NFC North · 2016

Green Bay Packers

Record

10-6

Seed

Net EPA

+0.082est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.127
Success rate45.9%
EPA / dropback+0.243
EPA / rush-0.138
Explosive rate8.9%
CPOE+2.71
Third-down rate47.4%
Red-zone TD rate63.8%
Points / drive2.39
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.062
Success rate allowed45.7%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.137
EPA / rush allowed-0.078
Explosive rate allowed9.2%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.3%
Sack rate6.1%
Points / drive allowed2.25

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.127 · 92th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.062 · 75th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-6-1

-0.3 vs line

Home

5-2-1

Away

4-4

As favorite

6-5-1

As dog

3-1

O/U

10-6

+4.2 vs total

Roster

92 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Joe Callahan	QB	23	6'1" 216	R	Wesley	ACT
7	Brett Hundley	QB	23	6'3" 226	1	UCLA	ACT
9	Marquise Williams	QB	—	6'2" 220	—	—	CUT
12	Aaron Rodgers	QB	34	6'2" 225	11	California	ACT

Backs & receivers30

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Jamel Johnson	WR	—	6'2" 217	1	Alabama State	CUT
11	Trevor Davis	WR	23	6'1" 188	R	California	ACT
13	Harvey Binford	WR	—	6'0" 185	R	Lindenwood, Ill.	CUT
16	Herb Waters	WR	25	6'0" 188	R	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
17	Davante Adams	WR	25	6'1" 215	2	Fresno State	ACT
18	Randall Cobb	WR	26	5'10" 192	5	Kentucky	ACT
19	Ed Williams	WR	—	6'0" 196	—	—	CUT
22	Aaron Ripkowski	RB	25	6'1" 246	1	Oklahoma	ACT
27	Eddie Lacy	RB	26	5'11" 234	3	Alabama	RES
32	Christine Michael	RB	27	5'10" 221	3	Texas A&M	ACT
34	Don Jackson	RB	24	5'10" 209	—	—	RES
38	John Crockett	RB	24	6'0" 217	1	North Dakota State	RES
40	Joe Kerridge	RB	25	5'11" 242	R	Michigan	ACT
40	Alstevis Squirewell	RB	—	6'0" 265	—	—	CUT
44	James Starks	RB	30	6'2" 218	—	Buffalo	ACT
46	Brandon Ross	RB	—	5'10" 205	—	—	CUT
49	Casey Pierce	TE	—	6'3" 248	—	—	CUT
81	Geronimo Allison	WR	22	6'3" 202	R	Illinois	ACT
82	Richard Rodgers	TE	24	6'4" 257	2	California	ACT
83	Jeff Janis	WR	25	6'3" 219	2	Saginaw Valley State	ACT
84	Jared Abbrederis	WR	27	6'1" 195	2	Wisconsin	CUT
85	Mitchell Henry	TE	—	6'4" 252	—	—	CUT
87	Jordy Nelson	WR	31	6'3" 217	8	Kansas State	ACT
88	Ty Montgomery	RB	23	6'0" 216	1	Stanford	ACT
89	Jared Cook	TE	29	6'5" 254	7	South Carolina	ACT
—	Antwan Goodley	WR	26	5'10" 212	1	Baylor	DEV
—	Devon Cajuste	TE	23	6'4" 227	R	Stanford	NWT
—	Dez Stewart	WR	23	6'2" 200	R	Ohio Dominican	CUT
—	Beau Sandland	TE	23	6'4" 255	R	Montana State	DEV
—	Max McCaffrey	WR	22	6'2" 196	R	Duke	ACT

Offensive line13

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
62	Lucas Patrick	OL	23	6'3" 313	R	Duke	DEV
63	Corey Linsley	OL	25	6'3" 301	2	Ohio State	ACT
65	Lane Taylor	OL	28	6'3" 324	3	Oklahoma State	ACT
67	Don Barclay	OL	27	6'4" 305	4	West Virginia	ACT
68	Kyle Murphy	OL	24	6'6" 305	R	Stanford	ACT
69	David Bakhtiari	OL	26	6'4" 310	3	Colorado	ACT
70	T.J. Lang	OL	30	6'4" 318	7	Eastern Michigan	ACT
72	Josh James	OL	—	6'5" 314	R	Carroll (Mont.)	CUT
73	JC Tretter	OL	25	6'4" 307	3	Cornell	RES
75	Bryan Bulaga	OL	27	6'5" 314	6	Iowa	ACT
77	Kyle Steuck	OL	23	6'3" 317	—	—	CUT
78	Jason Spriggs	OL	22	6'6" 301	R	Indiana	ACT
—	Jacob Flores	OL	24	6'3" 300	—	—	DEV

