AFC South · 2025
Houston Texans
Record
12-5
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.096est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.008
- Success rate41.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.083
- EPA / rush-0.149
- Explosive rate7.2%
- CPOE-1.68
- Third-down rate37.4%
- Red-zone TD rate48.6%
- Points / drive2.05
- Turnover rate1.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.108
- Success rate allowed39.5%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.097
- EPA / rush allowed-0.129
- Explosive rate allowed6.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.7%
- Sack rate7.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.47
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.008 · 33th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.108 · 5th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-8
+4.5 vs line
Home
5-4
Away
4-4
As favorite
4-5
As dog
5-3
O/U
6-11
+0.0 vs total
Roster
86 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | C.J. Stroud | QB | 25 | 6'3" 218 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 10 | Davis Mills | QB | 28 | 6'4" 225 | 4 | Stanford | ACT |
| 18 | Graham Mertz | QB | 26 | 6'2" 215 | R | Florida; Wisconsin | INA |
Backs & receivers23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tank Dell | WR | 27 | 5'10" 165 | 2 | Houston; Independence Comm. College; Alabama A&M | RES |
| 9 | Brevin Jordan | TE | 25 | 6'3" 245 | 4 | Miami | RES |
| 12 | Nico Collins | WR | 26 | 6'4" 222 | 4 | Michigan | INA |
| 13 | Christian Kirk | WR | 30 | 5'11" 200 | 7 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 14 | Jaylin Noel | WR | 24 | 5'11" 200 | R | Iowa State | ACT |
| 16 | Quintez Cephus | WR | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 5 | Wisconsin | DEV |
| 17 | Braxton Berrios | WR | 31 | 5'9" 190 | 7 | Miami | ACT |
| 19 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | 25 | 6'3" 210 | 2 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 21 | Nick Chubb | RB | 31 | 5'11" 225 | 7 | Georgia | ACT |
| 26 | Jawhar Jordan | RB | 26 | 5'10" 185 | 1 | Louisville; Syracuse | INA |
| 27 | Woody Marks | RB | 26 | 5'10" 208 | R | USC; Mississippi State | ACT |
| 28 | Joe Mixon | RB | 29 | 6'1" 220 | 8 | Oklahoma | RES |
| 33 | Dare Ogunbowale | RB | 31 | 5'11" 205 | 8 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 43 | Jakob Johnson | RB | 32 | 6'3" 255 | 6 | Tennessee | DEV |
| 44 | British Brooks | RB | 27 | 5'11" 225 | 1 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 81 | Jayden Higgins | WR | 24 | 6'4" 215 | R | Iowa State; Eastern Kentucky | ACT |
| 83 | Luke Lachey | TE | 24 | 6'6" 247 | R | Iowa | DEV |
| 84 | Justin Watson | WR | 29 | 6'2" 215 | 7 | Penn | INA |
| 85 | Josh Kelly | WR | 24 | 6'1" 195 | R | Texas Tech; Washington State; Fresno State | DEV |
| 86 | Dalton Schultz | TE | 29 | 6'5" 242 | 7 | Stanford | ACT |
| 87 | Cade Stover | TE | 25 | 6'4" 251 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 88 | Harrison Bryant | TE | 27 | 6'5" 240 | 5 | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 89 | Jared Wayne | WR | 26 | 6'3" 210 | 2 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
Offensive line12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Jarrett Patterson | OL | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 2 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 57 | Blake Fisher | OL | 22 | 6'6" 312 | 1 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 60 | Jake Andrews | OL | 27 | 6'3" 325 | 2 | Troy | ACT |
| 62 | Sidy Sow | OL | 27 | 6'5" 334 | 2 | Eastern Michigan | DEV |
| 63 | Jarrett Kingston | OL | 27 | 6'4" 302 | 1 | USC; Washington State | ACT |
| 65 | Eli Cox | OL | 26 | 6'4" 311 | R | Kentucky | DEV |
| 66 | Jaylon Thomas | OL | 25 | 6'5" 326 | 2 | SMU | CUT |
| 69 | Ed Ingram | OL | 26 | 6'3" 295 | 3 | LSU | ACT |
| 70 | Juice Scruggs | OL | 25 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 71 | Tytus Howard | OL | 29 | 6'5" 322 | 6 | Alabama State | ACT |
| 77 | Trent Brown | OL | 32 | 6'8" 380 | 10 | Florida; Georgia Military | INA |
| 79 | Aireontae Ersery | OL | 23 | 6'6" 330 | R | Minnesota | ACT |
Defensive front27
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Azeez Al-Shaair | LB | 28 | 6'2" 228 | 6 | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 31 | Damone Clark | LB | 25 | 6'2" 239 | 3 | LSU | ACT |
