AFC South · 2011
Houston Texans
Record
10-6
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.093est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.024
- Success rate44.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.116
- EPA / rush-0.066
- Explosive rate11.9%
- CPOE-0.14
- Third-down rate41.5%
- Red-zone TD rate56.8%
- Points / drive2.04
- Turnover rate1.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.108
- Success rate allowed38.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.087
- EPA / rush allowed-0.145
- Explosive rate allowed8.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)24.5%
- Sack rate7.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.42
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.024 · 60th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.108 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-5-2
+3.7 vs line
Home
4-2-2
Away
5-3
As favorite
6-3-1
As dog
3-2-1
O/U
5-11
-1.8 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2011
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colts | W 34-7 | -9 | -0.026 |
| 2 | @ Dolphins | W 23-13 | -3 | +0.051 |
| 3 | @ Saints | L 33-40 | +3.5 | +0.157 |
| 4 | vs Steelers | W 17-10 | -4 | +0.104 |
| 5 | vs Raiders | L 20-25 | -4.5 | -0.043 |
| 6 | @ Ravens | L 14-29 | +7 | -0.073 |
| 7 | @ Titans | W 41-7 | +3 | +0.333 |
| 8 | vs Jaguars | W 24-14 | -10 | -0.124 |
| 9 | vs Browns | W 30-12 | -10.5 | +0.167 |
| 10 | @ Buccaneers | W 37-9 | -3.5 | +0.261 |
| 12 | @ Jaguars | W 20-13 | -6 | -0.345 |
| 13 | vs Falcons | W 17-10 | +1 | +0.021 |
| 14 | @ Bengals | W 20-19 | +2.5 | +0.064 |
| 15 | vs Panthers | L 13-28 | -4.5 | -0.135 |
| 16 | @ Colts | L 16-19 | -7 | -0.111 |
| 17 | vs Titans | L 22-23 | +1 | +0.024 |
| WC | vs Bengals | W 31-10 | -4 | +0.162 |
| DIV | @ Ravens | L 13-20 | +7.5 | -0.096 |