Defensive front22

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
43	Beniquez Brown	LB	—	6'1" 236	—	—	CUT
47	Jake Ryan	LB	24	6'2" 240	1	Michigan	ACT
48	Joe Thomas	LB	25	6'1" 227	2	South Carolina State	ACT
50	Blake Martinez	LB	22	6'2" 237	R	Stanford	ACT
51	Kyler Fackrell	LB	26	6'5" 245	R	Utah State	ACT
52	Clay Matthews	LB	30	6'3" 255	7	Southern California	ACT
53	Nick Perry	LB	26	6'3" 265	4	USC	ACT
56	Julius Peppers	LB	36	6'7" 287	14	North Carolina	ACT
58	Jordan Tripp	LB	25	6'4" 244	2	Montana	ACT
60	Demetris Anderson	DL	—	6'1" 312	—	—	CUT
64	Mike Pennel	DL	25	6'4" 332	2	Colorado State-Pueblo	CUT
76	Mike Daniels	DL	27	6'0" 310	4	Iowa	ACT
90	Tyler Kuder	DL	24	6'3" 307	—	—	CUT
91	Jay Elliott	LB	26	6'3" 255	2	Toledo	ACT
93	Reggie Gilbert	LB	23	6'3" 261	R	Arizona	DEV
94	Dean Lowry	DL	22	6'6" 296	R	Northwestern	ACT
95	Datone Jones	LB	26	6'4" 285	3	UCLA	ACT
96	Brian Price	DL	22	6'3" 318	R	Texas-San Antonio	DEV
97	Kenny Clark	DL	22	6'2" 314	R	UCLA	ACT
98	Letroy Guion	DL	29	6'4" 322	8	Florida State	ACT
99	Christian Ringo	DL	24	6'1" 298	1	Louisiana-Lafayette	ACT
—	Derrick Mathews	LB	25	6'0" 221	1	Houston	DEV

Secondary17

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Makinton Dorleant	DB	25	5'11" 182	R	Northern Iowa	RES
21	Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	DB	25	6'1" 208	2	Alabama	ACT
23	Damarious Randall	DB	24	5'11" 196	1	Arizona State	ACT
24	Quinten Rollins	DB	24	5'11" 195	1	Miami (Ohio)	ACT
25	Marwin Evans	DB	23	5'11" 211	R	Utah State	ACT
26	Warren Gatewood	DB	—	5'11" 188	—	—	CUT
28	Josh Hawkins	DB	23	5'10" 189	R	East Carolina	ACT
29	Kentrell Brice	DB	22	5'11" 200	R	Louisiana Tech	ACT
33	Micah Hyde	DB	27	6'0" 197	3	Iowa	ACT
35	Jermaine Whitehead	DB	23	5'11" 195	1	Auburn	DEV
36	LaDarius Gunter	DB	24	6'2" 201	1	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
37	Sam Shields	DB	30	5'11" 184	6	Miami (Fla.)	RES
39	Demetri Goodson	DB	27	5'11" 197	2	Baylor	RES
41	Randall Jette	DB	—	5'11" 193	—	—	CUT
42	Morgan Burnett	DB	27	6'1" 209	6	Georgia Tech	ACT
—	Bene' Benwikere	DB	26	6'0" 200	2	San Jose State	DEV
—	Keith Baxter	DB	24	6'0" 193	R	Marshall	CUT

Specialists6

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Peter Mortell	P	—	5'11" 203	—	—	CUT
2	Mason Crosby	K	33	6'1" 207	9	Colorado	ACT
8	Tim Masthay	P	—	6'1" 200	—	—	CUT
10	Jacob Schum	P	27	5'10" 211	3	Buffalo	ACT
61	Brett Goode	LS	33	6'1" 255	9	Arkansas	ACT
77	Jesse Schmitt	LS	—	6'2" 249	—	—	CUT

Schedule

19 games

Green Bay Packers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Jaguars	W 27-23	-3.5	+0.186
2	@ Vikings	L 14-17	-1.5	-0.072
3	vs Lions	W 34-27	-6	+0.323
5	vs Giants	W 23-16	-7	-0.005
6	vs Cowboys	L 16-30	-5	-0.165
7	vs Bears	W 26-10	-7.5	+0.167
8	@ Falcons	L 32-33	+3	+0.232
9	vs Colts	L 26-31	-7.5	+0.104
10	@ Titans	L 25-47	-3	+0.055
11	@ Commanders	L 24-42	+2.5	+0.177
12	@ Eagles	W 27-13	+4	+0.320
13	vs Texans	W 21-13	-7	-0.020
14	vs Seahawks	W 38-10	+3	+0.171
15	@ Bears	W 30-27	-4.5	+0.196
16	vs Vikings	W 38-25	-6	+0.149
17	@ Lions	W 31-24	-3.5	+0.308
WC	vs Giants	W 38-13	-5	+0.141
DIV	@ Cowboys	W 34-31	+5.5	+0.305
CON	@ Falcons	L 21-44	+6.5	+0.160