| 35 | Jake Hansen | LB | 27 | 6'1" 230 | 3 | Illinois | RES |
| 39 | Henry To'oTo'o | LB | 24 | 6'2" 228 | 2 | Alabama; Tennessee | ACT |
| 45 | E.J. Speed | LB | 30 | 6'4" 230 | 6 | Tarleton State | ACT |
| 47 | Power Echols | LB | 22 | 6'0" 225 | R | North Carolina | DEV |
| 48 | Christian Harris | LB | 24 | 6'2" 232 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
| 50 | Solomon Byrd | DL | 27 | 6'3" 250 | 1 | USC; Wyoming | DEV |
| 51 | Will Anderson Jr. | DL | 25 | 6'4" 243 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
| 53 | Junior Tafuna | DL | 24 | 6'3" 308 | R | Utah | DEV |
| 55 | Danielle Hunter | DL | 32 | 6'5" 252 | 10 | LSU | ACT |
| 56 | Jamal Hill | LB | 24 | 6'0" 199 | 1 | Oregon | ACT |
| 58 | Leki Fotu | DL | 27 | 6'5" 335 | 5 | Utah | ACT |
| 58 | Kyonte Hamilton | DL | 24 | 6'4" 304 | R | Rutgers | RES |
| 59 | Xavier Thomas | LB | 27 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | Clemson | DEV |
| 64 | Haggai Ndubuisi | DL | 26 | 6'7" 298 | 4 | — | DEV |
| 72 | Tommy Togiai | DL | 27 | 6'2" 300 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 90 | Sheldon Rankins | DL | 31 | 6'2" 305 | 9 | Louisville | ACT |
| 91 | Foley Fatukasi | DL | 30 | 6'4" 318 | 7 | Connecticut | RES |
| 91 | Naquan Jones | DL | 27 | 6'3" 340 | 4 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 92 | Dylan Horton | DL | 25 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | TCU | ACT |
| 93 | Kurt Hinish | DL | 26 | 6'1" 296 | 3 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 94 | Marlon Davidson | DL | 27 | 6'3" 279 | 5 | Auburn | DEV |
| 95 | Derek Barnett | DL | 29 | 6'3" 259 | 8 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 96 | Denico Autry | DL | 35 | 6'5" 285 | 11 | Mississippi State; East Mississippi JC | ACT |
| 97 | Mario Edwards | DL | 31 | 6'3" 280 | 10 | Florida State | RES |
| 98 | Tim Settle | DL | 28 | 6'3" 308 | 7 | Virginia Tech | RES |
Secondary18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Calen Bullock | DB | 22 | 6'3" 190 | 1 | USC | ACT |
| 4 | Kamari Lassiter | DB | 22 | 6'0" 180 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 5 | Jalen Pitre | DB | 26 | 6'0" 200 | 3 | Baylor | ACT |
| 11 | Tremon Smith | DB | 29 | 6'0" 190 | 7 | Central Arkansas | ACT |
| 20 | Jimmie Ward | DB | 34 | 5'11" 193 | 11 | Northern Illinois | RES |
| 21 | Ronald Darby | DB | 31 | 5'11" 193 | 10 | Florida State | RET |
| 22 | Jaylin Smith | DB | 23 | 5'11" 187 | R | USC | RES |
| 23 | Jaylen Reed | DB | 22 | 6'0" 212 | R | Penn State | ACT |
| 24 | Derek Stingley Jr. | DB | 24 | 6'1" 195 | 3 | LSU | ACT |
| 25 | Myles Bryant | DB | 27 | 5'9" 180 | 5 | Washington | ACT |
| 29 | M.J. Stewart | DB | 31 | 5'11" 205 | 7 | North Carolina | RES |
| 32 | Kaevon Merriweather | DB | 27 | 6'0" 212 | 2 | Iowa | DEV |
| 34 | Ajani Carter | DB | 25 | 6'2" 200 | R | Houston; Utah State | RES |
| 36 | Brandon Hill | DB | 26 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 36 | Alijah Huzzie | DB | 24 | 5'10" 200 | R | North Carolina; East Tennessee State | INA |
| 37 | Ameer Speed | DB | 27 | 6'3" 215 | 2 | Michigan State; Georgia | DEV |
| 38 | K'Von Wallace | DB | 28 | 5'11" 208 | 5 | Clemson | DEV |
| 42 | Ja'Marcus Ingram | DB | 29 | 6'2" 190 | 3 | Buffalo; Texas Tech | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tommy Townsend | P | 30 | 6'1" 176 | 5 | Florida | ACT |
| 15 | Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 31 | 6'0" 183 | 9 | UCLA | ACT |
| 40 | Austin Brinkman | LS | 23 | 6'4" 241 | R | West Virginia | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Rams | L 9-14 | +3.5 | -0.145 |
| 2 | vs Buccaneers | L 19-20 | -2.5 | -0.064 |
| 3 | @ Jaguars | L 10-17 | +1.5 | -0.198 |
| 4 | vs Titans | W 26-0 | -7.5 | +0.107 |
| 5 | @ Ravens | W 44-10 | -2.5 | +0.344 |
| 7 | @ Seahawks | L 19-27 | +3 | -0.289 |
| 8 | vs 49ers | W 26-15 | -2.5 | +0.208 |
| 9 | vs Broncos | L 15-18 | -1.5 | -0.169 |
| 10 | vs Jaguars | W 36-29 | +1.5 | +0.119 |
| 11 | @ Titans | W 16-13 | -5.5 | -0.066 |
| 12 | vs Bills | W 23-19 | +5.5 | -0.077 |
| 13 | @ Colts | W 20-16 | +3 | +0.031 |
| 14 | @ Chiefs | W 20-10 | +4.5 | -0.067 |
| 15 | vs Cardinals | W 40-20 | -10.5 | +0.223 |
| 16 | vs Raiders | W 23-21 | -14.5 | -0.087 |
| 17 | @ Chargers | W 20-16 | +1.5 | -0.080 |
| 18 | vs Colts | W 38-30 | -9.5 | +0.006 |
| WC | @ Steelers | W 30-6 | -3 | +0.063 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 16-28 | +3 | -0.349 |