AFC South · 2023

Houston Texans

Record

10-7

Seed

Net EPA

+0.015est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play-0.023
Success rate41.4%
EPA / dropback+0.063
EPA / rush-0.164
Explosive rate9.8%
CPOE-1.53
Third-down rate37.7%
Red-zone TD rate58.4%
Points / drive1.91
Turnover rate1.2%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.033
Success rate allowed41.2%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.046
EPA / rush allowed-0.159
Explosive rate allowed9.0%
Pressure rate (proxy)22.4%
Sack rate6.7%
Points / drive allowed1.75

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.023 · 55th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.033 · 42th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-8

+2.2 vs line

Home

4-5

Away

5-3

As favorite

3-4

As dog

6-4

O/U

6-11

+0.1 vs total

Roster

91 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	C.J. Stroud	QB	23	6'3" 218	R	Ohio State	ACT
10	Davis Mills	QB	26	6'4" 225	2	Stanford	ACT
16	Tim Boyle	QB	30	6'4" 233	5	Eastern Kentucky	DEV
18	Case Keenum	QB	35	6'1" 215	11	Houston	INA

Backs & receivers24

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Robert Woods	WR	31	6'0" 193	10	Southern California	ACT
3	Tank Dell	WR	25	5'10" 165	R	Houston	RES
8	John Metchie III	WR	23	5'11" 195	1	Alabama	ACT
9	Brevin Jordan	TE	23	6'3" 245	2	Miami	ACT
12	Nico Collins	WR	24	6'4" 222	2	Michigan	ACT
13	Chase Cota	WR	25	6'4" 209	R	Oregon	DEV
14	Damiere Byrd	WR	30	5'9" 180	8	South Carolina	DEV
14	Alex Bachman	WR	27	6'0" 190	4	Wake Forest	DEV
19	Xavier Hutchinson	WR	23	6'3" 210	R	Iowa State	ACT
26	Devin Singletary	RB	27	5'7" 203	4	Florida Atlantic	ACT
31	Dameon Pierce	RB	23	5'10" 215	1	Florida	ACT
33	Dare Ogunbowale	RB	29	5'11" 205	6	Wisconsin	ACT
34	Troy Hairston	RB	26	5'11" 245	1	Central Michigan	RES
38	J.J. Taylor	RB	25	5'6" 185	3	Arizona	DEV
40	Dalton Keene	TE	24	6'4" 251	3	Virginia Tech	DEV
41	Jesse Matthews	WR	24	6'0" 190	R	San Diego State	RES
47	Andrew Beck	RB	27	6'3" 255	4	Texas	ACT
81	Eric Saubert	TE	29	6'5" 253	6	Drake	INA
82	Steven Sims	WR	26	5'10" 176	4	Kansas	ACT
84	Teagan Quitoriano	TE	23	6'6" 259	1	Oregon State	RES
85	Noah Brown	WR	27	6'2" 225	6	Ohio State	RES
86	Dalton Schultz	TE	27	6'5" 242	5	Stanford	ACT
88	Johnny Johnson III	WR	24	6'1" 199	1	Oregon	DEV
89	Jared Wayne	WR	24	6'3" 210	R	Pittsburgh	DEV

Offensive line18

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
50	Kendrick Green	OL	26	6'4" 310	2	Illinois	RES
54	Scott Quessenberry	OL	28	6'3" 310	5	UCLA	RES
59	Kenyon Green	OL	22	6'4" 325	1	Texas A&M	RES
60	Dieter Eiselen	OL	27	6'4" 300	3	Yale	ACT
61	DJ Scaife	OL	23	6'3" 314	R	Miami	RES
63	Michael Deiter	OL	28	6'6" 310	4	Wisconsin	ACT
64	Nick Broeker	OL	24	6'4" 305	R	Mississippi	INA
66	Kilian Zierer	OL	25	6'7" 312	R	Auburn	RES
67	Charlie Heck	OL	28	6'8" 315	3	North Carolina	ACT
68	Jarrett Patterson	OL	25	6'4" 310	R	Notre Dame	RES
69	Shaq Mason	OL	30	6'1" 310	8	Georgia Tech	ACT
70	Juice Scruggs	OL	23	6'3" 310	R	Penn State	ACT
71	Tytus Howard	OL	27	6'5" 322	4	Alabama State	RES
72	Jaylon Thomas	OL	23	6'5" 326	R	Southern Methodist	DEV
74	Josh Jones	OL	26	6'5" 310	3	Houston	ACT
77	George Fant	OL	31	6'5" 322	7	Western Kentucky	ACT
78	Laremy Tunsil	OL	29	6'5" 313	7	Mississippi	ACT
79	Jimmy Morrissey	OL	25	6'3" 305	2	Pittsburgh	DEV

