AFC North · 2012
Baltimore Ravens
Record
10-6
Seed
#4
Net EPA
-0.020est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.025
- Success rate41.5%
- EPA / dropback+0.070
- EPA / rush-0.043
- Explosive rate10.0%
- CPOE-0.27
- Third-down rate37.1%
- Red-zone TD rate60.9%
- Points / drive1.80
- Turnover rate1.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.008
- Success rate allowed43.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.058
- EPA / rush allowed-0.093
- Explosive rate allowed8.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.7%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.62
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.025 · 53th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.008 · 36th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
+1.3 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
4-5-1
As dog
2-4
O/U
9-7
+1.2 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2012
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
20 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bengals | W 44-13 | -7 | +0.355 |
| 2 | @ Eagles | L 23-24 | +3 | -0.138 |
| 3 | vs Patriots | W 31-30 | -2.5 | +0.279 |
| 4 | vs Browns | W 23-16 | -11.5 | +0.009 |
| 5 | @ Chiefs | W 9-6 | -6 | -0.069 |
| 6 | vs Cowboys | W 31-29 | -3 | +0.312 |
| 7 | @ Texans | L 13-43 | +6.5 | -0.317 |
| 9 | @ Browns | W 25-15 | -3.5 | +0.040 |
| 10 | vs Raiders | W 55-20 | -9.5 | +0.250 |
| 11 | @ Steelers | W 13-10 | -3 | -0.161 |
| 12 | @ Chargers | W 16-13 | -1 | +0.015 |
| 13 | vs Steelers | L 20-23 | -7 | -0.070 |
| 14 | @ Commanders | L 28-31 | +1 | +0.117 |
| 15 | vs Broncos | L 17-34 | +3 | -0.394 |
| 16 | vs Giants | W 33-14 | +1 | +0.258 |
| 17 | @ Bengals | L 17-23 | +5.5 | -0.073 |
| WC | vs Colts | W 24-9 | -7.5 | +0.152 |
| DIV | @ Broncos | W 38-35 | +9.5 | +0.149 |
| CON | @ Patriots | W 28-13 | +8 | +0.211 |
| SB | @ 49ers | W 34-31 | +4.5 | +0.070 |