AFC East · 2022
Buffalo Bills
Record
13-3
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.149est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.111
- Success rate49.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.203
- EPA / rush-0.064
- Explosive rate9.3%
- CPOE+0.35
- Third-down rate51.1%
- Red-zone TD rate61.8%
- Points / drive2.48
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.045
- Success rate allowed44.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.005
- EPA / rush allowed-0.121
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.5%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.61
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.111 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.045 · 20th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
+3.3 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
8-7-1
As dog
0-0
O/U
6-10
-1.2 vs total
Roster
80 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matt Barkley | QB | 33 | 6'2" 234 | 9 | Southern California | DEV |
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | 26 | 6'5" 237 | 4 | Wyoming | ACT |
| 18 | Case Keenum | QB | 34 | 6'1" 215 | 10 | Houston | ACT |
Backs & receivers22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | 27 | 5'8" 173 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
| 10 | Dezmon Patmon | WR | 24 | 6'4" 220 | 2 | Washington State | DEV |
| 10 | Khalil Shakir | WR | 22 | 6'0" 190 | R | Boise State | ACT |
| 11 | Cole Beasley | WR | 33 | 5'8" 174 | 10 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 13 | Gabe Davis | WR | 23 | 6'2" 213 | 2 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 14 | Stefon Diggs | WR | 30 | 6'0" 191 | 7 | Maryland | ACT |
| 15 | Jake Kumerow | WR | 30 | 6'4" 209 | 7 | Wisconsin-Whitewater | RES |
| 16 | John Brown | WR | 32 | 5'10" 179 | 8 | Pittsburg State | DEV |
| 20 | Nyheim Hines | RB | 27 | 5'9" 198 | 4 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 22 | Duke Johnson | RB | 30 | 5'9" 210 | 7 | Miami | DEV |
| 25 | Taiwan Jones | RB | 34 | 6'0" 195 | 11 | Eastern Washington | ACT |
| 26 | Devin Singletary | RB | 26 | 5'7" 203 | 3 | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 28 | James Cook | RB | 24 | 5'11" 190 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 41 | Reggie Gilliam | RB | 25 | 6'0" 255 | 2 | Toledo | ACT |
| 80 | Jamison Crowder | WR | 29 | 5'9" 177 | 7 | Duke | RES |
| 81 | KeeSean Johnson | WR | 27 | 6'1" 199 | 3 | Fresno State | DEV |
| 82 | Isaiah Coulter | WR | 25 | 6'2" 190 | 2 | Rhode Island | RES |
| 84 | Zach Davidson | TE | 24 | 6'7" 245 | 1 | Central Missouri | DEV |
| 85 | Quintin Morris | TE | 23 | 6'2" 251 | 1 | Bowling Green | ACT |
| 87 | Tanner Gentry | WR | 29 | 6'2" 193 | 5 | Wyoming | CUT |
| 88 | Dawson Knox | TE | 27 | 6'4" 254 | 3 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 89 | Tommy Sweeney | TE | 27 | 6'5" 251 | 3 | Boston College | INA |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Mitch Morse | OL | 30 | 6'6" 305 | 7 | Missouri | ACT |
| 65 | Ike Boettger | OL | 29 | 6'6" 318 | 4 | Iowa | INA |
| 67 | Justin Murray | OL | 29 | 6'5" 315 | 6 | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 68 | Bobby Hart | OL | 28 | 6'5" 310 | 7 | Florida State | ACT |
| 69 | Greg Mancz | OL | 30 | 6'4" 310 | 7 | Toledo | DEV |
| 70 | Alec Anderson | OL | 24 | 6'5" 305 | R | UCLA | DEV |
| 71 | Ryan Bates | OL | 25 | 6'4" 300 | 3 | Penn State | ACT |
| 72 | Tommy Doyle | OL | 24 | 6'8" 315 | 1 | Miami, O. | RES |
| 73 | Dion Dawkins | OL | 28 | 6'5" 320 | 5 | Temple | ACT |
| 74 | Ryan Van Demark | OL | 24 | 6'5" 300 | R | Connecticut | DEV |
| 75 | Greg Van Roten | OL | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 10 | Pennsylvania | ACT |
| 76 | Rodger Saffold | OL | 34 | 6'5" 325 | 12 | Indiana | ACT |
| 77 | David Quessenberry | OL | 32 | 6'5" 310 | 9 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 79 | Spencer Brown | OL | 24 | 6'8" 321 | 1 | Northern Iowa | ACT |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Von Miller | LB | 33 | 6'3" 250 | 11 | Texas A&M | RES |
