5'11" 200 | 9 | Delaware | ACT |
| 23 | Quentin Jammer | CB | 34 | 6'0" 204 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Champ Bailey | CB | 35 | 6'0" 192 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Michael Huff | FS | 30 | 6'0" 211 | 7 | — | TRD |
| 29 | Michael Huff | FS | 30 | 6'0" 211 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 30 | David Bruton | FS | 26 | 6'2" 217 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Omar Bolden | FS | 26 | 5'10" 195 | 1 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 32 | Tony Carter | CB | 27 | 5'9" 175 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Duke Ihenacho | SS | 24 | 6'1" 207 | 1 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 34 | Marquice Cole | CB | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | — | TRD |
| 34 | Marquice Cole | CB | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Kayvon Webster | CB | 22 | 5'11" 198 | R | South Florida | ACT |
| 45 | Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie | CB | 27 | 6'2" 193 | 5 | Tennessee State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Britton Colquitt | P | 28 | 6'3" 205 | 4 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 29 | 5'10" 195 | 7 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 46 | Aaron Brewer | LS | 23 | 6'5" 230 | 1 | San Diego State | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ravens | W 49-27 | -7.5 | +0.326 |
| 2 | @ Giants | W 41-23 | -3.5 | +0.156 |
| 3 | vs Raiders | W 37-21 | -16 | +0.247 |
| 4 | vs Eagles | W 52-20 | -10.5 | +0.359 |
| 5 | @ Cowboys | W 51-48 | -7.5 | +0.385 |
| 6 | vs Jaguars | W 35-19 | -27 | +0.120 |
| 7 | @ Colts | L 33-39 | -6 | +0.069 |
| 8 | vs Commanders | W 45-21 | -11 | +0.033 |
| 10 | @ Chargers | W 28-20 | -7 | +0.211 |
| 11 | vs Chiefs | W 27-17 | -7.5 | +0.055 |
| 12 | @ Patriots | L 31-34 | +1 | -0.008 |
| 13 | @ Chiefs | W 35-28 | -5 | +0.412 |
| 14 | vs Titans | W 51-28 | -13 | +0.370 |
| 15 | vs Chargers | L 20-27 | -10 | +0.105 |
| 16 | @ Texans | W 37-13 | -9 | +0.195 |
| 17 | @ Raiders | W 34-14 | -10 | +0.273 |
| DIV | vs Chargers | W 24-17 | -8 | +0.133 |
| CON | vs Patriots | W 26-16 | -5 | +0.256 |
| SB | vs Seahawks | L 8-43 | -1.5 | -0.295 |