AFC East · 2014
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.072est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.090
- Success rate46.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.173
- EPA / rush-0.046
- Explosive rate7.6%
- CPOE+1.32
- Third-down rate45.6%
- Red-zone TD rate60.2%
- Points / drive2.38
- Turnover rate1.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.026
- Success rate allowed43.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.023
- EPA / rush allowed-0.112
- Explosive rate allowed9.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.5%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.55
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.090 · 84th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.026 · 43th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+5.8 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
5-6
As dog
4-1
O/U
9-7
-0.1 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | 24 | 6'2" 225 | R | Eastern Illinois | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 37 | 6'4" 225 | 14 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 28 | 5'10" 200 | 5 | Kent State | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 30 | 6'0" 210 | 6 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Brandon LaFell | WR | 29 | 6'3" 210 | 4 | LSU | ACT |
| 28 | James White | RB | 22 | 5'10" 206 | R | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 29 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 29 | 6'0" 250 | 4 | Oregon | TRD |
| 29 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 29 | 6'0" 250 | 4 | Oregon | ACT |
| 34 | Shane Vereen | RB | 25 | 5'10" 205 | 3 | California | ACT |
| 35 | Jonas Gray | RB | 24 | 5'10" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 24 | 5'11" 220 | 2 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 46 | James Develin | FB | 26 | 6'3" 255 | 4 | Brown | ACT |
| 47 | Michael Hoomanawanui | TE | 26 | 6'4" 260 | 4 | Illinois | ACT |
| 80 | Danny Amendola | WR | 30 | 5'11" 195 | 6 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 81 | Timothy Wright | TE | 24 | 6'4" 220 | 1 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Boyce | WR | 23 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 84 | Brian Tyms | WR | 25 | 6'3" 204 | 2 | Florida A&M | ACT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 25 | 6'6" 265 | 4 | Arizona | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | T | 26 | 6'5" 335 | 3 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | C | 28 | 6'2" 300 | 6 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | G | 33 | 6'4" 305 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Jordan Devey | T | 26 | 6'6" 317 | 1 | Memphis | ACT |
| 66 | Bryan Stork | C | 25 | 6'4" 310 | R | — | ACT |
| 67 | Josh Kline | G | 26 | 6'3" 295 | 1 | Kent State | ACT |
| 71 | Cameron Fleming | T | 23 | 6'6" 325 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 30 | 6'8" 320 | 5 | Houston | ACT |
| 77 | Nate Solder | T | 26 | 6'8" 320 | 3 | Colorado | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | DE | 30 | 6'2" 260 | 8 | Purdue | ACT |
| 52 | Jonathan Casillas | OLB | 27 | 6'1" 227 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 52 | Jonathan Casillas | OLB | 27 | 6'1" 227 | 5 | Wisconsin | TRC |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 270 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | Akeem Ayers | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | UCLA | ACT |
| 55 | Akeem Ayers | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | UCLA | TRD |
| 58 | Darius Fleming | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 255 | 2 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 59 | Chris White | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 238 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Joe Vellano | DT | 27 | 6'2" 300 | 1 | Maryland | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | DT | 34 | 6'2" 325 | 10 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Zach Moore | DE | 25 | 6'6" 275 | R | Concordia-St. Paul | ACT |
| 91 | Jamie Collins | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 250 | 1 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 94 | Chris Jones | DT | 24 | 6'1" 309 | 1 | Bowling Green State | ACT |
| 95 | Chandler Jones | DE | 24 | 6'5" 265 | 2 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 96 | Sealver Siliga | DT | 24 | 6'2" 325 | 3 | Utah | ACT |
| 97 | Alan Branch | DT | 31 | 6'6" 325 | 7 | Michigan | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Malcolm Butler | CB | 24 | 5'11" 190 | R | West Alabama | ACT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | FS | 27 | 5'11" 210 | 5 | Oregon | ACT |
| 24 | Darrelle Revis | CB | 29 | 5'11" 198 | 7 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 25 | Kyle Arrington | CB | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 6 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 26 | Logan Ryan | CB | 23 | 5'11" 195 | 1 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 27 | Tavon Wilson | SS | 24 | 6'0" 215 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 30 | Duron Harmon | FS | 23 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | SS | 27 | 5'10" 195 | 4 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 39 | Brandon Browner | CB | 30 | 6'4" 221 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | FS | 27 | 6'0" 210 | 2 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 30 | 6'1" 215 | 8 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 24 | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 48 | Danny Aiken | LS | 26 | 6'4" 255 | 3 | Virginia | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Dolphins | L 20-33 | -3.5 | -0.149 |
| 2 | @ Vikings | W 30-7 | -3.5 | -0.020 |
| 3 | vs Raiders | W 16-9 | -14 | +0.023 |
| 4 | @ Chiefs | L 14-41 | -3 | -0.219 |
| 5 | vs Bengals | W 43-17 | +2.5 | +0.164 |
| 6 | @ Bills | W 37-22 | +1 | +0.349 |
| 7 | vs Jets | W 27-25 | -9.5 | +0.152 |
| 8 | vs Bears | W 51-23 | -5.5 | +0.358 |
| 9 | vs Broncos | W 43-21 | +3 | +0.059 |
| 11 | @ Colts | W 42-20 | +3 | +0.436 |
| 12 | vs Lions | W 34-9 | -7.5 | +0.095 |
| 13 | @ Packers | L 21-26 | +3 | +0.235 |
| 14 | @ Chargers | W 23-14 | -4 | -0.066 |
| 15 | vs Dolphins | W 41-13 | -9.5 | +0.184 |
| 16 | @ Jets | W 17-16 | -10 | -0.030 |
| 17 | vs Bills | L 9-17 | -4.5 | -0.163 |
| DIV | vs Ravens | W 35-31 | -7 | +0.311 |
| CON | vs Colts | W 45-7 | -7 | +0.224 |
| SB | @ Seahawks | W 28-24 | -1 | +0.136 |