AFC East · 2016
New England Patriots
Record
14-2
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.230est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.128
- Success rate44.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.276
- EPA / rush-0.077
- Explosive rate8.6%
- CPOE+2.98
- Third-down rate47.3%
- Red-zone TD rate64.5%
- Points / drive2.47
- Turnover rate0.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.043
- Success rate allowed42.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.000
- EPA / rush allowed-0.127
- Explosive rate allowed7.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.6%
- Sack rate5.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.51
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.128 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.043 · 22th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
13-3
+5.4 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
7-1
As favorite
12-3
As dog
1-0
O/U
6-10
-2.7 vs total
Roster
81 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | 25 | 6'4" 235 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 10 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | 26 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | Eastern Illinois | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 39 | 6'4" 225 | 16 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers27
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 30 | 5'10" 200 | 7 | Kent State | ACT |
| 13 | DeAndre Carter | WR | 23 | 5'8" 190 | 1 | Sacramento State | CUT |
| 14 | Griff Whalen | WR | 26 | 5'11" 190 | 4 | Stanford | CUT |
| 14 | Michael Floyd | WR | 28 | 6'2" 220 | 4 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 30 | 6'1" 210 | 5 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 16 | Devin Lucien | WR | 23 | 6'2" 200 | R | Arizona State | DEV |
| 18 | Matthew Slater | WR | 32 | 6'0" 205 | 8 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Malcolm Mitchell | WR | 24 | 5'11" 200 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 27 | D.J. Foster | RB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 28 | James White | RB | 24 | 5'10" 205 | 2 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 29 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 31 | 6'0" 250 | 6 | Oregon | ACT |
| 33 | Dion Lewis | RB | 27 | 5'8" 195 | 5 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 34 | Donald Brown | RB | — | 5'10" 205 | — | — | CUT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 26 | 5'11" 220 | 4 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 46 | James Develin | RB | 28 | 6'3" 255 | 6 | Brown | ACT |
| 47 | Joey Iosefa | RB | — | 6'0" 245 | — | — | CUT |
| 80 | Danny Amendola | WR | 32 | 5'11" 190 | 8 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 80 | Bear Pascoe | TE | — | 6'5" 265 | — | — | CUT |
| 82 | Matt Lengel | TE | 27 | 6'7" 266 | 1 | Eastern Kentucky | ACT |
| 83 | Greg Scruggs | TE | 26 | 6'3" 277 | — | Louisville | RES |
| 84 | Nate Washington | WR | — | 6'1" 185 | — | — | CUT |
| 85 | Michael Williams | TE | 27 | 6'6" 304 | — | Alabama | RES |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 27 | 6'6" 265 | 6 | Arizona | RES |
| 88 | Martellus Bennett | TE | 29 | 6'6" 275 | 8 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| — | Tyler Gaffney | RB | 25 | 6'0" 220 | 2 | Stanford | DEV |
| — | DeAndrew White | WR | 26 | 6'0" 192 | 1 | Alabama | DEV |
| — | Glenn Gronkowski | RB | 23 | 6'2" 234 | R | Kansas State | DEV |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | David Andrews | OL | 24 | 6'3" 295 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | OL | 28 | 6'5" 335 | 5 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | OL | 25 | 6'4" 305 | R | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 63 | Tre Jackson | OL | 25 | 6'4" 320 | — | — | PUP |
| 64 | Chris Barker | OL | 26 | 6'2" 300 | 3 | Nevada | DEV |
| 66 | Bryan Stork | OL | — | 6'4" 310 | — | — | CUT |
| 68 | LaAdrian Waddle | OL | 25 | 6'6" 315 | 3 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 69 | Shaq Mason | OL | 23 | 6'1" 310 | 1 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 71 | Cameron Fleming | OL | 25 | 6'6" 320 | 2 | Stanford | ACT |
