AFC South · 2017

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record

10-6

Seed

Net EPA

+0.164est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.020
Success rate41.7%
EPA / dropback+0.095
EPA / rush-0.071
Explosive rate7.8%
CPOE-2.97
Third-down rate36.9%
Red-zone TD rate62.0%
Points / drive1.81
Turnover rate1.8%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.192
Success rate allowed39.4%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.225
EPA / rush allowed-0.141
Explosive rate allowed8.0%
Pressure rate (proxy)24.0%
Sack rate8.8%
Points / drive allowed1.04

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.020 · 69th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.192 · 2th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+6.8 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

4-4

As favorite

6-5

As dog

3-2

O/U

8-8

+3.0 vs total

Roster

109 players

55 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Ryan Nassib	QB	27	6'2" 223	4	Syracuse	CUT
5	Blake Bortles	QB	25	6'5" 236	3	Central Florida	ACT
7	Chad Henne	QB	32	6'3" 222	9	Michigan	ACT

Backs & receivers36

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Jaelen Strong	WR	23	6'2" 220	2	Arizona State	RES
11	Marqise Lee	WR	27	6'0" 196	3	Southern California	ACT
12	Dede Westbrook	WR	25	5'11" 176	R	Oklahoma	ACT
13	Rashad Greene	WR	26	5'11" 186	2	Florida State	RES
14	Justin Blackmon	WR	27	6'1" 210	—	Oklahoma State	SUS
14	Shane Wynn	WR	26	5'6" 168	2	Indiana	RES
15	Allen Robinson	WR	24	6'3" 211	3	Penn State	RES
16	Amba Etta-Tawo	WR	25	6'1" 202	R	Syracuse	ACT
17	Arrelious Benn	WR	30	6'2" 228	7	Illinois	RES
17	Tevaun Smith	WR	24	6'2" 197	1	Iowa	DEV
18	Larry Pinkard	WR	25	6'0" 196	2	Old Dominion	RES
19	Walt Powell	WR	27	6'0" 189	3	Murray State	DEV
19	Jamal Robinson	WR	—	6'4" 205	1	Louisiana-Lafayette	CUT
19	Montay Crockett	WR	25	6'0" 184	R	Georgia Southern	CUT
24	T.J. Yeldon	RB	25	6'1" 223	2	Alabama	ACT
27	Leonard Fournette	RB	22	6'0" 228	R	Louisiana State	ACT
30	Corey Grant	RB	27	5'11" 203	2	Auburn	ACT
31	Brandon Wilds	RB	24	6'0" 220	1	South Carolina	DEV
33	Chris Ivory	RB	29	6'0" 223	7	Tiffin University	ACT
34	Jonathan Grimes	RB	—	5'10" 210	5	William & Mary	CUT
34	Tyler Gaffney	RB	26	6'0" 220	3	Stanford	RES
35	DuJuan Harris	RB	—	5'7" 206	6	Troy	CUT
35	Jhurrell Pressley	RB	25	5'10" 206	1	New Mexico	CUT
40	Tommy Bohanon	RB	28	6'1" 246	4	Wake Forest	ACT
41	Tim Cook	RB	23	6'0" 242	R	Oregon State	NWT
43	I'Tavius Mathers	RB	25	5'11" 203	R	Middle Tennessee State	RES
80	James O'Shaughnessy	TE	25	6'4" 245	2	Illinois State	ACT
81	Mychal Rivera	TE	28	6'3" 245	4	Tennessee	RES
83	Ben Koyack	TE	24	6'5" 258	2	Notre Dame	ACT
84	Keelan Cole	WR	24	6'1" 194	R	Kentucky Wesleyan	ACT
85	Jaydon Mickens	WR	23	5'10" 174	1	Washington	ACT
85	Caleb Bluiett	TE	—	6'3" 252	R	Texas	CUT
86	David Grinnage	TE	23	6'5" 265	1	North Carolina State	DEV
86	Kenneth Walker	WR	—	5'9" 188	R	UCLA	CUT
88	Allen Hurns	WR	27	6'3" 201	3	Miami	ACT
89	Marcedes Lewis	TE	33	6'6" 280	11	UCLA	ACT

Offensive line15

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	A.J. Cann	OL	27	6'3" 315	2	South Carolina	ACT
62	Nila Kasitati	OL	—	6'4" 315	1	Oklahoma	CUT
63	Brandon Thomas	OL	26	6'3" 317	3	Clemson	DEV
64	Chris Reed	OL	25	6'5" 310	2	Minn. State-Mankato	ACT
65	Brandon Linder	OL	25	6'6" 315	3	Miami	ACT
66	Avery Gennesy	OL	23	6'5" 318	R	Texas A&M	NWT
69	Tyler Shatley	OL	26	6'3" 310	3	Clemson	ACT
72	Josh Wells	OL	26	6'6" 306	3	James Madison	ACT
73	Josh Walker	OL	26	6'5" 330	3	Middle Tennessee State	ACT
74	Cam Robinson	OL	23	6'6" 320	R	Alabama	ACT
75	William Poehls	OL	27	6'8" 344	3	Montana	ACT
76	Malcolm Bunche	OL	—	6'6" 320	2	UCLA	CUT
77	Patrick Omameh	OL	29	6'4" 327	4	Michigan	ACT
78	Jermey Parnell	OL	31	6'6" 326	8	Mississippi	ACT
78	Norman Price	OL	23	6'4" 311	1	Southern Mississippi	CUT

