NFC South · 2023
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
9-8
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.031est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.008
- Success rate40.5%
- EPA / dropback+0.110
- EPA / rush-0.166
- Explosive rate8.6%
- CPOE+0.25
- Third-down rate42.2%
- Red-zone TD rate55.7%
- Points / drive1.86
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.018
- Success rate allowed43.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.065
- EPA / rush allowed-0.168
- Explosive rate allowed9.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.4%
- Sack rate6.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.73
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.008 · 64th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.018 · 55th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-6
+3.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
8-1
As favorite
3-3
As dog
8-3
O/U
6-11
-1.7 vs total
Roster
72 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Trask | QB | 25 | 6'5" 240 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 6 | Baker Mayfield | QB | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 11 | John Wolford | QB | 29 | 6'1" 200 | 5 | Wake Forest | INA |
Backs & receivers19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rachaad White | RB | 24 | 6'0" 210 | 1 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 3 | Russell Gage | WR | 27 | 6'0" 184 | 5 | Louisiana State | RES |
| 10 | Trey Palmer | WR | 22 | 6'0" 190 | R | Nebraska | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | 30 | 6'5" 231 | 9 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 14 | Chris Godwin | WR | 27 | 6'1" 209 | 6 | Penn State | ACT |
| 17 | Raleigh Webb | WR | 27 | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Citadel | DEV |
| 18 | Rakim Jarrett | WR | 22 | 6'0" 190 | R | Maryland | INA |
| 19 | David Moore | WR | 28 | 6'0" 215 | 6 | East Central | ACT |
| 22 | Chase Edmonds | RB | 27 | 5'9" 210 | 5 | Fordham | ACT |
| 25 | Patrick Laird | RB | 28 | 6'0" 205 | 4 | California | INA |
| 28 | Cephus Johnson III | WR | 25 | 6'5" 220 | R | Southeastern Louisiana | DEV |
| 41 | Ko Kieft | TE | 25 | 6'5" 265 | 1 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 44 | Sean Tucker | RB | 23 | 5'10" 210 | R | Syracuse | ACT |
| 81 | Ryan Miller | WR | 23 | 6'2" 209 | R | Furman | DEV |
| 83 | Deven Thompkins | WR | 25 | 5'8" 155 | 1 | Utah State | ACT |
| 84 | Tanner Taula | TE | 26 | 6'6" 255 | R | Illinois State | DEV |
| 87 | Payne Durham | TE | 23 | 6'6" 255 | R | Purdue | ACT |
| 88 | Cade Otton | TE | 24 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 89 | David Wells | TE | 28 | 6'6" 255 | 5 | San Diego State | DEV |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Nick Leverett | OL | 26 | 6'4" 310 | 3 | Rice | ACT |
| 61 | Silas Dzansi | OL | 25 | 6'5" 335 | R | Virginia Tech | INA |
| 64 | Aaron Stinnie | OL | 29 | 6'3" 312 | 5 | James Madison | ACT |
| 66 | Ryan Jensen | OL | 32 | 6'4" 319 | 10 | Colorado State-Pueblo | RES |
| 67 | Luke Goedeke | OL | 26 | 6'5" 310 | 1 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 69 | Cody Mauch | OL | 24 | 6'6" 301 | R | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 70 | Robert Hainsey | OL | 25 | 6'4" 295 | 2 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 71 | Matt Feiler | OL | 31 | 6'6" 330 | 9 | Bloomsburg | ACT |
| 72 | Luke Haggard | OL | 23 | 6'7" 305 | R | Indiana | DEV |
| 73 | Brandon Walton | OL | 25 | 6'5" 300 | 3 | Florida Atlantic | INA |
| 74 | Logan Stenberg | OL | 26 | 6'6" 320 | 3 | Kentucky | DEV |
| 77 | Justin Skule | OL | 28 | 6'6" 318 | 4 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 78 | Tristan Wirfs | OL | 24 | 6'5" 322 | 3 | Iowa | ACT |
Defensive front21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | YaYa Diaby | LB | 24 | 6'3" 270 | R | Louisville | ACT |
