AFC East · 2009
New England Patriots
Record
10-6
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.097est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.118
- Success rate49.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.223
- EPA / rush-0.033
- Explosive rate8.3%
- CPOE+3.43
- Third-down rate44.2%
- Red-zone TD rate60.0%
- Points / drive2.12
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.031
- Success rate allowed42.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.011
- EPA / rush allowed-0.090
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.9%
- Sack rate5.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.46
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.118 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.031 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
+3.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
7-6
As dog
1-1-1
O/U
5-10-1
-0.9 vs total
Roster
56 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Hoyer | QB | 25 | 6'2" 215 | R | Michigan State | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 32 | 6'4" 225 | 9 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 23 | 6'0" 198 | R | Kent State | ACT |
| 15 | Isaiah Stanback | WR | 25 | 6'2" 208 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 25 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
| 21 | Fred Taylor | RB | 33 | 6'1" 228 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Fred Taylor | RB | 33 | 6'1" 228 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 33 | 5'8" 202 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Sammy Morris | RB | 32 | 6'0" 220 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Laurence Maroney | RB | 24 | 5'11" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 42 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | RB | 24 | 5'11" 215 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Randy Moss | WR | 32 | 6'4" 210 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 30 | 6'3" 255 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
| 86 | Chris Baker | TE | 31 | 6'3" 258 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Sam Aiken | WR | 30 | 6'2" 215 | 6 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Rich Ohrnberger | G | 23 | 6'2" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 34 | 6'4" 305 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | G | 28 | 6'4" 313 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Mark LeVoir | T | 27 | 6'7" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 31 | 6'2" 296 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Ryan Wendell | C | 23 | 6'2" 285 | 1 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 4 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 31 | 6'4" 305 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 25 | 6'8" 315 | R | Houston | ACT |
| 77 | Nick Kaczur | T | 30 | 6'4" 315 | 4 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Thomas Williams | MLB | 26 | 6'1" 237 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Thomas Williams | MLB | 26 | 6'1" 237 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 255 | 3 | Purdue | ACT |
| 51 | Jerod Mayo | ILB | 23 | 6'1" 245 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 52 | Eric Alexander | ILB | 27 | 6'2" 240 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Derrick Burgess | OLB | 31 | 6'2" 260 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Junior Seau | ILB | 40 | 6'3" 250 | 19 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Pierre Woods | OLB | 27 | 6'5" 255 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Gary Guyton | ILB | 25 | 6'3" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 29 | 6'2" 325 | 5 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 91 | Myron Pryor | DE | 23 | 6'1" 310 | R | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ron Brace | NT | 24 | 6'3" 330 | R | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 28 | 6'5" 300 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Tully Banta-Cain | OLB | 29 | 6'2" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Adalius Thomas | OLB | 32 | 6'2" 270 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 30 | 6'3" 285 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Mike Wright | NT | 27 | 6'4" 295 | 4 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Terrence Wheatley | CB | 24 | 5'9" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Leigh Bodden | CB | 29 | 6'1" 193 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Jonathan Wilhite | CB | 25 | 5'11" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Patrick Chung | SS | 22 | 5'11" 212 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 27 | Kyle Arrington | DB | 23 | 5'10" 196 | 1 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 27 | Kyle Arrington | DB | 23 | 5'10" 196 | 1 | Hofstra | TRC |
| 28 | Darius Butler | CB | 23 | 5'10" 185 | R | Connecticut | ACT |
| 29 | Shawn Springs | CB | 34 | 6'0" 204 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Brandon McGowan | FS | 27 | 5'11" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Brandon Meriweather | SS | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | FS | 27 | 5'10" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 25 | 6'1" 215 | 3 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Chris Hanson | P | 34 | 6'2" 202 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Jake Ingram | LS | 25 | 6'3" 235 | R | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bills | W 25-24 | -13.5 | +0.065 |
| 2 | @ Jets | L 9-16 | -3.5 | -0.077 |
| 3 | vs Falcons | W 26-10 | -4.5 | +0.185 |
| 4 | vs Ravens | W 27-21 | -1 | +0.081 |
| 5 | @ Broncos | L 17-20 | -3 | -0.028 |
| 6 | vs Titans | W 59-0 | -9.5 | +0.535 |
| 7 | @ Buccaneers | W 35-7 | -15.5 | +0.170 |
| 9 | vs Dolphins | W 27-17 | -10.5 | +0.189 |
| 10 | @ Colts | L 34-35 | +1 | +0.106 |
| 11 | vs Jets | W 31-14 | -10.5 | +0.110 |
| 12 | @ Saints | L 17-38 | +1 | -0.003 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | L 21-22 | -4.5 | +0.141 |
| 14 | vs Panthers | W 20-10 | -12.5 | -0.047 |
| 15 | @ Bills | W 17-10 | -6.5 | +0.065 |
| 16 | vs Jaguars | W 35-7 | -9.5 | +0.396 |
| 17 | @ Texans | L 27-34 | +9 | -0.018 |
| WC | vs Ravens | L 14-33 | -3.5 | -0.430 |