AFC East · 2006
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.155est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.063
- Success rate44.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.118
- EPA / rush-0.007
- Explosive rate9.2%
- CPOE+0.89
- Third-down rate43.7%
- Red-zone TD rate58.5%
- Points / drive1.82
- Turnover rate2.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.098
- Success rate allowed38.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.062
- EPA / rush allowed-0.154
- Explosive rate allowed7.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)23.2%
- Sack rate7.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.19
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.063 · 88th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.098 · 12th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+4.3 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
7-1
As favorite
6-7
As dog
3-0
O/U
6-10
-1.0 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 29 | 6'4" 225 | 6 | Michigan | ACT |
| 14 | Vinny Testaverde | QB | 44 | 6'5" 233 | 19 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Matt Cassel | QB | 24 | 6'4" 225 | 1 | USC | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jabar Gaffney | WR | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Brandon Childress | WR | 24 | 5'10" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Chad Jackson | WR | 21 | 6'1" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 19 | Kelvin Kight | WR | 24 | 6'0" 213 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Corey Dillon | RB | 33 | 6'1" 225 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 30 | 5'8" 202 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Laurence Maroney | RB | 21 | 5'11" 220 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Heath Evans | FB | 29 | 6'0" 250 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Troy Brown | WR | 35 | 5'10" 196 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Daniel Graham | TE | 29 | 6'3" 257 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 27 | 6'3" 255 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 86 | David Thomas | TE | 23 | 6'3" 248 | R | — | ACT |
| 87 | Reche Caldwell | WR | 27 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 31 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Gene Mruczkowski | G | 26 | 6'2" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Wesley Britt | T | 26 | 6'8" 320 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 28 | 6'2" 296 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Ryan O'Callaghan | T | 23 | 6'7" 330 | R | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 30 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Nick Kaczur | T | 27 | 6'4" 315 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | Corey Mays | LB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | R | — | ACT |
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 31 | 6'4" 261 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Eric Alexander | ILB | 24 | 6'2" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 33 | 5'10" 228 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 33 | 6'1" 247 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Pierre Woods | OLB | 24 | 6'5" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Rosevelt Colvin | OLB | 30 | 6'3" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 26 | 6'2" 325 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Le Kevin Smith | NT | 24 | 6'1" 308 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Marquise Hill | DE | 24 | 6'6" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 28 | 6'6" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 25 | 6'5" 300 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Tully Banta-Cain | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 27 | 6'3" 285 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Mike Wright | DE | 24 | 6'4" 295 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 25 | 5'10" 185 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Willie Andrews | FS | 24 | 5'10" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 25 | Artrell Hawkins | SS | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Ellis Hobbs | CB | 23 | 5'9" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Chad Scott | CB | 33 | 6'1" 205 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Antwain Spann | CB | 23 | 6'0" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Rashad Baker | FS | 24 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 32 | Rashad Baker | FS | 24 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | SS | 24 | 5'10" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Rodney Harrison | SS | 35 | 6'1" 220 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Ray Mickens | CB | 33 | 5'8" 180 | 10 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 22 | 6'1" 210 | R | Memphis | ACT |
| 18 | Todd Sauerbrun | P | 33 | 5'10" 215 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | LS | 28 | 6'2" 260 | 6 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bills | W 19-17 | -10 | -0.021 |
| 2 | @ Jets | W 24-17 | -6 | +0.186 |
| 3 | vs Broncos | L 7-17 | -6.5 | -0.088 |
| 4 | @ Bengals | W 38-13 | +5.5 | +0.326 |
| 5 | vs Dolphins | W 20-10 | -9.5 | -0.017 |
| 7 | @ Bills | W 28-6 | -5.5 | +0.180 |
| 8 | @ Vikings | W 31-7 | -1 | +0.095 |
| 9 | vs Colts | L 20-27 | -3 | -0.060 |
| 10 | vs Jets | L 14-17 | -10.5 | -0.057 |
| 11 | @ Packers | W 35-0 | -5.5 | +0.240 |
| 12 | vs Bears | W 17-13 | -4.5 | -0.060 |
| 13 | vs Lions | W 28-21 | -13 | +0.027 |
| 14 | @ Dolphins | L 0-21 | -3 | -0.279 |
| 15 | vs Texans | W 40-7 | -13 | -0.007 |
| 16 | @ Jaguars | W 24-21 | +3 | +0.216 |
| 17 | @ Titans | W 40-23 | +3.5 | +0.322 |
| WC | vs Jets | W 37-16 | -9.5 | +0.152 |
| DIV | @ Chargers | W 24-21 | +5 | -0.092 |
| CON | @ Colts | L 34-38 | +3.5 | +0.083 |