AFC South · 2007
Jacksonville Jaguars
Record
11-5
Seed
#5
Net EPA
+0.170est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.108
- Success rate44.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.191
- EPA / rush+0.015
- Explosive rate10.4%
- CPOE+2.15
- Third-down rate47.2%
- Red-zone TD rate66.6%
- Points / drive2.25
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.039
- Success rate allowed43.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.018
- EPA / rush allowed-0.077
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.8%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.59
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.108 · 88th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.039 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-5
+5.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
6-2
As favorite
6-2
As dog
5-3
O/U
12-4
+6.3 vs total
Roster
58 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Quinn Gray | QB | 28 | 6'3" 254 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 9 | David Garrard | QB | 29 | 6'1" 245 | 5 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Reggie Williams | WR | 24 | 6'4" 212 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Charles Sharon | WR | 24 | 6'0" 176 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Jones | WR | 24 | 6'6" 232 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Ernest Wilford | WR | 28 | 6'4" 218 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 22 | LaBrandon Toefield | RB | 28 | 5'11" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Montell Owens | FB | 23 | 5'10" 225 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Fred Taylor | RB | 31 | 6'1" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Fred Taylor | RB | 31 | 6'1" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Maurice Jones-Drew | RB | 22 | 5'7" 208 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Greg Jones | FB | 26 | 6'1" 254 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Isaac Smolko | TE | 24 | 6'5" 257 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Richard Angulo | TE | 27 | 6'8" 263 | 4 | — | TRD |
| 85 | Richard Angulo | TE | 27 | 6'8" 263 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Dennis Northcutt | WR | 31 | 5'11" 172 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Marcedes Lewis | TE | 23 | 6'6" 270 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Dennis Norman | C | 27 | 6'5" 322 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Brad Meester | C | 30 | 6'3" 295 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Vincent Manuwai | G | 27 | 6'2" 336 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Khalif Barnes | T | 25 | 6'5" 325 | 2 | Washington | ACT |
| 74 | Maurice Williams | T | 28 | 6'5" 302 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Richard Collier | T | 27 | 6'7" 350 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Uche Nwaneri | G | 23 | 6'3" 320 | R | — | ACT |
| 78 | Tutan Reyes | G | 31 | 6'3" 310 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Tony Pashos | T | 27 | 6'6" 325 | 4 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Clint Ingram | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 238 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Daryl Smith | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 245 | 3 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 53 | Shantee Orr | DE | 26 | 6'0" 246 | 4 | — | TRT |
| 53 | Shantee Orr | DE | 26 | 6'0" 246 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Mike Peterson | MLB | 31 | 6'1" 238 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Justin Durant | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 232 | R | Hampton | ACT |
| 57 | Brent Hawkins | DE | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Brian Iwuh | MLB | 23 | 6'0" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Derek Landri | DT | 25 | 6'2" 282 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Grady Jackson | NT | 34 | 6'2" 362 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Grady Jackson | NT | 34 | 6'2" 362 | 10 | — | TRC |
| 91 | Kenneth Pettway | DE | 26 | 6'4" 248 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Rob Meier | DT | 30 | 6'5" 308 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Bobby McCray | DE | 26 | 6'6" 262 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Jeremy Mincey | LB | 25 | 6'3" 285 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 95 | Paul Spicer | DE | 32 | 6'4" 295 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Reggie Hayward | DE | 28 | 6'5" 275 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 98 | John Henderson | DT | 28 | 6'7" 335 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Scott Starks | CB | 24 | 5'9" 176 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Terry Cousin | CB | 32 | 5'9" 188 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jamaal Fudge | SS | 24 | 5'9" 194 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Reggie Nelson | FS | 25 | 5'11" 198 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 26 | Sammy Knight | SS | 33 | 6'1" 215 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Rashean Mathis | CB | 27 | 6'1" 190 | 4 | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 29 | Brian Williams | CB | 28 | 5'11" 202 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Aaron Glenn | CB | 35 | 5'9" 183 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Lamont Thompson | FS | 29 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Lamont Thompson | FS | 29 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | — | TRD |
| 42 | Chad Nkang | SS | 22 | 5'11" 215 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Adam Podlesh | P | 24 | 5'11" 198 | R | — | ACT |
| 10 | Josh Scobee | K | 25 | 6'1" 192 | 3 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 88 | Joe Zelenka | LS | 31 | 6'3" 256 | 8 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Titans | L 10-13 | -7.5 | -0.030 |
| 2 | vs Falcons | W 13-7 | -10 | +0.032 |
| 3 | @ Broncos | W 23-14 | +3.5 | +0.082 |
| 5 | @ Chiefs | W 17-7 | -1 | +0.140 |
| 6 | vs Texans | W 37-17 | -6.5 | +0.334 |
| 7 | vs Colts | L 7-29 | +3 | -0.195 |
| 8 | @ Buccaneers | W 24-23 | +3.5 | -0.094 |
| 9 | @ Saints | L 24-41 | +3.5 | -0.004 |
| 10 | @ Titans | W 28-13 | +4.5 | +0.014 |
| 11 | vs Chargers | W 24-17 | -3 | +0.099 |
| 12 | vs Bills | W 36-14 | -9.5 | +0.147 |
| 13 | @ Colts | L 25-28 | +7 | +0.277 |
| 14 | vs Panthers | W 37-6 | -11 | +0.087 |
| 15 | @ Steelers | W 29-22 | +3.5 | +0.179 |
| 16 | vs Raiders | W 49-11 | -14 | +0.350 |
| 17 | @ Texans | L 28-42 | +7 | +0.294 |
| WC | @ Steelers | W 31-29 | -2.5 | -0.055 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 20-31 | +13.5 | +0.282 |