| 7 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 32 | 6'2" 250 | 9 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 8 | SirVocea Dennis | LB | 23 | 6'0" 230 | R | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 9 | Joe Tryon-Shoyinka | LB | 24 | 6'5" 262 | 2 | Washington | ACT |
| 33 | Jose Ramirez | LB | 24 | 6'2" 252 | R | Eastern Michigan | DEV |
| 45 | Devin White | LB | 25 | 6'0" 237 | 4 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 49 | Cam Gill | LB | 27 | 6'3" 240 | 3 | Wagner | ACT |
| 50 | Vita Vea | DL | 28 | 6'4" 347 | 5 | Washington | ACT |
| 51 | J.J. Russell | LB | 26 | 6'1" 225 | 1 | Memphis | INA |
| 52 | K.J. Britt | LB | 24 | 6'0" 228 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 54 | Lavonte David | LB | 33 | 6'1" 233 | 11 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 56 | Deadrin Senat | DL | 29 | 6'1" 305 | 5 | South Florida | DEV |
| 58 | Markees Watts | LB | 25 | 6'1" 240 | R | North Carolina-Charlotte | INA |
| 79 | Pat O'Connor | DL | 31 | 6'4" 270 | 6 | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
| 90 | Logan Hall | DL | 23 | 6'6" 275 | 1 | Houston | ACT |
| 91 | Mike Greene | DL | 24 | 6'3" 285 | 1 | James Madison | RES |
| 92 | William Gholston | DL | 32 | 6'6" 281 | 10 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 94 | Calijah Kancey | DL | 22 | 6'1" 275 | R | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 95 | C.J. Brewer | DL | 27 | 6'2" 280 | 1 | Coastal Carolina | DEV |
| 96 | Greg Gaines | DL | 27 | 6'1" 312 | 4 | Washington | ACT |
| 98 | Anthony Nelson | LB | 26 | 6'7" 272 | 4 | Iowa | ACT |
Secondary13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Richard LeCounte | DB | 26 | 5'11" 192 | 2 | Georgia | DEV |
| 16 | Keenan Isaac | DB | 23 | 6'3" 190 | R | Alabama State | DEV |
| 23 | Ryan Neal | DB | 29 | 6'3" 200 | 5 | Southern Illinois | ACT |
| 24 | Carlton Davis | DB | 28 | 6'1" 206 | 5 | Auburn | ACT |
| 26 | Kaevon Merriweather | DB | 25 | 6'0" 212 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 27 | Zyon McCollum | DB | 24 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | Sam Houston State | ACT |
| 29 | Christian Izien | DB | 23 | 5'8" 200 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 30 | Dee Delaney | DB | 28 | 5'11" 193 | 5 | Miami | ACT |
| 31 | Antoine Winfield Jr. | DB | 25 | 5'9" 205 | 3 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 32 | Josh Hayes | DB | 24 | 5'11" 189 | R | Kansas State | ACT |
| 34 | Quandre Mosely | DB | 24 | 6'1" 185 | 1 | Kentucky | DEV |
| 35 | Jamel Dean | DB | 28 | 6'1" 206 | 4 | Auburn | ACT |
| 38 | Derrek Pitts | DB | 25 | 6'0" 187 | R | North Carolina State | DEV |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chase McLaughlin | K | 27 | 6'0" 187 | 4 | Illinois | ACT |
| 5 | Jake Camarda | P | 24 | 6'1" 180 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 97 | Zach Triner | LS | 32 | 6'3" 245 | 7 | Assumption | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Vikings | W 20-17 | +4 | -0.104 |
| 2 | vs Bears | W 27-17 | -2.5 | +0.192 |
| 3 | vs Eagles | L 11-25 | +6 | -0.191 |
| 4 | @ Saints | W 26-9 | +4 | +0.084 |
| 6 | vs Lions | L 6-20 | +3 | -0.247 |
| 7 | vs Falcons | L 13-16 | -3 | -0.067 |
| 8 | @ Bills | L 18-24 | +10 | +0.055 |
| 9 | @ Texans | L 37-39 | +2.5 | +0.169 |
| 10 | vs Titans | W 20-6 | -2.5 | +0.044 |
| 11 | @ 49ers | L 14-27 | +13.5 | -0.049 |
| 12 | @ Colts | L 20-27 | +2.5 | -0.094 |
| 13 | vs Panthers | W 21-18 | -4 | -0.028 |
| 14 | @ Falcons | W 29-25 | +1.5 | -0.023 |
| 15 | @ Packers | W 34-20 | +4 | +0.379 |
| 16 | vs Jaguars | W 30-12 | +2 | +0.100 |
| 17 | vs Saints | L 13-23 | -2.5 | -0.080 |
| 18 | @ Panthers | W 9-0 | -5 | -0.104 |
| WC | vs Eagles | W 32-9 | +2.5 | +0.157 |
| DIV | @ Lions | L 23-31 | +6 | +0.068 |