NFC West · 2012

San Francisco 49ers

Record

11-4-1

Seed

Net EPA

+0.110est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.105
Success rate47.9%
EPA / dropback+0.170
EPA / rush+0.029
Explosive rate12.9%
CPOE+5.02
Third-down rate35.1%
Red-zone TD rate54.7%
Points / drive1.92
Turnover rate1.4%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.075
Success rate allowed40.9%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.031
EPA / rush allowed-0.154
Explosive rate allowed6.2%
Pressure rate (proxy)15.6%
Sack rate5.7%
Points / drive allowed1.38

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.105 · 84th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.075 · 16th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+2.3 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

5-3

As favorite

7-6

As dog

2-1

O/U

9-6-1

+0.0 vs total

Roster

53 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Scott Tolzien	QB	26	6'3" 208	1	Wisconsin	ACT
7	Colin Kaepernick	QB	26	6'4" 230	1	Nevada	ACT
11	Alex Smith	QB	28	6'4" 217	7	Utah	ACT

Backs & receivers13

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
14	Chad Hall	WR	26	5'8" 187	2	—	ACT
15	Michael Crabtree	WR	26	6'1" 214	3	Texas Tech	ACT
17	A.J. Jenkins	WR	24	6'0" 192	R	—	ACT
19	Ted Ginn	WR	27	5'11" 180	5	Ohio State	ACT
21	Frank Gore	RB	29	5'9" 217	7	Miami	ACT
23	LaMichael James	RB	24	5'9" 195	R	Oregon	ACT
24	Anthony Dixon	RB	26	6'1" 233	2	Mississippi State	ACT
33	Jewel Hampton	RB	24	5'9" 210	R	—	ACT
46	Delanie Walker	TE	28	6'0" 242	6	Central Missouri State	ACT
49	Bruce Miller	FB	25	6'2" 248	1	Central Florida	ACT
81	Garrett Celek	TE	24	6'5" 252	R	Michigan State	ACT
84	Randy Moss	WR	35	6'4" 210	14	—	ACT
85	Vernon Davis	TE	28	6'3" 250	6	Maryland	ACT

Offensive line8

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
59	Jonathan Goodwin	C	35	6'3" 318	10	—	ACT
66	Joe Looney	G	22	6'3" 309	R	Wake Forest	ACT
67	Daniel Kilgore	G	26	6'3" 308	1	Appalachian State	ACT
68	Leonard Davis	G	35	6'6" 355	11	—	ACT
74	Joe Staley	T	28	6'5" 315	5	Central Michigan	ACT
75	Alex Boone	G	25	6'8" 300	3	Ohio State	ACT
76	Anthony Davis	T	24	6'5" 323	2	—	ACT
77	Mike Iupati	G	25	6'5" 331	2	Idaho	ACT

Defensive front16

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
48	Will Tukuafu	DT	28	6'4" 293	2	Oregon	ACT
50	Cam Johnson	LB	22	6'3" 268	R	Virginia	ACT
51	Clark Haggans	OLB	35	6'4" 243	12	—	ACT
52	Patrick Willis	ILB	27	6'1" 240	5	—	ACT
53	Navorro Bowman	ILB	24	6'0" 242	2	Penn State	ACT
54	Larry Grant	ILB	27	6'1" 251	4	—	ACT
55	Ahmad Brooks	OLB	28	6'3" 259	6	Virginia	ACT
56	Tavares Gooden	ILB	29	6'1" 242	4	—	ACT
57	Michael Wilhoite	LB	27	6'0" 240	1	Washburn	ACT
63	Tony Jerod-Eddie	DE	22	6'5" 301	R	Texas A&M	ACT
90	Isaac Sopoaga	NT	32	6'2" 330	8	—	ACT
91	Ray McDonald	DT	29	6'3" 290	5	—	ACT
93	Ian Williams	NT	23	6'1" 305	1	—	ACT
94	Justin Smith	DT	34	6'4" 285	11	—	ACT
95	Ricky Jean Francois	DT	27	6'3" 295	3	LSU	ACT
99	Aldon Smith	OLB	24	6'4" 258	1	Missouri	ACT

Secondary10

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Perrish Cox	CB	25	6'0" 190	2	Oklahoma State	ACT
22	Carlos Rogers	CB	31	6'0" 192	7	—	ACT
25	Tarell Brown	CB	27	5'10" 193	5	Texas	ACT
26	Tramaine Brock	CB	24	5'10" 197	2	Belhaven	ACT
27	C.J. Spillman	SS	26	6'0" 199	3	—	ACT
28	Darcel McBath	FS	28	6'1" 198	3	—	ACT
29	Chris Culliver	CB	24	6'0" 199	1	South Carolina	ACT
30	Trenton Robinson	DB	22	5'9" 193	R	—	ACT
31	Donte Whitner	SS	27	5'10" 208	6	Ohio State	ACT
38	Dashon Goldson	FS	29	6'2" 200	5	Washington	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	David Akers	K	39	5'10" 200	15	—	ACT
4	Andy Lee	P	30	6'2" 180	8	Pittsburgh	ACT
86	Brian Jennings	LS	37	6'5" 242	12	—	ACT

Schedule

19 games

San Francisco 49ers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Packers	W 30-22	+6	+0.270
2	vs Lions	W 27-19	-7	+0.209
3	@ Vikings	L 13-24	-6.5	-0.090
4	@ Jets	W 34-0	-3.5	+0.189
5	vs Bills	W 45-3	-10	+0.494
6	vs Giants	L 3-26	-7	-0.261
7	vs Seahawks	W 13-6	-7.5	+0.033
8	@ Cardinals	W 24-3	-7	+0.171
10	vs Rams	T 24-24	-13.5	+0.103
11	vs Bears	W 32-7	-3.5	+0.199
12	@ Saints	W 31-21	-1	+0.112
13	@ Rams	L 13-16	-7	-0.132
14	vs Dolphins	W 27-13	-10.5	+0.215
15	@ Patriots	W 41-34	+4	+0.003
16	@ Seahawks	L 13-42	+2.5	+0.000
17	vs Cardinals	W 27-13	-16	+0.193
DIV	vs Packers	W 45-31	-3	+0.291
CON	@ Falcons	W 28-24	-3.5	+0.348
SB	vs Ravens	L 31-34	-4.5	+0.128