AFC West · 2025
Denver Broncos
Record
14-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.102est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.036
- Success rate43.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.097
- EPA / rush-0.069
- Explosive rate8.1%
- CPOE-1.38
- Third-down rate42.4%
- Red-zone TD rate62.1%
- Points / drive2.10
- Turnover rate1.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.058
- Success rate allowed37.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.035
- EPA / rush allowed-0.105
- Explosive rate allowed5.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)29.2%
- Sack rate9.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.69
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.036 · 55th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.058 · 23th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-10
+0.6 vs line
Home
5-4
Away
2-6
As favorite
3-9
As dog
4-1
O/U
7-10
-1.1 vs total
Roster
83 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sam Ehlinger | QB | 28 | 6'2" 235 | 4 | Texas | ACT |
| 5 | Ben DiNucci | QB | 30 | 6'3" 210 | 5 | James Madison | DEV |
| 8 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | 29 | 6'3" 214 | 6 | Auburn; McLennan CC; Baylor | ACT |
| 10 | Bo Nix | QB | 25 | 6'2" 217 | 1 | Oregon; Auburn | RES |
Backs & receivers25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evan Engram | TE | 32 | 6'3" 240 | 8 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 11 | Troy Franklin | WR | 22 | 6'3" 187 | 1 | Oregon | INA |
| 12 | RJ Harvey | RB | 24 | 5'9" 205 | R | UCF; Virginia | ACT |
| 13 | Pat Bryant | WR | 24 | 6'3" 200 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 31 | 6'4" 216 | 7 | SMU | ACT |
| 17 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | 27 | 6'4" 225 | 6 | Texas | ACT |
| 19 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 23 | 5'11" 182 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 20 | Michael Burton | RB | 33 | 5'11" 240 | 10 | Rutgers | RES |
| 25 | Cody Schrader | RB | 27 | 5'9" 214 | 1 | Missouri; Truman State University | DEV |
| 27 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | 28 | 5'10" 214 | 5 | Ohio State | RES |
| 28 | Tyler Badie | RB | 26 | 5'8" 194 | 3 | Missouri | ACT |
| 38 | Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 26 | 5'7" 183 | 2 | Youngstown State | ACT |
| 39 | Kyrese Rowan | WR | 24 | 5'10" 185 | R | Utah State; Utah | DEV |
| 42 | Deuce Vaughn | RB | 25 | 5'5" 176 | 2 | Kansas State | DEV |
| 45 | Nate Adkins | TE | 26 | 6'3" 252 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 46 | Adam Prentice | RB | 28 | 6'0" 245 | 4 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 81 | Elijah Moore | WR | 25 | 5'10" 184 | 4 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 82 | Adam Trautman | TE | 28 | 6'5" 253 | 5 | Dayton | ACT |
| 83 | Michael Bandy | WR | 29 | 5'10" 190 | 4 | San Diego | INA |
| 84 | Caleb Lohner | TE | 25 | 6'7" 250 | R | Utah; Baylor | DEV |
| 85 | Lucas Krull | TE | 27 | 6'6" 260 | 3 | Pittsburgh | RES |
| 86 | Patrick Murtagh | TE | 25 | 6'6" 220 | 1 | — | DEV |
| 87 | A.T. Perry | WR | 27 | 6'5" 205 | 2 | Wake Forest | DEV |
| 89 | Marcedes Lewis | TE | 41 | 6'6" 267 | 19 | UCLA | DEV |
| 89 | Brandon Johnson | WR | 27 | 6'2" 186 | 3 | UCF; Tennessee | DEV |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Alex Forsyth | OL | 26 | 6'4" 312 | 2 | Oregon | INA |
| 60 | Luke Wattenberg | OL | 29 | 6'5" 300 | 3 | Washington | ACT |
| 61 | Sam Mustipher | OL | 29 | 6'2" 311 | 6 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 63 | Alex Palczewski | OL | 26 | 6'6" 315 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 66 | Nick Gargiulo | OL | 25 | 6'5" 327 | 1 | South Carolina; Yale | RES |
| 67 | Michael Deiter | OL | 30 | 6'6" 310 | 6 | Wisconsin | CUT |
| 69 | Mike McGlinchey | OL | 30 | 6'8" 315 | 7 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | OL | 33 | 6'5" 300 | 8 | Utah; Snow | ACT |
| 73 | Frank Crum | OL | 25 | 6'7" 315 | 1 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 74 | Ben Powers | OL | 30 | 6'4" 310 | 6 | Oklahoma; Butler County JC | ACT |
| 75 | Geron Christian | OL | 30 | 6'5" 315 | 7 | Louisville | DEV |
| 76 | Calvin Throckmorton | OL | 29 | 6'5" 318 | 5 | Oregon | DEV |
