NFC South · 2021
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
13-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.270est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.143
- Success rate49.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.197
- EPA / rush+0.024
- Explosive rate9.6%
- CPOE+1.50
- Third-down rate48.0%
- Red-zone TD rate64.7%
- Points / drive2.51
- Turnover rate1.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.062
- Success rate allowed43.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.041
- EPA / rush allowed-0.114
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.1%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.77
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.143 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.062 · 17th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-8
+0.3 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
3-6
As favorite
9-8
As dog
0-0
O/U
9-8
+1.2 vs total
Roster
76 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Trask | QB | 23 | 6'5" 240 | R | Florida | INA |
| 4 | Ryan Griffin | QB | 33 | 6'5" 210 | 8 | Tulane | INA |
| 11 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | 33 | 6'5" 235 | 10 | Missouri | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 44 | 6'4" 225 | 21 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaelon Darden | WR | 22 | 5'8" 174 | R | North Texas | ACT |
| 6 | Le'Veon Bell | RB | 29 | 6'1" 225 | 8 | Michigan State | CUT |
| 7 | Leonard Fournette | RB | 26 | 6'0" 228 | 4 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 10 | Scott Miller | WR | 24 | 5'9" 174 | 2 | Bowling Green | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | 28 | 6'5" 231 | 7 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 14 | Chris Godwin | WR | 25 | 6'1" 209 | 4 | Penn State | RES |
| 15 | Cyril Grayson | WR | 29 | 5'9" 183 | 4 | Louisiana State | INA |
| 16 | Breshad Perriman | WR | 29 | 6'2" 215 | 6 | Central Florida | INA |
| 17 | Justin Watson | WR | 25 | 6'3" 215 | 3 | Pennsylvania | DEV |
| 18 | Tyler Johnson | WR | 23 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 21 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn | RB | 24 | 5'10" 215 | 1 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 25 | Giovani Bernard | RB | 31 | 5'9" 205 | 8 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Ronald Jones | RB | 24 | 5'11" 208 | 3 | Southern California | INA |
| 38 | Kenjon Barner | RB | 32 | 5'9" 195 | 8 | Oregon | DEV |
| 80 | O.J. Howard | TE | 28 | 6'6" 250 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
| 80 | John Hurst | WR | 26 | 6'2" 190 | 1 | West Georgia | DEV |
| 84 | Cameron Brate | TE | 30 | 6'5" 245 | 7 | Harvard | ACT |
| 86 | Codey McElroy | TE | 30 | 6'6" 258 | 3 | Southeastern Oklahoma | DEV |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 32 | 6'6" 265 | 11 | Arizona | ACT |
| 88 | Darren Fells | TE | 35 | 6'7" 270 | 8 | California-Irvine | DEV |
| 89 | John Brown | WR | 31 | 5'10" 179 | 7 | Pittsburg State | ACT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Nick Leverett | OL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | Rice | ACT |
| 61 | Sadarius Hutcherson | OL | 23 | 6'4" 320 | R | South Carolina | RES |
| 64 | Aaron Stinnie | OL | 27 | 6'3" 312 | 3 | James Madison | ACT |
| 65 | Alex Cappa | OL | 26 | 6'6" 305 | 3 | Humboldt State | ACT |
| 66 | Ryan Jensen | OL | 30 | 6'4" 319 | 8 | Colorado State-Pueblo | ACT |
| 70 | Robert Hainsey | OL | 23 | 6'4" 295 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 72 | Josh Wells | OL | 30 | 6'6" 306 | 7 | James Madison | ACT |
| 73 | Donell Stanley | OL | 26 | 6'4" 320 | 1 | South Carolina | RES |
| 73 | Brandon Walton | OL | 23 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | Florida Atlantic | DEV |
| 74 | Ali Marpet | OL | 28 | 6'4" 307 | 6 | Hobart | ACT |
| 75 | John Molchon | OL | 24 | 6'5" 318 | 1 | Boise State | DEV |
| 76 | Donovan Smith | OL | 28 | 6'6" 338 | 6 | Penn State | ACT |
| 78 | Tristan Wirfs | OL | 22 | 6'5" 322 | 1 | Iowa | INA |
