AFC West · 2015
Denver Broncos
Record
12-4
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.019est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.070
- Success rate40.5%
- EPA / dropback-0.041
- EPA / rush-0.118
- Explosive rate8.0%
- CPOE-1.92
- Third-down rate35.2%
- Red-zone TD rate51.4%
- Points / drive1.47
- Turnover rate2.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.130
- Success rate allowed37.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.101
- EPA / rush allowed-0.183
- Explosive rate allowed5.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)24.7%
- Sack rate7.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.16
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.070 · 22th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.130 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+1.0 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
5-3
As favorite
4-8
As dog
4-0
O/U
6-9-1
-2.8 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trevor Siemian | QB | 25 | 6'3" 220 | R | Northwestern | ACT |
| 17 | Brock Osweiler | QB | 26 | 6'8" 240 | 3 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 39 | 6'5" 230 | 17 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | 28 | 5'11" 180 | 5 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 11 | Jordan Norwood | WR | 30 | 5'11" 180 | 6 | Penn State | ACT |
| 12 | Andre Caldwell | WR | 30 | 6'0" 200 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Cody Latimer | WR | 24 | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Indiana | ACT |
| 16 | Bennie Fowler | WR | 24 | 6'1" 212 | 1 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 22 | C.J. Anderson | RB | 24 | 5'8" 224 | 2 | California | ACT |
| 23 | Ronnie Hillman | RB | 25 | 5'10" 195 | 3 | San Diego State | ACT |
| 40 | Juwan Thompson | RB | 23 | 5'11" 225 | 1 | Duke | ACT |
| 80 | Vernon Davis | TE | 31 | 6'3" 250 | 9 | Maryland | ACT |
| 80 | Vernon Davis | TE | 31 | 6'3" 250 | 9 | Maryland | TRC |
| 81 | Owen Daniels | TE | 34 | 6'3" 245 | 9 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 85 | Virgil Green | TE | 27 | 6'5" 255 | 4 | Nevada | ACT |
| 88 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 29 | 6'3" 229 | 5 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | James Ferentz | C | 26 | 6'2" 285 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 61 | Matt Paradis | C | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 1 | Boise State | ACT |
| 65 | Louis Vasquez | G | 28 | 6'5" 335 | 6 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 67 | Sam Brenner | C | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 67 | Sam Brenner | C | 25 | 6'2" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Ryan Harris | T | 30 | 6'5" 302 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Evan Mathis | G | 35 | 6'5" 301 | 10 | Alabama | ACT |
| 70 | Robert Myers | G | 25 | 6'5" 326 | R | Tennessee State | TRD |
| 70 | Robert Myers | G | 25 | 6'5" 326 | R | Tennessee State | ACT |
| 73 | Max Garcia | G | 25 | 6'4" 309 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 76 | Tyler Polumbus | T | 30 | 6'8" 308 | 7 | Colorado | ACT |
| 76 | Tyler Polumbus | T | 30 | 6'8" 308 | 7 | Colorado | TRC |
| 79 | Michael Schofield | T | 26 | 6'6" 301 | 1 | Michigan | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Shaquil Barrett | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 51 | Todd Davis | ILB | 23 | 6'1" 230 | 1 | Sacramento State | ACT |
| 52 | Corey Nelson | ILB | 23 | 6'1" 226 | 1 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 54 | Brandon Marshall | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 250 | 3 | Nevada | ACT |
| 55 | Lerentee McCray | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 249 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 56 | Shane Ray | OLB | 22 | 6'3" 245 | R | Missouri | ACT |
| 58 | Von Miller | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 250 | 4 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 59 | Danny Trevathan | ILB | 25 | 6'1" 240 | 3 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 90 | Antonio Smith | DE | 35 | 6'3" 290 | 11 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 92 | Sylvester Williams | NT | 28 | 6'2" 313 | 2 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 94 | DeMarcus Ware | OLB | 33 | 6'4" 258 | 10 | Troy | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Wolfe | DE | 25 | 6'5" 285 | 3 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 96 | Vance Walker | DE | 28 | 6'2" 305 | 6 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 97 | Malik Jackson | DE | 25 | 6'5" 293 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 98 | Darius Kilgo | NT | 25 | 6'3" 319 | R | Maryland | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Josh Bush | SS | 26 | 5'11" 205 | 3 | Wake Forest | TRD |
| 20 | Josh Bush | SS | 26 | 5'11" 205 | 3 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 21 | Aqib Talib | CB | 29 | 6'1" 205 | 7 | Kansas | ACT |
| 25 | Chris Harris | CB | 26 | 5'10" 199 | 4 | Kansas | ACT |
| 26 | Darian Stewart | FS | 27 | 5'11" 214 | 5 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 29 | Bradley Roby | CB | 23 | 5'11" 194 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 33 | Shiloh Keo | SS | 29 | 5'11" 208 | 4 | Idaho | ACT |
| 36 | Kayvon Webster | CB | 24 | 5'11" 198 | 2 | South Florida | ACT |
| 37 | Lorenzo Doss | CB | 21 | 5'10" 187 | R | Tulane | ACT |
| 39 | Taurean Nixon | DB | 24 | 5'10" 187 | R | Tulane | ACT |
| 43 | T.J. Ward | SS | 30 | 5'10" 200 | 5 | Oregon | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Britton Colquitt | P | 30 | 6'3" 205 | 6 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 8 | Brandon McManus | K | 24 | 6'3" 201 | 2 | Temple | ACT |
| 46 | Aaron Brewer | LS | 25 | 6'5" 230 | 3 | San Diego State | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ravens | W 19-13 | -4.5 | -0.227 |
| 2 | @ Chiefs | W 31-24 | +3 | -0.149 |
| 3 | @ Lions | W 24-12 | -3 | +0.031 |
| 4 | vs Vikings | W 23-20 | -7 | -0.004 |
| 5 | @ Raiders | W 16-10 | -5 | -0.185 |
| 6 | @ Browns | W 26-23 | -3.5 | -0.156 |
| 8 | vs Packers | W 29-10 | +2.5 | +0.225 |
| 9 | @ Colts | L 24-27 | -3.5 | +0.006 |
| 10 | vs Chiefs | L 13-29 | -4 | -0.280 |
| 11 | @ Bears | W 17-15 | -2.5 | +0.065 |
| 12 | vs Patriots | W 30-24 | +2.5 | +0.018 |
| 13 | @ Chargers | W 17-3 | -6 | -0.041 |
| 14 | vs Raiders | L 12-15 | -6 | -0.220 |
| 15 | @ Steelers | L 27-34 | +7.5 | -0.082 |
| 16 | vs Bengals | W 20-17 | -3.5 | +0.059 |
| 17 | vs Chargers | W 27-20 | -10 | -0.096 |
| DIV | vs Steelers | W 23-16 | -7 | -0.149 |
| CON | vs Patriots | W 20-18 | +2.5 | -0.193 |
| SB | vs Panthers | W 24-10 | +4.5 | -0.358 |