Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

NFC South · 2024

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

10-7

Seed

#3

Net EPA

+0.193est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play+0.133
  • Success rate49.4%
  • EPA / dropback+0.211
  • EPA / rush+0.012
  • Explosive rate10.2%
  • CPOE+3.56
  • Third-down rate50.8%
  • Red-zone TD rate71.2%
  • Points / drive2.71
  • Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed+0.017
  • Success rate allowed45.2%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.094
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.145
  • Explosive rate allowed7.2%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)21.0%
  • Sack rate6.1%
  • Points / drive allowed2.07
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.133 · 86th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.017 · 52th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-7

+5.3 vs line

Home

5-4

Away

5-3

As favorite

5-4

As dog

5-3

O/U

12-5

+6.6 vs total

Roster

84 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#PlayerPosSt
2Kyle TraskQBACT
6Baker MayfieldQBACT
11Michael PrattQBDEV

Backs & receivers22

Backs & receivers
#PlayerPosSt
1Rachaad WhiteRBACT
7Bucky IrvingRBACT
10Trey PalmerWRACT
13Mike EvansWRACT
14Chris GodwinWRRES
15Jalen McMillanWRACT
17Sterling ShepardWRACT
18Rakim JarrettWRACT
19Kameron JohnsonWRINA
22Chase EdmondsRBRES
30D.J. WilliamsRBDEV
41Ko KieftTEACT
44Sean TuckerRBACT
80Tanner KnueWRINA
81Ryan MillerWRACT
82Devin CulpTEINA
83Cody ThompsonWRDEV
84Tanner TaulaTEDEV
85Marquez CallawayWRDEV
87Payne DurhamTEACT
88Cade OttonTEACT
89Dennis HoustonWRDEV

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#PlayerPosSt
61Silas DzansiOLRES
62Graham BartonOLACT
64Royce NewmanOLINA
66Ryan JensenOLRET
67Luke GoedekeOLACT
68Ben BredesonOLACT
69Cody MauchOLACT
70Robert HainseyOLACT
71Lorenz MetzOLDEV
72Luke HaggardOLDEV
75Raiqwon O'NealOLDEV
76Sua OpetaOLRES
76Garret GreenfieldOLDEV
77Justin SkuleOLACT
78Tristan WirfsOLACT
79Elijah KleinOLACT

Defensive front23

Defensive front
#PlayerPosSt
0Yaya DiabyLBACT
8SirVocea DennisLBRES
9Joe Tryon-ShoyinkaLBACT
33Jose RamirezLBINA
43Chris BraswellLBACT
45Deion JonesLBACT
48Antonio Grier Jr.LBDEV
50Vita VeaDLACT
51J.J. RussellLBACT
52K.J. BrittLBACT
54Lavonte DavidLBACT
56Shaquil BarrettLBACT
57Daniel GrzesiakDLDEV
58Markees WattsLBRES
90Logan HallDLACT
91Mike GreeneDLDEV
92William GholstonDLACT
93Adam GotsisDLDEV
93Eric BanksDLRES
94Calijah KanceyDLACT
95C.J. BrewerDLINA
96Greg GainesDLACT
98Anthony NelsonLBACT

Secondary17

Secondary
#PlayerPosSt
3Jordan WhiteheadDBRES
21Mike EdwardsDBACT
23Tykee SmithDBACT
24Tyrek FunderburkDBACT
25Troy HillDBRES
26Kaevon MerriweatherDBACT
27Zyon McCollumDBACT
28Dallis FlowersDBDEV
29Christian IzienDBRES
31Antoine Winfield Jr.DBACT
32Josh HayesDBACT
34Bryce HallDBRES
35Jamel DeanDBACT
36Ryan NealDBINA
37Tavierre ThomasDBACT
38Rashad WisdomDBDEV
39Marcus BanksDBDEV

Specialists3

Specialists
#PlayerPosSt
4Chase McLaughlinKACT
5Jack BrowningPACT
86Evan DeckersLSACT

Schedule

18 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs CommandersW 37-20
2@ LionsW 20-16
3vs BroncosL 7-26
4vs EaglesW 33-16
5@ FalconsL 30-36
6@ SaintsW 51-27
7vs RavensL 31-41
8vs FalconsL 26-31
9@ ChiefsL 24-30
10vs 49ersL 20-23
12@ GiantsW 30-7
13@ PanthersW 26-23
14vs RaidersW 28-13
15@ ChargersW 40-17
16@ CowboysL 24-26
17vs PanthersW 48-14
18vs SaintsW 27-19
WCvs CommandersL 20-23