AFC South · 2003
Indianapolis Colts
Record
12-4
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.052est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.100
- Success rate46.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.211
- EPA / rush-0.060
- Explosive rate8.2%
- Third-down rate42.2%
- Red-zone TD rate57.7%
- Points / drive2.34
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.000
- Success rate allowed43.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.024
- EPA / rush allowed+0.030
- Explosive rate allowed9.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.0%
- Sack rate6.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.74
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.100 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.000 · 74th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+3.1 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
6-6-1
As dog
3-0
O/U
9-7
+5.6 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brock Huard | QB | 27 | 6'4" 232 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Cory Sauter | QB | 30 | 6'4" 216 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 27 | 6'5" 230 | 5 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Terrence Wilkins | WR | 28 | 5'10" 180 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 11 | JaJuan Dawson | WR | 27 | 6'1" 197 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Edgerrin James | RB | 25 | 6'0" 214 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Dominic Rhodes | RB | 24 | 5'9" 203 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Ricky Williams | RB | 25 | 5'7" 195 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Tom Lopienski | FB | 24 | 6'0" 246 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Dallas Clark | TE | 24 | 6'3" 257 | R | — | ACT |
| 49 | Pete Mitchell | TE | 33 | 6'2" 243 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Joe Dean Davenport | TE | 28 | 6'6" 268 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Marcus Pollard | TE | 31 | 6'3" 247 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Brandon Stokley | WR | 27 | 5'11" 197 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Aaron Moorehead | WR | 24 | 6'3" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 86 | Troy Walters | WR | 28 | 5'7" 172 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Reggie Wayne | WR | 26 | 6'0" 203 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Marvin Harrison | WR | 31 | 6'0" 175 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Justin Snow | C | 28 | 6'3" 232 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Tupe Peko | G | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Jeff Saturday | C | 28 | 6'2" 292 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Rick DeMulling | G | 26 | 6'4" 304 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Ryan Diem | T | 24 | 6'6" 331 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Steve Sciullo | G | 23 | 6'5" 330 | R | — | ACT |
| 76 | Makoa Freitas | G | 25 | 6'4" 307 | R | — | ACT |
| 78 | Tarik Glenn | T | 27 | 6'5" 332 | 6 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | David Thornton | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 230 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Keyon Whiteside | MLB | 23 | 6'0" 229 | R | — | TRD |
| 52 | Keyon Whiteside | MLB | 23 | 6'0" 229 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Marcus Washington | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 247 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jim Nelson | OLB | 28 | 6'1" 234 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Gary Brackett | MLB | 23 | 5'11" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Cato June | OLB | 25 | 6'0" 218 | R | — | ACT |
| 75 | Larry Tripplett | DT | 24 | 6'2" 314 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Raheem Brock | DE | 25 | 6'4" 257 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Montae Reagor | DT | 26 | 6'3" 285 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Chad Bratzke | DE | 33 | 6'5" 270 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Dwight Freeney | DE | 23 | 6'1" 268 | 1 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 94 | Rob Morris | MLB | 28 | 6'2" 243 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Josh Williams | DT | 27 | 6'3" 285 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | DE | 22 | 6'2" 235 | R | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | Brad Scioli | DE | 28 | 6'3" 280 | 4 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mike Doss | SS | 22 | 5'9" 207 | R | — | ACT |
| 21 | Walt Harris | CB | 29 | 5'11" 192 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Nicholas Harper | CB | 30 | 5'10" 182 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | David Macklin | CB | 25 | 5'9" 196 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Idrees Bashir | FS | 26 | 6'2" 198 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Donald Strickland | CB | 24 | 5'10" 187 | R | — | ACT |
| 31 | Cliff Crosby | CB | 30 | 5'10" 179 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Jason Doering | FS | 25 | 6'0" 201 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Anthony Floyd | FS | 22 | 5'10" 202 | R | — | ACT |
| 41 | Cory Bird | SS | 25 | 5'10" 213 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mike Vanderjagt | K | 33 | 6'5" 211 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Hunter Smith | P | 26 | 6'2" 209 | 4 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Browns | W 9-6 | -2 | -0.054 |
| 2 | vs Titans | W 33-7 | -2.5 | +0.008 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | W 23-13 | -7.5 | +0.003 |
| 4 | @ Saints | W 55-21 | -1.5 | +0.435 |
| 5 | @ Buccaneers | W 38-35 | +4.5 | +0.274 |
| 6 | vs Panthers | L 20-23 | -4 | -0.085 |
| 8 | vs Texans | W 30-21 | -13 | +0.278 |
| 9 | @ Dolphins | W 23-17 | +3 | -0.032 |
| 10 | @ Jaguars | L 23-28 | -6 | +0.205 |
| 11 | vs Jets | W 38-31 | -6 | +0.303 |
| 12 | @ Bills | W 17-14 | -3 | +0.063 |
| 13 | vs Patriots | L 34-38 | -3.5 | -0.002 |
| 14 | @ Titans | W 29-27 | +3.5 | +0.119 |
| 15 | vs Falcons | W 38-7 | -7.5 | +0.240 |
| 16 | vs Broncos | L 17-31 | -6.5 | -0.135 |
| 17 | @ Texans | W 20-17 | -9 | -0.056 |
| WC | vs Broncos | W 41-10 | -3 | +0.389 |
| DIV | @ Chiefs | W 38-31 | +3 | +0.521 |
| CON | @ Patriots | L 14-24 | +3.5 | -0.133 |