NFC South · 2003
Carolina Panthers
Record
11-5
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.072est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.070
- Success rate39.3%
- EPA / dropback-0.010
- EPA / rush-0.132
- Explosive rate10.2%
- Third-down rate35.8%
- Red-zone TD rate54.6%
- Points / drive1.35
- Turnover rate2.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.075
- Success rate allowed39.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.003
- EPA / rush allowed-0.184
- Explosive rate allowed7.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.3%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.23
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.070 · 43th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.075 · 29th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-0.4 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
4-4
As favorite
2-8
As dog
4-1
O/U
8-7-1
+2.7 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rodney Peete | QB | 37 | 6'0" 230 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Chris Weinke | QB | 31 | 6'4" 232 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Jake Delhomme | QB | 28 | 6'2" 215 | 6 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | DeShaun Foster | RB | 23 | 6'0" 222 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Rod Smart | RB | 26 | 5'11" 201 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Nick Goings | FB | 25 | 6'0" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Brad Hoover | FB | 28 | 6'0" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Marco Battaglia | TE | 30 | 6'3" 249 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Stephen Davis | RB | 29 | 6'0" 230 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Eugene Baker | WR | 27 | 6'2" 183 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Ricky Proehl | WR | 35 | 6'0" 190 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Jermaine Wiggins | TE | 28 | 6'2" 260 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Kevin Dyson | WR | 28 | 6'1" 208 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Kris Mangum | TE | 30 | 6'4" 252 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Muhsin Muhammad | WR | 30 | 6'2" 217 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Karl Hankton | WR | 33 | 6'2" 202 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Steve Smith | WR | 24 | 5'9" 185 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Jeff Mitchell | C | 29 | 6'4" 300 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kevin Donnalley | G | 35 | 6'5" 310 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Jordan Gross | T | 23 | 6'4" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Matt Willig | T | 34 | 6'8" 315 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Bruce Nelson | C | 24 | 6'5" 301 | R | — | ACT |
| 75 | Todd Steussie | T | 34 | 6'6" 308 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Tutan Reyes | G | 27 | 6'3" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Jeno James | G | 26 | 6'3" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Doug Brzezinski | G | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Vinny Ciurciu | MLB | 23 | 5'11" 239 | R | — | TRT |
| 50 | Vinny Ciurciu | MLB | 23 | 5'11" 239 | R | — | ACT |
| 52 | Brian Allen | OLB | 25 | 6'0" 232 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Greg Favors | OLB | 30 | 6'1" 244 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Will Witherspoon | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 231 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Dan Morgan | MLB | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Jason Kyle | OLB | 31 | 6'3" 242 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Lester Towns | MLB | 26 | 6'1" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Kris Jenkins | DT | 24 | 6'4" 335 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Julius Peppers | DE | 23 | 6'6" 283 | 1 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 93 | Mike Rucker | DE | 28 | 6'5" 275 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Kindal Moorehead | DT | 26 | 6'2" 285 | R | — | ACT |
| 96 | Al Wallace | DE | 29 | 6'5" 275 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Kemp Rasmussen | DE | 24 | 6'3" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Shane Burton | DT | 29 | 6'6" 305 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Brentson Buckner | DT | 33 | 6'2" 310 | 9 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Terry Cousin | CB | 28 | 5'9" 185 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Reggie Howard | CB | 26 | 6'0" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Ricky Manning | CB | 24 | 5'8" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Deon Grant | FS | 24 | 6'2" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Colin Branch | FS | 23 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 29 | Dante Wesley | CB | 24 | 6'0" 211 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mike Minter | SS | 29 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 31 | William Hampton | CB | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Jarrod Cooper | SS | 25 | 6'0" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Travares Tillman | FS | 27 | 6'1" 190 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 42 | Travares Tillman | FS | 27 | 6'1" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | John Kasay | K | 35 | 5'10" 198 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Todd Sauerbrun | P | 30 | 5'10" 215 | 8 | — | ACT |
Schedule
20 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jaguars | W 24-23 | -4 | -0.131 |
| 2 | @ Buccaneers | W 12-9 | +9 | -0.186 |
| 4 | vs Falcons | W 23-3 | -6 | +0.026 |
| 5 | vs Saints | W 19-13 | -7 | +0.097 |
| 6 | @ Colts | W 23-20 | +4 | +0.019 |
| 7 | vs Titans | L 17-37 | +0 | -0.260 |
| 8 | @ Saints | W 23-20 | +3 | +0.074 |
| 9 | @ Texans | L 10-14 | -6 | +0.129 |
| 10 | vs Buccaneers | W 27-24 | +3.5 | -0.132 |
| 11 | vs Commanders | W 20-17 | -6 | -0.183 |
| 12 | @ Cowboys | L 20-24 | +3 | -0.032 |
| 13 | vs Eagles | L 16-25 | -1.5 | -0.037 |
| 14 | @ Falcons | L 14-20 | -1 | -0.258 |
| 15 | @ Cardinals | W 20-17 | -7 | +0.012 |
| 16 | vs Lions | W 20-14 | -7.5 | -0.098 |
| 17 | @ Giants | W 37-24 | -4.5 | -0.103 |
| WC | vs Cowboys | W 29-10 | -3 | +0.040 |
| DIV | @ Rams | W 29-23 | +7 | +0.229 |
| CON | @ Eagles | W 14-3 | +4 | +0.114 |
| SB | @ Patriots | L 29-32 | +7 | +0.130 |