AFC South · 2014

Indianapolis Colts

Record

11-5

Seed

Net EPA

+0.043est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.029
Success rate45.9%
EPA / dropback+0.147
EPA / rush-0.221
Explosive rate9.7%
CPOE+1.10
Third-down rate42.2%
Red-zone TD rate62.3%
Points / drive2.01
Turnover rate2.7%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.038
Success rate allowed42.0%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.017
EPA / rush allowed-0.122
Explosive rate allowed10.1%
Pressure rate (proxy)19.6%
Sack rate6.5%
Points / drive allowed1.80

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.029 · 71th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.038 · 26th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-5-1

+1.7 vs line

Home

5-2-1

Away

5-3

As favorite

9-4-1

As dog

1-1

O/U

9-7

+1.9 vs total

Roster

57 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks2

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Matt Hasselbeck	QB	40	6'4" 235	16	Boston College	ACT
12	Andrew Luck	QB	26	6'4" 240	2	Stanford	ACT

Backs & receivers14

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Donte Moncrief	WR	21	6'2" 221	R	Mississippi	ACT
13	T.Y. Hilton	WR	26	5'9" 178	2	Florida International	ACT
14	Hakeem Nicks	WR	26	6'1" 208	5	North Carolina	ACT
16	Joshua Cribbs	WR	31	6'1" 192	9	—	ACT
17	Griff Whalen	WR	24	5'11" 190	2	Stanford	ACT
23	Michael Hill	RB	25	5'10" 210	1	—	TRC
23	Michael Hill	RB	25	5'10" 210	1	—	ACT
34	Trent Richardson	RB	24	5'9" 225	2	—	ACT
36	Dan Herron	RB	25	5'10" 212	2	—	ACT
37	Zurlon Tipton	RB	25	6'0" 231	R	Central Michigan	ACT
80	Coby Fleener	TE	27	6'6" 251	2	Stanford	ACT
83	Dwayne Allen	TE	24	6'3" 265	2	Clemson	ACT
84	Jack Doyle	TE	24	6'6" 267	1	Western Kentucky	ACT
87	Reggie Wayne	WR	37	6'0" 203	13	—	ACT

Offensive line10

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Lance Louis	G	29	6'3" 330	5	San Diego State	ACT
62	Khaled Holmes	C	24	6'3" 309	1	—	ACT
63	A.Q. Shipley	C	28	6'1" 307	5	Penn State	ACT
65	David Arkin	G	28	6'5" 307	3	Missouri State	ACT
65	David Arkin	G	28	6'5" 307	3	Missouri State	TRC
71	Xavier Nixon	T	25	6'6" 330	1	—	ACT
72	Jonotthan Harrison	C	23	6'4" 308	R	Florida	ACT
74	Anthony Castonzo	T	26	6'7" 311	3	Boston College	ACT
75	Jack Mewhort	G	23	6'6" 308	R	Ohio State	ACT
76	Joe Reitz	G	29	6'7" 325	6	Western Michigan	ACT

Defensive front16

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
50	Jerrell Freeman	ILB	28	6'0" 240	6	Mary Hardin-Baylor	ACT
51	Henoc Muamba	ILB	25	6'0" 242	3	—	ACT
52	D'Qwell Jackson	ILB	32	6'0" 240	8	Maryland	ACT
54	Andrew Jackson	ILB	22	6'1" 254	R	—	ACT
55	Shaun Phillips	OLB	33	6'3" 255	10	—	ACT
55	Shaun Phillips	OLB	33	6'3" 255	10	—	TRT
58	Andy Studebaker	OLB	30	6'3" 255	6	Wheaton	ACT
90	Cory Redding	DE	35	6'4" 318	11	Texas	ACT
91	Jonathan Newsome	OLB	23	6'3" 251	R	Ball State	ACT
92	Bjoern Werner	OLB	24	6'3" 257	1	—	ACT
93	Erik Walden	OLB	29	6'2" 250	6	Middle Tennessee State	ACT
94	Zach Kerr	DT	24	6'2" 335	R	Delaware	ACT
95	Montori Hughes	NT	24	6'4" 350	1	Tennessee-Martin	ACT
96	Josh Chapman	NT	25	6'0" 340	2	—	ACT
97	Arthur Jones	DT	28	6'3" 337	4	Syracuse	ACT
99	Ricky Jean Francois	DE	29	6'3" 297	5	LSU	ACT

Secondary12

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Darius Butler	CB	28	5'10" 188	5	Connecticut	ACT
21	Vontae Davis	CB	26	5'11" 207	5	Illinois	ACT
25	Jalil Brown	CB	28	6'1" 207	3	—	TRD
25	Jalil Brown	CB	28	6'1" 207	3	—	ACT
27	Josh Gordy	CB	27	5'11" 196	4	—	ACT
28	Gregory Toler	CB	29	6'0" 190	5	St. Paul's (VA)	ACT
29	Mike Adams	SS	33	5'11" 200	10	Delaware	ACT
30	LaRon Landry	FS	31	6'0" 226	7	—	ACT
31	Dewey McDonald	DB	24	6'0" 220	R	California (PA)	ACT
32	Colt Anderson	SS	30	5'10" 194	5	Montana	ACT
38	Sergio Brown	FS	26	6'2" 217	4	Notre Dame	ACT
40	Sheldon Price	CB	23	6'2" 198	1	UCLA	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Pat McAfee	P	27	6'1" 240	5	West Virginia	ACT
4	Adam Vinatieri	K	43	6'0" 209	18	South Dakota State	ACT
45	Matt Overton	LS	29	6'1" 242	4	Western Washington	ACT

Schedule

19 games

Indianapolis Colts schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Broncos	L 24-31	+8	+0.052
2	vs Eagles	L 27-30	-3	-0.032
3	@ Jaguars	W 44-17	-6	+0.335
4	vs Titans	W 41-17	-7.5	+0.237
5	vs Ravens	W 20-13	-2.5	-0.101
6	@ Texans	W 33-28	-2.5	+0.065
7	vs Bengals	W 27-0	-3	+0.059
8	@ Steelers	L 34-51	-5	+0.175
9	@ Giants	W 40-24	-3	+0.177
11	vs Patriots	L 20-42	-3	-0.078
12	vs Jaguars	W 23-3	-13	-0.097
13	vs Commanders	W 49-27	-7.5	+0.247
14	@ Browns	W 25-24	-3	-0.166
15	vs Texans	W 17-10	-7	-0.221
16	@ Cowboys	L 7-42	+3.5	-0.299
17	@ Titans	W 27-10	-7.5	+0.093
WC	vs Bengals	W 26-10	-3.5	+0.074
DIV	@ Broncos	W 24-13	+9.5	+0.102
CON	@ Patriots	L 7-45	+7	-0.228