AFC West · 2019
Kansas City Chiefs
Record
12-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.120est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.135
- Success rate47.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.247
- EPA / rush-0.094
- Explosive rate8.2%
- CPOE+1.86
- Third-down rate48.7%
- Red-zone TD rate68.1%
- Points / drive2.59
- Turnover rate1.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.002
- Success rate allowed44.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.016
- EPA / rush allowed-0.024
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.2%
- Sack rate6.5%
- Points / drive allowed1.76
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.135 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.002 · 56th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+4.3 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
6-2
As favorite
8-4-1
As dog
2-1
O/U
8-8
-2.4 vs total
Roster
95 players
46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chad Henne | QB | 34 | 6'3" 222 | 11 | Michigan | INA |
| 8 | Matt Moore | QB | 35 | 6'3" 219 | 12 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 9 | Kyle Shurmur | QB | 24 | 6'4" 225 | R | Vanderbilt | DEV |
| 15 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | 25 | 6'3" 230 | 2 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 40 | John Lovett | QB | 23 | 6'3" 225 | R | Princeton | RES |
Backs & receivers27
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jody Fortson | TE | 25 | 6'6" 230 | R | Valdosta State | DEV |
| 10 | Tyreek Hill | WR | 25 | 5'10" 185 | 3 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 11 | Demarcus Robinson | WR | 26 | 6'1" 203 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
| 12 | Gehrig Dieter | WR | 26 | 6'3" 208 | 2 | Alabama | DEV |
| 13 | Byron Pringle | WR | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 14 | Sammy Watkins | WR | 26 | 6'1" 211 | 5 | Clemson | ACT |
| 17 | Mecole Hardman | WR | 21 | 5'10" 187 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 19 | Marcus Kemp | WR | 24 | 6'4" 210 | 2 | Hawaii | RES |
| 25 | LeSean McCoy | RB | 31 | 5'11" 210 | 10 | Pittsburgh | INA |
| 26 | Damien Williams | RB | 27 | 5'11" 224 | 5 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 31 | Darrel Williams | RB | 24 | 5'11" 224 | 1 | Louisiana State | RES |
| 34 | Darwin Thompson | RB | 22 | 5'8" 200 | R | Utah State | ACT |
| 36 | Elijah McGuire | RB | 25 | 5'10" 214 | 2 | Louisiana-Lafayette | DEV |
| 38 | Marcus Marshall | RB | 22 | 5'10" 200 | R | James Madison | CUT |
| 39 | Spencer Ware | RB | 29 | 5'10" 229 | 6 | Louisiana State | RES |
| 40 | Mike Weber | RB | 22 | 5'10" 210 | R | Ohio State | DEV |
| 42 | Anthony Sherman | RB | 32 | 5'10" 242 | 8 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 47 | Manasseh Garner | TE | — | 6'2" 240 | 4 | Pittsburgh | CUT |
| 48 | Nick Keizer | TE | 24 | 6'4" 251 | 1 | Grand Valley State | DEV |
| 80 | Felton Davis | WR | 22 | 6'3" 211 | R | Michigan State | RES |
| 81 | Blake Bell | TE | 28 | 6'6" 252 | 4 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 82 | Deon Yelder | TE | 24 | 6'4" 255 | 1 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 85 | Davon Grayson | WR | 25 | 6'2" 187 | 1 | East Carolina | CUT |
| 86 | Alize Mack | TE | 22 | 6'4" 249 | R | Notre Dame | CUT |
| 87 | Travis Kelce | TE | 31 | 6'5" 260 | 6 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 88 | Jalen Tolliver | WR | — | 6'3" 210 | 1 | Arkansas-Monticello | CUT |
| 88 | David Wells | TE | 24 | 6'6" 260 | 1 | San Diego State | RES |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Ryan Hunter | OL | 24 | 6'3" 316 | 1 | Bowling Green | INA |
| 61 | Stefen Wisniewski | OL | 30 | 6'3" 305 | 8 | Penn State | ACT |
| 61 | Zack Golditch | OL | — | 6'5" 295 | 1 | Colorado State | CUT |
| 62 | Austin Reiter | OL | 29 | 6'3" 300 | 4 | South Florida | ACT |
| 68 | Jackson Barton | OL | 24 | 6'7" 302 | R | Utah | INA |
| 70 | Pace Murphy | OL | 25 | 6'6" 308 | 3 | Northwestern State-Louisiana | CUT |
| 70 | Greg Senat | OL | 26 | 6'6" 305 | 1 | Wagner | RES |
| 71 | Mitchell Schwartz | OL | 30 | 6'5" 320 | 7 | California | ACT |
| 72 | Eric Fisher | OL | 28 | 6'7" 315 | 6 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 73 | Nick Allegretti | OL | 23 | 6'4" 320 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 74 | Martinas Rankin | OL | 26 | 6'5" 311 | 1 | Mississippi State | RES |
| 75 | Cameron Erving | OL | 27 | 6'5" 313 | 4 | Florida State | ACT |
| 76 | Laurent Duvernay-Tardif | OL | 28 | 6'5" 321 | 5 | McGill | ACT |
| 77 | Andrew Wylie | OL | 25 | 6'6" 309 | 2 | Eastern Michigan | INA |
| 79 | Jeff Allen | OL | 29 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | Illinois | CUT |