| 75 | Ted Karras | OL | 23 | 6'4" 305 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | OL | 32 | 6'8" 320 | — | Houston | PUP |
| 77 | Nate Solder | OL | 28 | 6'8" 325 | 5 | Colorado | ACT |
| — | Jamil Douglas | OL | 24 | 6'4" 308 | 1 | Arizona State | DEV |
| — | Chase Farris | OL | 23 | 6'4" 295 | R | Ohio State | DEV |
Defensive front20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | LB | 32 | 6'2" 260 | 10 | Purdue | ACT |
| 51 | Barkevious Mingo | LB | 27 | 6'4" 240 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 52 | Elandon Roberts | LB | 22 | 5'11" 235 | R | Houston | ACT |
| 53 | Kyle Van Noy | LB | 25 | 6'3" 243 | 2 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | LB | 26 | 6'3" 265 | 4 | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | Jonathan Freeny | LB | 27 | 6'2" 255 | 5 | Rutgers | RES |
| 58 | Shea McClellin | LB | 27 | 6'3" 250 | 4 | Boise State | ACT |
| 72 | Frank Kearse | DL | — | 6'5" 310 | — | — | CUT |
| 90 | Malcom Brown | DL | 22 | 6'2" 320 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 92 | Geneo Grissom | LB | 24 | 6'4" 265 | 1 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 93 | Jabaal Sheard | DL | 27 | 6'3" 265 | 5 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 94 | Markus Kuhn | DL | — | 6'4" 315 | — | — | CUT |
| 95 | Chris Long | DL | 31 | 6'3" 270 | 8 | Virginia | ACT |
| 96 | Terrance Knighton | DL | — | 6'3" 355 | — | — | CUT |
| 97 | Alan Branch | DL | 33 | 6'6" 350 | 9 | Michigan | ACT |
| 98 | Trey Flowers | DL | 23 | 6'2" 265 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
| — | Darius Kilgo | DL | 26 | 6'3" 319 | 1 | Maryland | DEV |
| 99 | Vincent Valentine | DL | 22 | 6'2" 320 | R | Nebraska | ACT |
| — | Trevor Bates | LB | 23 | 6'1" 247 | R | Maine | DEV |
| — | Woodrow Hamilton | DL | 25 | 6'2" 315 | R | Mississippi | DEV |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | V'Angelo Bentley | DB | — | 5'10" 190 | — | — | CUT |
| 21 | Malcolm Butler | DB | 26 | 5'11" 190 | 2 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 22 | Justin Coleman | DB | 23 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | DB | 29 | 5'11" 215 | 7 | Oregon | ACT |
| 24 | Cyrus Jones | DB | 24 | 5'10" 200 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 25 | Eric Rowe | DB | 25 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 26 | Logan Ryan | DB | 25 | 5'11" 195 | 3 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 30 | Duron Harmon | DB | 25 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 31 | Jonathan Jones | DB | 24 | 5'10" 190 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | DB | 29 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 36 | Brandon King | DB | 23 | 6'2" 220 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 37 | Jordan Richards | DB | 23 | 5'11" 210 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 39 | E.J. Biggers | DB | — | 6'0" 190 | — | — | CUT |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | DB | 29 | 6'0" 220 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 32 | 6'1" 215 | 10 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 26 | 6'2" 220 | 3 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 24 | 6'3" 245 | 1 | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Cardinals | W 23-21 | +9 | +0.098 |
| 2 | vs Dolphins | W 31-24 | -5.5 | +0.159 |
| 3 | vs Texans | W 27-0 | -1 | -0.037 |
| 4 | vs Bills | L 0-16 | -3.5 | -0.242 |
| 5 | @ Browns | W 33-13 | -10 | +0.219 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | W 35-17 | -7.5 | +0.292 |
| 7 | @ Steelers | W 27-16 | -7.5 | +0.204 |
| 8 | @ Bills | W 41-25 | -5.5 | +0.325 |
| 10 | vs Seahawks | L 24-31 | -7.5 | +0.099 |
| 11 | @ 49ers | W 30-17 | -10.5 | +0.215 |
| 12 | @ Jets | W 22-17 | -9 | +0.152 |
| 13 | vs Rams | W 26-10 | -13 | -0.002 |
| 14 | vs Ravens | W 30-23 | -6 | +0.138 |
| 15 | @ Broncos | W 16-3 | -3 | -0.081 |
| 16 | vs Jets | W 41-3 | -17 | +0.185 |
| 17 | @ Dolphins | W 35-14 | -7.5 | +0.277 |
| DIV | vs Texans | W 34-16 | -16 | -0.038 |
| CON | vs Steelers | W 36-17 | -5.5 | +0.259 |
| SB | @ Falcons | W 34-28 | -3 | +0.092 |