Defensive front27

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Myles Jack	LB	23	6'1" 244	1	UCLA	ACT
45	Josh McNary	LB	—	6'0" 251	4	Army	CUT
47	Brooks Ellis	LB	22	6'2" 245	R	Arkansas	DEV
49	Justin Horton	LB	—	6'2" 235	R	Jacksonville	CUT
50	Akeem Dent	LB	—	6'1" 250	6	Georgia	CUT
50	Telvin Smith	LB	26	6'3" 215	3	Florida State	ACT
51	Paul Posluszny	LB	34	6'2" 232	10	Penn State	ACT
52	Donald Payne	LB	23	5'11" 217	R	Stetson University	ACT
53	Blair Brown	LB	23	5'11" 238	R	Ohio	ACT
54	Eli Ankou	DL	23	6'3" 290	R	UCLA	ACT
55	Lerentee McCray	DL	27	6'3" 249	4	Florida	ACT
56	Dante Fowler	DL	23	6'3" 255	2	Florida	ACT
58	Deon King	LB	24	6'2" 220	1	Norfolk State	ACT
58	P.J. Davis	LB	—	5'9" 232	R	Georgia Tech	CUT
59	Carroll Phillips	DL	26	6'3" 242	R	Illinois	ACT
67	Tueni Lupeamanu	DL	—	6'0" 282	R	Idaho	CUT
75	Kevin Maurice	DL	—	6'3" 300	R	Nebraska	CUT
79	Hunter Dimick	DL	25	6'3" 268	R	Utah	DEV
91	Yannick Ngakoue	DL	22	6'2" 246	1	Maryland	ACT
93	Calais Campbell	DL	32	6'8" 300	9	Miami	ACT
94	Dawuane Smoot	DL	22	6'3" 264	R	Illinois	ACT
95	Abry Jones	DL	27	6'4" 318	4	Georgia	ACT
96	Darius Kilgo	DL	27	6'3" 319	2	Maryland	DEV
96	Michael Bennett	DL	24	6'2" 287	2	Ohio State	RES
97	Malik Jackson	DL	27	6'5" 290	5	Tennessee	ACT
99	Marcell Dareus	DL	27	6'3" 331	6	Alabama	ACT
99	Malliciah Goodman	DL	—	6'4" 276	4	Clemson	CUT

Secondary21

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Jalen Ramsey	DB	24	6'1" 208	1	Florida State	ACT
21	A.J. Bouye	DB	26	6'0" 191	4	Central Florida	ACT
22	Aaron Colvin	DB	27	6'0" 193	3	Oklahoma	ACT
23	Jeron Johnson	DB	—	5'10" 212	6	Boise State	CUT
23	Tyler Patmon	DB	26	5'10" 188	3	Oklahoma State	ACT
25	Peyton Thompson	DB	28	5'10" 184	5	San Jose State	ACT
26	Jarrod Wilson	DB	23	6'2" 210	1	Michigan	ACT
29	Josh Johnson	DB	29	5'10" 188	4	Purdue	CUT
29	Sammy Seamster	DB	26	6'0" 205	3	Middle Tennessee State	DEV
29	Calvin Pryor	DB	25	5'11" 207	3	Louisville	CUT
29	Dwayne Thomas	DB	—	6'0" 201	R	LSU	CUT
31	Jalen Myrick	DB	22	5'10" 200	R	Minnesota	ACT
34	Charles James	DB	—	5'9" 185	4	Charleston Southern	CUT
34	Ezra Robinson	DB	—	5'11" 189	R	Tennessee State	CUT
35	Jarrod Harper	DB	23	6'0" 210	R	West Virginia	RES
39	Tashaun Gipson	DB	27	5'11" 212	5	Wyoming	ACT
41	Brian Dixon	DB	—	6'0" 195	3	Northwest Missouri State	CUT
41	Tracy Howard	DB	23	5'10" 185	1	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
42	Barry Church	DB	29	6'2" 218	7	Toledo	ACT
43	Charles Gaines	DB	—	5'10" 180	2	Louisville	CUT
—	Charlie Miller	DB	23	6'0" 174	R	Dartmouth	DEV

Specialists7

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Jason Myers	K	26	5'10" 190	2	Marist	CUT
3	Brad Nortman	P	29	6'2" 214	5	Wisconsin	ACT
4	Josh Lambo	K	28	6'0" 215	2	Texas A&M	ACT
6	Mike Meyer	K	25	6'2" 190	2	Iowa	CUT
43	Matt Overton	LS	32	6'1" 243	7	Western Washington	RES
46	Carson Tinker	LS	29	6'0" 237	4	Alabama	RES
49	Colin Holba	LS	23	6'4" 245	R	Louisville	ACT

Schedule

19 games

Jacksonville Jaguars schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Texans	W 29-7	+5.5	+0.101
2	vs Titans	L 16-37	+1	-0.193
3	vs Ravens	W 44-7	+3	+0.240
4	@ Jets	L 20-23	-4	-0.117
5	@ Steelers	W 30-9	+7.5	+0.095
6	vs Rams	L 17-27	-1	-0.099
7	@ Colts	W 27-0	-3	+0.220
9	vs Bengals	W 23-7	-6	+0.124
10	vs Chargers	W 20-17	-5	-0.125
11	@ Browns	W 19-7	-7.5	-0.199
12	@ Cardinals	L 24-27	-6.5	-0.148
13	vs Colts	W 30-10	-10	+0.265
14	vs Seahawks	W 30-24	-3	+0.182
15	vs Texans	W 45-7	-10.5	+0.293
16	@ 49ers	L 33-44	-4	+0.015
17	@ Titans	L 10-15	+2.5	-0.292
WC	vs Bills	W 10-3	-8.5	-0.127
DIV	@ Steelers	W 45-42	+7	+0.322
CON	@ Patriots	L 20-24	+7.5	+0.050