AFC North · 2009
Baltimore Ravens
Record
9-7
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.141est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.058
- Success rate44.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.078
- EPA / rush+0.031
- Explosive rate9.0%
- CPOE+2.29
- Third-down rate41.4%
- Red-zone TD rate59.6%
- Points / drive1.99
- Turnover rate1.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.086
- Success rate allowed38.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.046
- EPA / rush allowed-0.146
- Explosive rate allowed7.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.7%
- Sack rate5.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.26
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.058 · 74th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.086 · 12th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
+3.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
6-4
As dog
2-3-1
O/U
6-9-1
-0.4 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2009
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | W 38-24 | -13 | +0.179 |
| 2 | @ Chargers | W 31-26 | +3 | +0.127 |
| 3 | vs Browns | W 34-3 | -13.5 | +0.254 |
| 4 | @ Patriots | L 21-27 | +1 | +0.064 |
| 5 | vs Bengals | L 14-17 | -9 | -0.089 |
| 6 | @ Vikings | L 31-33 | +3 | +0.217 |
| 8 | vs Broncos | W 30-7 | -4.5 | +0.020 |
| 9 | @ Bengals | L 7-17 | -3 | -0.177 |
| 10 | @ Browns | W 16-0 | -10.5 | -0.031 |
| 11 | vs Colts | L 15-17 | +1 | -0.002 |
| 12 | vs Steelers | W 20-17 | -9 | -0.002 |
| 13 | @ Packers | L 14-27 | +4 | -0.175 |
| 14 | vs Lions | W 48-3 | -14 | +0.408 |
| 15 | vs Bears | W 31-7 | -10.5 | +0.015 |
| 16 | @ Steelers | L 20-23 | +3 | -0.088 |
| 17 | @ Raiders | W 21-13 | -10 | +0.145 |
| WC | @ Patriots | W 33-14 | +3.5 | +0.059 |
| DIV | @ Colts | L 3-20 | +6.5 | -0.196 |