| 42 | Joe Giles-Harris | LB | 25 | 6'2" 234 | 3 | Duke | CUT |
| 43 | Terrel Bernard | LB | 23 | 6'1" 222 | R | Baylor | INA |
| 44 | Tyler Matakevich | LB | 31 | 6'1" 235 | 6 | Temple | ACT |
| 49 | Tremaine Edmunds | LB | 24 | 6'5" 250 | 4 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 50 | Gregory Rousseau | DL | 22 | 6'6" 253 | 1 | Miami | ACT |
| 51 | Eli Ankou | DL | 28 | 6'3" 325 | 5 | UCLA | ACT |
| 52 | A.J. Klein | LB | 31 | 6'1" 240 | 9 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 53 | Tyrel Dodson | LB | 24 | 6'0" 237 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 54 | Baylon Spector | LB | 25 | 6'0" 235 | R | Clemson | INA |
| 55 | Carlos Basham | DL | 26 | 6'3" 273 | 1 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 56 | Mike Love | DL | 28 | 6'3" 255 | 4 | South Florida | DEV |
| 57 | A.J. Epenesa | DL | 25 | 6'6" 280 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Milano | LB | 28 | 6'0" 223 | 5 | Boston College | ACT |
| 59 | Kingsley Jonathan | DL | 24 | 6'4" 260 | R | Syracuse | ACT |
| 79 | Cortez Broughton | DL | 27 | 6'2" 293 | 3 | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 90 | Shaq Lawson | DL | 28 | 6'3" 267 | 6 | Clemson | ACT |
| 91 | Ed Oliver | DL | 26 | 6'1" 287 | 3 | Houston | ACT |
| 92 | DaQuan Jones | DL | 32 | 6'4" 322 | 8 | Penn State | INA |
| 95 | Kendal Vickers | DL | 27 | 6'3" 295 | 4 | Tennessee | RES |
| 96 | Brandin Bryant | DL | 30 | 6'2" 294 | 6 | Florida Atlantic | DEV |
| 97 | Jordan Phillips | DL | 31 | 6'6" 341 | 7 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 99 | Tim Settle | DL | 25 | 6'3" 308 | 4 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Damar Hamlin | DB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | 1 | Pittsburgh | RES |
| 4 | Jaquan Johnson | DB | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 3 | Miami | ACT |
| 7 | Taron Johnson | DB | 26 | 5'11" 192 | 4 | Weber State | ACT |
| 21 | Jordan Poyer | DB | 31 | 6'0" 191 | 9 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 23 | Micah Hyde | DB | 33 | 6'0" 197 | 9 | Iowa | RES |
| 24 | Kaiir Elam | DB | 21 | 6'1" 196 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 27 | Tre'Davious White | DB | 27 | 5'11" 192 | 5 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 30 | Dane Jackson | DB | 27 | 5'11" 185 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 31 | Dean Marlowe | DB | 30 | 6'1" 208 | 7 | James Madison | ACT |
| 31 | Kyler McMichael | DB | 22 | 6'0" 210 | R | North Carolina | DEV |
| 33 | Siran Neal | DB | 28 | 6'0" 205 | 4 | Jacksonville State | ACT |
| 36 | Jared Mayden | DB | 24 | 6'0" 205 | 2 | Alabama | INA |
| 39 | Cameron Lewis | DB | 25 | 5'9" 185 | 3 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 46 | Ja'Marcus Ingram | DB | 26 | 6'2" 185 | R | Buffalo | DEV |
| 47 | Christian Benford | DB | 23 | 6'1" 205 | R | Villanova | INA |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tyler Bass | K | 25 | 5'10" 185 | 2 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 8 | Sam Martin | P | 32 | 6'1" 211 | 9 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 69 | Reid Ferguson | LS | 28 | 6'2" 235 | 6 | Louisiana State | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Rams | W 31-10 | -1 | +0.175 |
| 2 | vs Titans | W 41-7 | -10 | +0.257 |
| 3 | @ Dolphins | L 19-21 | -4 | +0.101 |
| 4 | @ Ravens | W 23-20 | -3 | +0.046 |
| 5 | vs Steelers | W 38-3 | -14 | +0.377 |
| 6 | @ Chiefs | W 24-20 | -2.5 | +0.142 |
| 8 | vs Packers | W 27-17 | -10.5 | +0.139 |
| 9 | @ Jets | L 17-20 | -11 | -0.033 |
| 10 | vs Vikings | L 30-33 | -6.5 | -0.071 |
| 11 | vs Browns | W 31-23 | -7.5 | +0.111 |
| 12 | @ Lions | W 28-25 | -10 | +0.126 |
| 13 | @ Patriots | W 24-10 | -3.5 | +0.176 |
| 14 | vs Jets | W 20-12 | -10 | -0.125 |
| 15 | vs Dolphins | W 32-29 | -7 | +0.182 |
| 16 | @ Bears | W 35-13 | -8 | +0.120 |
| 18 | vs Patriots | W 35-23 | -8 | +0.076 |
| WC | vs Dolphins | W 34-31 | -14 | -0.135 |
| DIV | vs Bengals | L 10-27 | -6 | -0.011 |