Defensive front27
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Emmanuel Smith | LB | 24 | 6'2" 240 | 1 | Vanderbilt | DEV |
| 44 | Dorian O'Daniel | LB | 26 | 6'1" 220 | 1 | Clemson | ACT |
| 45 | D'Juan Hines | LB | — | 6'1" 235 | 1 | Houston | CUT |
| 46 | Raymond Davison | LB | — | 6'1" 230 | 1 | California | CUT |
| 47 | Darius Harris | LB | 23 | 6'2" 238 | R | Middle Tennessee | RSN |
| 50 | Darron Lee | LB | 26 | 6'1" 232 | 3 | Ohio State | INA |
| 52 | Demone Harris | DL | 25 | 6'4" 272 | 1 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 53 | Anthony Hitchens | LB | 27 | 6'0" 235 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 54 | Damien Wilson | LB | 26 | 6'0" 243 | 4 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 55 | Frank Clark | DL | 26 | 6'3" 260 | 4 | Michigan | ACT |
| 56 | Ben Niemann | LB | 24 | 6'2" 233 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 57 | Breeland Speaks | LB | 25 | 6'3" 285 | 1 | Mississippi | RES |
| 59 | Reggie Ragland | LB | 27 | 6'2" 252 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
| 64 | Mike Pennel | DL | 28 | 6'4" 332 | 5 | Colorado State-Pueblo | ACT |
| 79 | Tim Ward | DL | 22 | 6'6" 255 | R | Old Dominion | RSN |
| 90 | Emmanuel Ogbah | DL | 27 | 6'4" 275 | 3 | Oklahoma State | RES |
| 91 | Derrick Nnadi | DL | 23 | 6'1" 310 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 92 | Tanoh Kpassagnon | DL | 25 | 6'7" 289 | 2 | Villanova | ACT |
| 94 | Terrell Suggs | LB | 38 | 6'3" 265 | 16 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 94 | Hunter Dimick | DL | — | 6'3" 268 | 2 | Utah | CUT |
| 95 | Chris Jones | DL | 25 | 6'6" 308 | 3 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 96 | Cavon Walker | DL | 25 | 6'2" 278 | 1 | Maryland | CUT |
| 97 | Alex Okafor | DL | 28 | 6'4" 261 | 6 | Texas | RES |
| 97 | Braxton Hoyett | DL | 23 | 6'3" 310 | R | Mississippi State | DEV |
| 98 | Xavier Williams | DL | 27 | 6'2" 309 | 4 | Northern Iowa | ACT |
| 99 | Devaroe Lawrence | DL | 28 | 6'2" 295 | 2 | Auburn | DEV |
| 99 | Khalen Saunders | DL | 23 | 6'0" 324 | R | Western Illinois | ACT |
Secondary18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Morris Claiborne | DB | 29 | 5'11" 192 | 7 | Louisiana State | INA |
| 20 | Keith Reaser | DB | 28 | 6'0" 190 | 5 | Florida Atlantic | RES |
| 21 | Bashaud Breeland | DB | 27 | 5'11" 195 | 5 | Clemson | ACT |
| 22 | Juan Thornhill | DB | 25 | 6'0" 205 | R | Virginia | RES |
| 23 | Armani Watts | DB | 23 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 24 | Jordan Lucas | DB | 26 | 6'1" 190 | 3 | Penn State | ACT |
| 25 | Michael Hunter | DB | — | 6'0" 192 | 3 | Oklahoma State | CUT |
| 27 | Rashad Fenton | DB | 22 | 5'11" 188 | R | South Carolina | ACT |
| 29 | Kendall Fuller | DB | 24 | 5'11" 198 | 3 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 30 | Harold Jones-Quartey | DB | — | 5'11" 210 | 4 | Findlay | CUT |
| 30 | Chris Lammons | DB | 23 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | South Carolina | DEV |
| 30 | Alex Brown | DB | 23 | 5'9" 170 | R | South Carolina State | ACT |
| 31 | Andrew Soroh | DB | 23 | 6'2" 210 | R | Florida Atlantic | CUT |
| 32 | Tyrann Mathieu | DB | 27 | 5'9" 190 | 6 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 35 | Charvarius Ward | DB | 23 | 6'1" 195 | 1 | Middle Tennessee | ACT |
| 40 | D'Montre Wade | DB | — | 5'11" 206 | 1 | Murray State | CUT |
| 43 | Dakari Monroe | DB | — | 5'11" 191 | R | San Jose State | CUT |
| 49 | Daniel Sorensen | DB | 29 | 6'2" 208 | 5 | Brigham Young | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dustin Colquitt | P | 37 | 6'3" 210 | 14 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 7 | Harrison Butker | K | 24 | 6'4" 205 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 41 | James Winchester | LS | 30 | 6'3" 240 | 6 | Oklahoma | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jaguars | W 40-26 | -3.5 | +0.366 |
| 2 | @ Raiders | W 28-10 | -7 | +0.195 |
| 3 | vs Ravens | W 33-28 | -4.5 | +0.310 |
| 4 | @ Lions | W 34-30 | -7.5 | +0.134 |
| 5 | vs Colts | L 13-19 | -10.5 | -0.085 |
| 6 | vs Texans | L 24-31 | -3.5 | +0.066 |
| 7 | @ Broncos | W 30-6 | -3 | -0.005 |
| 8 | vs Packers | L 24-31 | +5 | +0.123 |
| 9 | vs Vikings | W 26-23 | +5.5 | +0.108 |
| 10 | @ Titans | L 32-35 | -5 | +0.125 |
| 11 | @ Chargers | W 24-17 | -5.5 | +0.042 |
| 13 | vs Raiders | W 40-9 | -11.5 | +0.167 |
| 14 | @ Patriots | W 23-16 | +3 | -0.023 |
| 15 | vs Broncos | W 23-3 | -10 | +0.192 |
| 16 | @ Bears | W 26-3 | -6.5 | +0.201 |
| 17 | vs Chargers | W 31-21 | -10 | +0.223 |
| DIV | vs Texans | W 51-31 | -10 | +0.466 |
| CON | vs Titans | W 35-24 | -7.5 | +0.398 |
| SB | vs 49ers | W 31-20 | -1.5 | +0.248 |