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Denzel Perryman	LB	32	5'11" 240	8	Miami	ACT
35	Jake Hansen	LB	25	6'1" 230	1	Illinois	ACT
39	Henry To'oTo'o	LB	22	6'2" 228	R	Alabama	ACT
41	Myjai Sanders	LB	25	6'5" 240	1	Cincinnati	ACT
43	Neville Hewitt	LB	30	6'2" 234	8	Marshall	ACT
44	Marcell Harris	LB	29	6'0" 208	5	Florida	DEV
48	Christian Harris	LB	22	6'1" 232	1	Alabama	ACT
51	Will Anderson Jr.	DL	23	6'4" 243	R	Alabama	ACT
52	Jonathan Greenard	DL	26	6'3" 259	3	Florida	ACT
53	Blake Cashman	LB	27	6'1" 235	4	Minnesota	ACT
55	Jerry Hughes	DL	35	6'2" 254	13	Texas Christian	INA
56	Kerry Hyder	DL	32	6'2" 270	9	Texas Tech	DEV
73	Rashard Lawrence	DL	25	6'2" 308	3	Louisiana State	DEV
75	Adedayo Odeleye	DL	27	6'5" 272	1	No College	DEV
90	Ali Gaye	DL	27	6'6" 262	R	Louisiana State	DEV
91	Hassan Ridgeway	DL	30	6'3" 305	7	Texas	RES
92	Dylan Horton	DL	23	6'4" 275	R	Texas Christian	RES
93	Kurt Hinish	DL	24	6'2" 296	1	Notre Dame	ACT
94	Khalil Davis	DL	27	6'1" 315	3	Nebraska	ACT
95	Derek Barnett	DL	27	6'3" 259	6	Tennessee	ACT
96	Maliek Collins	DL	28	6'2" 308	7	Nebraska	ACT
97	Teair Tart	DL	26	6'2" 290	3	Florida International	INA
98	Sheldon Rankins	DL	29	6'2" 305	7	Louisville	ACT
98	McTelvin Agim	DL	27	6'3" 300	3	Arkansas	DEV

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
0	Adrian Amos	DB	30	6'0" 214	8	Penn State	ACT
1	Jimmie Ward	DB	32	5'11" 193	9	Northern Illinois	RES
4	Tavierre Thomas	DB	27	5'10" 205	5	Ferris State	RES
5	Jalen Pitre	DB	24	5'11" 200	1	Baylor	ACT
17	Kris Boyd	DB	28	5'11" 201	4	Texas	ACT
20	Ka'dar Hollman	DB	30	6'0" 196	4	Toledo	ACT
21	Steven Nelson	DB	30	5'11" 194	8	Oregon State	ACT
22	Kareem Jackson	DB	35	5'10" 185	13	Alabama	ACT
23	Eric Murray	DB	29	5'11" 199	7	Minnesota	RES
24	Derek Stingley Jr.	DB	22	6'0" 195	1	Louisiana State	ACT
25	Desmond King	DB	30	5'10" 201	6	Iowa	ACT
25	Grayland Arnold	DB	27	5'10" 190	3	Baylor	RES
27	Troy Pride	DB	25	5'11" 194	3	Notre Dame	DEV
27	Brady Breeze	DB	27	6'0" 200	2	Oregon	DEV
29	M.J. Stewart	DB	29	5'11" 205	5	North Carolina	RES
30	DeAndre Houston-Carson	DB	30	6'0" 202	7	William & Mary	ACT
36	Brandon Hill	DB	24	5'11" 195	R	Pittsburgh	DEV
37	D'Angelo Ross	DB	28	5'9" 190	4	New Mexico	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
11	Cameron Johnston	P	31	5'11" 194	6	Ohio State	ACT
15	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	29	6'0" 183	7	UCLA	ACT
46	Jon Weeks	LS	37	5'10" 242	13	Baylor	ACT

Schedule

19 games

Houston Texans schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Ravens	L 9-25	+9.5	-0.293
2	vs Colts	L 20-31	+1	-0.003
3	@ Jaguars	W 37-17	+7.5	+0.220
4	vs Steelers	W 30-6	+3	+0.150
5	@ Falcons	L 19-21	+2.5	-0.063
6	vs Saints	W 20-13	+2	+0.046
8	@ Panthers	L 13-15	-3	-0.030
9	vs Buccaneers	W 39-37	-2.5	+0.239
10	@ Bengals	W 30-27	+5.5	+0.139
11	vs Cardinals	W 21-16	-5.5	-0.053
12	vs Jaguars	L 21-24	+1	+0.033
13	vs Broncos	W 22-17	-3.5	-0.083
14	@ Jets	L 6-30	-3.5	-0.447
15	@ Titans	W 19-16	+3	-0.103
16	vs Browns	L 22-36	+3	-0.213
17	vs Titans	W 26-3	-5	+0.003
18	@ Colts	W 23-19	-1.5	+0.102
WC	vs Browns	W 45-14	+2.5	+0.291
DIV	@ Ravens	L 10-34	+10	-0.213