AFC West · 2021
Kansas City Chiefs
Record
12-5
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.115est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.140
- Success rate51.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.216
- EPA / rush-0.024
- Explosive rate8.3%
- CPOE+2.81
- Third-down rate52.1%
- Red-zone TD rate60.0%
- Points / drive2.66
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.038
- Success rate allowed47.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.095
- EPA / rush allowed-0.069
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.3%
- Sack rate4.3%
- Points / drive allowed2.02
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.140 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.038 · 70th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-9
+0.7 vs line
Home
4-5
Away
4-4
As favorite
8-9
As dog
0-0
O/U
10-7
-2.3 vs total
Roster
84 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chad Henne | QB | 36 | 6'3" 222 | 13 | Michigan | ACT |
| 6 | Shane Buechele | QB | 23 | 6'0" 205 | R | Southern Methodist | INA |
| 15 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | 27 | 6'3" 230 | 4 | Texas Tech | ACT |
Backs & receivers28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerick McKinnon | RB | 29 | 5'9" 205 | 7 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 9 | Chris Finke | WR | — | 5'9" 184 | 1 | Notre Dame | RES |
| 10 | Tyreek Hill | WR | 27 | 5'10" 185 | 5 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 11 | Demarcus Robinson | WR | 28 | 6'1" 203 | 5 | Florida | ACT |
| 12 | Gehrig Dieter | WR | 28 | 6'3" 207 | 4 | Alabama | DEV |
| 13 | Byron Pringle | WR | 29 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 14 | Cornell Powell | WR | 25 | 6'0" 210 | R | Clemson | DEV |
| 17 | Mecole Hardman | WR | 23 | 5'10" 187 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 17 | Omar Bayless | WR | 26 | 6'1" 207 | 1 | Arkansas State | RES |
| 19 | Josh Gordon | WR | 30 | 6'3" 225 | 9 | Baylor | DEV |
| 25 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | 22 | 5'8" 209 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 31 | Darrel Williams | RB | 26 | 5'11" 224 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 34 | Darwin Thompson | RB | 24 | 5'8" 200 | 2 | Utah State | DEV |
| 36 | Brenden Knox | RB | — | 6'0" 220 | R | Marshall | RES |
| 40 | Derrick Gore | RB | 28 | 5'10" 212 | 2 | Louisiana-Monroe | INA |
| 45 | Michael Burton | RB | 29 | 6'0" 240 | 6 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 48 | Nick Keizer | TE | 26 | 6'4" 251 | 3 | Grand Valley State | RET |
| 80 | Gary Jennings | WR | 24 | 6'1" 215 | 2 | West Virginia | RES |
| 80 | Mathew Sexton | WR | — | 5'11" 175 | R | Eastern Michigan | RES |
| 81 | Blake Bell | TE | 30 | 6'6" 252 | 6 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 82 | Daurice Fountain | WR | 27 | 6'2" 210 | 3 | Northern Iowa | ACT |
| 83 | Noah Gray | TE | 22 | 6'4" 240 | R | Duke | ACT |
| 84 | Matt Bushman | TE | 27 | 6'5" 234 | R | Brigham Young | DEV |
| 85 | Marcus Kemp | WR | 26 | 6'4" 210 | 4 | Hawaii | ACT |
| 87 | Travis Kelce | TE | 33 | 6'5" 260 | 8 | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 87 | Jordan Franks | TE | 25 | 6'4" 239 | 3 | Central Florida | RES |
| 88 | Joe Fortson | TE | 27 | 6'6" 230 | 2 | Valdosta State | RES |
| — | Mark Vital | TE | — | — 250 | R | — | DEV |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Creed Humphrey | OL | 22 | 6'5" 316 | R | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 57 | Orlando Brown | OL | 25 | 6'8" 345 | 3 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | OL | 30 | 6'5" 308 | 5 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 64 | Darryl Williams | OL | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | Mississippi State | DEV |
| 65 | Trey Smith | OL | 22 | 6'6" 325 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 66 | Austin Blythe | OL | 29 | 6'3" 300 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 67 | Lucas Niang | OL | 23 | 6'6" 328 | 1 | Texas Christian | RES |
| 69 | Kyle Long | OL | 34 | 6'6" 332 | 8 | Oregon | ACT |
| 70 | Prince Tega Wanogho | OL | 25 | 6'5" 310 | 1 | Auburn | INA |
| 72 | Roderick Johnson | OL | 27 | 6'6" 306 | 4 | Florida State | DEV |