| 77 | Quinn Meinerz | OL | 28 | 6'3" 320 | 4 | Wisconsin-Whitewater | ACT |
| 79 | Matt Peart | OL | 28 | 6'7" 303 | 5 | Connecticut | RES |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jonathon Cooper | LB | 27 | 6'4" 257 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 15 | Nik Bonitto | LB | 27 | 6'3" 238 | 3 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 40 | Justin Strnad | LB | 29 | 6'3" 235 | 5 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 41 | Drew Sanders | LB | 26 | 6'5" 233 | 2 | Arkansas; Alabama | RES |
| 47 | Karene Reid | LB | 25 | 6'0" 226 | R | Utah | INA |
| 49 | Alex Singleton | LB | 33 | 6'2" 242 | 10 | Montana State | ACT |
| 51 | Que Robinson | LB | 24 | 6'4" 241 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 52 | Jonah Elliss | LB | 22 | 6'2" 246 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 53 | Garrett Nelson | DL | 25 | 6'4" 245 | 2 | Nebraska | CUT |
| 55 | Jordan Turner | LB | 25 | 6'1" 231 | R | Michigan State; Wisconsin | ACT |
| 56 | Levelle Bailey | LB | 26 | 6'2" 225 | 1 | Fresno State; Sacramento State | DEV |
| 57 | Dre Greenlaw | LB | 28 | 6'0" 225 | 6 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 59 | Johnny Walker Jr. | DL | 25 | 6'3" 246 | R | Missouri | RES |
| 90 | Jordan Miller | DL | 25 | 6'3" 307 | 1 | SMU; Miami | DEV |
| 91 | Matt Henningsen | DL | 26 | 6'3" 291 | 3 | Wisconsin | RES |
| 92 | Dondrea Tillman | LB | 27 | 6'4" 247 | 5 | Indiana PA, University of | ACT |
| 93 | D.J. Jones | DL | 30 | 6'0" 321 | 8 | Mississippi; East Mississippi JC | ACT |
| 94 | Jordan Jackson | DL | 27 | 6'5" 285 | 3 | Air Force | INA |
| 95 | Sai'vion Jones | DL | 22 | 6'5" 289 | R | LSU | INA |
| 96 | Eyioma Uwazurike | DL | 27 | 6'6" 285 | 3 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 97 | Malcolm Roach | DL | 27 | 6'3" 290 | 5 | Texas | ACT |
| 98 | John Franklin-Myers | DL | 30 | 6'4" 288 | 7 | Stephen F. Austin State | ACT |
| 99 | Zach Allen | DL | 28 | 6'4" 281 | 6 | Boston College | ACT |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pat Surtain II | DB | 25 | 6'2" 203 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
| 6 | P.J. Locke | DB | 28 | 5'10" 202 | 6 | Texas | ACT |
| 9 | Talanoa Hufanga | DB | 25 | 6'0" 215 | 4 | USC | ACT |
| 21 | Riley Moss | DB | 25 | 6'0" 193 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 22 | Brandon Jones | DB | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 5 | Texas | RES |
| 23 | Jahdae Barron | DB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 26 | Devon Key | DB | 29 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 29 | Ja'Quan McMillian | DB | 25 | 5'10" 183 | 3 | East Carolina | ACT |
| 30 | Tanner McCalister | DB | 25 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | Ohio State; Oklahoma State | DEV |
| 31 | Kris Abrams-Draine | DB | 25 | 5'11" 178 | 1 | Missouri | ACT |
| 32 | Delarrin Turner-Yell | DB | 27 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | Oklahoma | DEV |
| 33 | Jaden Robinson | DB | 26 | 6'0" 190 | R | Oregon State | DEV |
| 34 | JL Skinner | DB | 24 | 6'4" 220 | 2 | Boise State | INA |
| 35 | Reese Taylor | DB | 26 | 5'9" 190 | 2 | Purdue | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wil Lutz | K | 31 | 5'11" 184 | 9 | Georgia State | ACT |
| 16 | Jeremy Crawshaw | P | 24 | 6'3" 205 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 48 | Mitchell Fraboni | LS | 30 | 6'2" 223 | 4 | Arizona State | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Titans | W 20-12 | -8.5 | -0.146 |
| 2 | @ Colts | L 28-29 | -2.5 | +0.229 |
| 3 | @ Chargers | L 20-23 | +2.5 | -0.123 |
| 4 | vs Bengals | W 28-3 | -7.5 | +0.206 |
| 5 | @ Eagles | W 21-17 | +3.5 | +0.033 |
| 6 | @ Jets | W 13-11 | -7.5 | -0.148 |
| 7 | vs Giants | W 33-32 | -7.5 | +0.078 |
| 8 | vs Cowboys | W 44-24 | -3.5 | +0.396 |
| 9 | @ Texans | W 18-15 | +1.5 | -0.107 |
| 10 | vs Raiders | W 10-7 | -9.5 | -0.305 |
| 11 | vs Chiefs | W 22-19 | +3.5 | +0.015 |
| 13 | @ Commanders | W 27-26 | -6.5 | +0.152 |
| 14 | @ Raiders | W 24-17 | -8.5 | +0.146 |
| 15 | vs Packers | W 34-26 | +1.5 | +0.184 |
| 16 | vs Jaguars | L 20-34 | -3.5 | -0.017 |
| 17 | @ Chiefs | W 20-13 | -13.5 | +0.085 |
| 18 | vs Chargers | W 19-3 | -14.5 | -0.194 |
| DIV | vs Bills | W 33-30 | -1.5 | +0.089 |
| CON | vs Patriots | L 7-10 | +3.5 | -0.313 |