Defensive front20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Joe Tryon | LB | 22 | 6'5" 262 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 44 | Elijah Ponder | LB | 23 | 6'3" 275 | R | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 45 | Devin White | LB | 23 | 6'0" 237 | 2 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 48 | Grant Stuard | LB | 24 | 5'11" 225 | R | Houston | ACT |
| 49 | Cam Gill | LB | 25 | 6'3" 240 | 1 | Wagner | ACT |
| 50 | Vita Vea | DL | 26 | 6'4" 347 | 3 | Washington | ACT |
| 51 | Kevin Minter | LB | 32 | 6'0" 246 | 8 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 52 | K.J. Britt | LB | 22 | 6'0" 228 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 54 | Lavonte David | LB | 31 | 6'1" 233 | 9 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 56 | Rakeem Nunez-Roches | DL | 28 | 6'2" 307 | 6 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 58 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 30 | 6'2" 250 | 7 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 71 | Kobe Smith | DL | 23 | 6'2" 300 | 1 | South Carolina | DEV |
| 79 | Pat O'Connor | DL | 29 | 6'4" 270 | 4 | Eastern Michigan | RES |
| 90 | Jason Pierre-Paul | DL | 32 | 6'5" 275 | 11 | South Florida | ACT |
| 91 | Benning Potoa'e | DL | 26 | 6'3" 290 | 1 | Washington | DEV |
| 92 | William Gholston | DL | 30 | 6'6" 281 | 8 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 93 | Ndamukong Suh | DL | 34 | 6'4" 313 | 11 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 96 | Steve McLendon | DL | 35 | 6'3" 310 | 12 | Troy | ACT |
| 98 | Anthony Nelson | LB | 24 | 6'7" 272 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 99 | Willington Previlon | DL | 24 | 6'5" 295 | 1 | Rutgers | DEV |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Richard Sherman | DB | 33 | 6'3" 195 | 10 | Stanford | RES |
| 22 | Troy Warner | DB | 23 | 6'1" 200 | R | Brigham Young | DEV |
| 23 | Sean Murphy-Bunting | DB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 24 | Carlton Davis | DB | 26 | 6'1" 206 | 3 | Auburn | ACT |
| 26 | Andrew Adams | DB | 28 | 5'11" 202 | 5 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 28 | Rashard Robinson | DB | 26 | 6'2" 177 | 5 | Louisiana State | DEV |
| 29 | Pierre Desir | DB | 32 | 6'1" 192 | 7 | Lindenwood | INA |
| 30 | Dee Delaney | DB | 26 | 5'11" 193 | 3 | Miami | ACT |
| 31 | Antoine Winfield | DB | 23 | 5'9" 205 | 1 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 32 | Mike Edwards | DB | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 33 | Jordan Whitehead | DB | 24 | 5'10" 198 | 3 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 35 | Jamel Dean | DB | 26 | 6'1" 206 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 37 | Curtis Riley | DB | 29 | 6'0" 190 | 6 | Fresno State | RES |
| 43 | Ross Cockrell | DB | 30 | 6'0" 191 | 7 | Duke | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ryan Succop | K | 36 | 6'2" 218 | 12 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 8 | Bradley Pinion | P | 27 | 6'5" 240 | 6 | Clemson | ACT |
| 19 | Jose Borregales | K | 25 | 5'10" 205 | R | Miami | DEV |
| 97 | Zach Triner | LS | 30 | 6'3" 245 | 5 | Assumption | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cowboys | W 31-29 | -10 | +0.054 |
| 2 | vs Falcons | W 48-25 | -13.5 | +0.082 |
| 3 | @ Rams | L 24-34 | -1 | +0.159 |
| 4 | @ Patriots | W 19-17 | -6 | +0.097 |
| 5 | vs Dolphins | W 45-17 | -11 | +0.548 |
| 6 | @ Eagles | W 28-22 | -7 | +0.253 |
| 7 | vs Bears | W 38-3 | -12.5 | +0.144 |
| 8 | @ Saints | L 27-36 | -4 | -0.052 |
| 10 | @ Commanders | L 19-29 | -10 | -0.041 |
| 11 | vs Giants | W 30-10 | -11.5 | +0.093 |
| 12 | @ Colts | W 38-31 | -3 | +0.170 |
| 13 | @ Falcons | W 30-17 | -11 | +0.196 |
| 14 | vs Bills | W 33-27 | -3.5 | +0.203 |
| 15 | vs Saints | L 0-9 | -11.5 | -0.270 |
| 16 | @ Panthers | W 32-6 | -11.5 | +0.205 |
| 17 | @ Jets | W 28-24 | -14.5 | +0.236 |
| 18 | vs Panthers | W 41-17 | -11 | +0.296 |
| WC | vs Eagles | W 31-15 | -7.5 | +0.073 |
| DIV | vs Rams | L 27-30 | -2.5 | -0.135 |