| 73 | Nick Allegretti | OL | 25 | 6'4" 320 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 75 | Mike Remmers | OL | 32 | 6'5" 310 | 9 | Oregon State | RES |
| 77 | Andrew Wylie | OL | 27 | 6'6" 309 | 4 | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Melvin Ingram | LB | 32 | 6'2" 247 | 9 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 44 | Dorian O'Daniel | LB | 28 | 6'1" 220 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 47 | Darius Harris | LB | 25 | 6'2" 238 | 2 | Middle Tennessee | DEV |
| 50 | Willie Gay | LB | 23 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 51 | Michael Danna | DL | 25 | 6'2" 255 | 1 | Michigan | ACT |
| 53 | Anthony Hitchens | LB | 29 | 6'0" 235 | 7 | Iowa | ACT |
| 54 | Nick Bolton | LB | 21 | 6'0" 232 | R | Missouri | ACT |
| 55 | Frank Clark | DL | 28 | 6'3" 260 | 6 | Michigan | ACT |
| 56 | Ben Niemann | LB | 26 | 6'2" 233 | 3 | Iowa | ACT |
| 56 | Darius Stills | DL | — | 6'1" 292 | R | West Virginia | RES |
| 59 | Joshua Kaindoh | DL | 24 | 6'7" 265 | R | Florida State | INA |
| 60 | Austin Edwards | DL | 24 | 6'5" 280 | 1 | Ferris State | DEV |
| 68 | Lorenzo Neal | DL | — | 6'3" 328 | R | Purdue | RES |
| 70 | Malik Herring | DL | 25 | 6'3" 277 | R | Georgia | RES |
| 79 | Cortez Broughton | DL | 26 | 6'2" 293 | 2 | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 90 | Jarran Reed | DL | 30 | 6'3" 306 | 5 | Alabama | ACT |
| 91 | Derrick Nnadi | DL | 25 | 6'1" 310 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 91 | Joe Jackson | DL | 26 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | Miami | DEV |
| 95 | Chris Jones | DL | 27 | 6'6" 308 | 5 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 97 | Alex Okafor | DL | 30 | 6'4" 260 | 8 | Texas | ACT |
| 98 | Tershawn Wharton | DL | 23 | 6'4" 255 | 1 | Missouri S&T | ACT |
| 99 | Andrew Billings | DL | 26 | 6'1" 328 | 5 | Baylor | DEV |
| 99 | Khalen Saunders | DL | 25 | 6'0" 324 | 2 | Western Illinois | INA |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dicaprio Bootle | DB | 25 | 5'10" 195 | R | Nebraska | DEV |
| 20 | Damon Arnette | DB | 26 | 6'0" 195 | 1 | Ohio State | CUT |
| 21 | Mike Hughes | DB | 24 | 5'10" 191 | 3 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 22 | Juan Thornhill | DB | 27 | 6'0" 205 | 2 | Virginia | ACT |
| 23 | Armani Watts | DB | 25 | 5'11" 205 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 24 | Devon Key | DB | 25 | 6'0" 210 | R | Western Kentucky | DEV |
| 26 | Chris Lammons | DB | 25 | 5'10" 190 | 3 | South Carolina | RES |
| 27 | Rashad Fenton | DB | 24 | 5'11" 188 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 30 | Deandre Baker | DB | 25 | 5'11" 180 | 2 | Georgia | INA |
| 32 | Tyrann Mathieu | DB | 29 | 5'9" 190 | 8 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 35 | Charvarius Ward | DB | 25 | 6'1" 195 | 3 | Middle Tennessee | ACT |
| 38 | L'Jarius Sneed | DB | 24 | 6'1" 193 | 1 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 39 | Zayne Anderson | DB | 24 | 6'2" 210 | R | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 49 | Daniel Sorensen | DB | 31 | 6'2" 208 | 7 | Brigham Young | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tommy Townsend | P | 26 | 6'1" 176 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 7 | Harrison Butker | K | 26 | 6'4" 205 | 4 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 41 | James Winchester | LS | 32 | 6'3" 240 | 8 | Oklahoma | ACT |
Schedule
20 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Browns | W 33-29 | -5.5 | +0.340 |
| 2 | @ Ravens | L 35-36 | -3.5 | +0.267 |
| 3 | vs Chargers | L 24-30 | -6.5 | +0.060 |
| 4 | @ Eagles | W 42-30 | -7.5 | +0.473 |
| 5 | vs Bills | L 20-38 | -2.5 | -0.035 |
| 6 | @ Commanders | W 31-13 | -6 | +0.121 |
| 7 | @ Titans | L 3-27 | -4 | -0.124 |
| 8 | vs Giants | W 20-17 | -10.5 | -0.006 |
| 9 | vs Packers | W 13-7 | -7 | -0.110 |
| 10 | @ Raiders | W 41-14 | -2.5 | +0.369 |
| 11 | vs Cowboys | W 19-9 | -2.5 | -0.113 |
| 13 | vs Broncos | W 22-9 | -8.5 | -0.095 |
| 14 | vs Raiders | W 48-9 | -10 | +0.385 |
| 15 | @ Chargers | W 34-28 | -3 | +0.177 |
| 16 | vs Steelers | W 36-10 | -10.5 | +0.211 |
| 17 | @ Bengals | L 31-34 | -3.5 | +0.342 |
| 18 | @ Broncos | W 28-24 | -11.5 | +0.213 |
| WC | vs Steelers | W 42-21 | -13 | +0.213 |
| DIV | vs Bills | W 42-36 | -2.5 | +0.375 |
| CON | vs Bengals | L 24-27 | -7 | +0.008 |