AFC East · 2017
New England Patriots
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.177est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.137
- Success rate49.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.254
- EPA / rush-0.042
- Explosive rate9.4%
- CPOE+3.49
- Third-down rate40.8%
- Red-zone TD rate60.8%
- Points / drive2.52
- Turnover rate1.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.030
- Success rate allowed44.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.073
- EPA / rush allowed-0.052
- Explosive rate allowed8.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.0%
- Sack rate6.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.59
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.137 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.030 · 82th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-5
+1.6 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
6-2
As favorite
11-5
As dog
0-0
O/U
7-9
-2.5 vs total
Roster
92 players
55 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brian Hoyer | QB | 33 | 6'2" 215 | 8 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 40 | 6'4" 225 | 17 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers27
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 31 | 5'10" 200 | 8 | Kent State | RES |
| 13 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 24 | 5'10" 185 | 2 | Miami | ACT |
| 14 | Brandin Cooks | WR | 25 | 5'10" 189 | 3 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 31 | 6'1" 210 | 6 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 16 | K.J. Maye | WR | — | 5'8" 191 | 1 | Minnesota | CUT |
| 17 | Bernard Reedy | WR | 27 | 5'8" 175 | 3 | Toledo | ACT |
| 17 | Tony Washington | WR | — | 5'11" 195 | 3 | Appalachian State | CUT |
| 18 | Matthew Slater | WR | 33 | 6'0" 205 | 9 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Malcolm Mitchell | WR | 25 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | Georgia | RES |
| 28 | James White | RB | 25 | 5'10" 205 | 3 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 33 | Dion Lewis | RB | 28 | 5'8" 195 | 6 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 34 | Rex Burkhead | RB | 27 | 5'10" 210 | 4 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Gillislee | RB | 28 | 5'11" 219 | 4 | Florida | ACT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 27 | 5'11" 220 | 5 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 46 | James Develin | RB | 29 | 6'3" 255 | 7 | Brown | ACT |
| 47 | Glenn Gronkowski | RB | — | 6'3" 234 | 1 | Kansas State | CUT |
| 47 | Jacob Hollister | TE | 25 | 6'4" 239 | R | Wyoming | ACT |
| 80 | Danny Amendola | WR | 33 | 5'11" 190 | 9 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 81 | Cody Hollister | WR | 25 | 6'4" 209 | R | Arkansas | DEV |
| 82 | Will Tye | TE | 27 | 6'2" 256 | 2 | Stony Brook | DEV |
| 82 | DeMarcus Ayers | WR | 23 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | Houston | ACT |
| 83 | Dwayne Allen | TE | 27 | 6'3" 265 | 5 | Clemson | ACT |
| 83 | Riley McCarron | WR | 24 | 5'9" 185 | R | Iowa | DEV |
| 85 | Kenny Britt | WR | 30 | 6'3" 223 | 8 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 85 | Sam Cotton | TE | — | 6'4" 250 | R | Nebraska | CUT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 28 | 6'6" 265 | 7 | Arizona | ACT |
| 88 | Martellus Bennett | TE | 30 | 6'6" 275 | 9 | Texas A&M | RES |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | James Ferentz | OL | 28 | 6'2" 285 | 3 | Iowa | DEV |
| 60 | David Andrews | OL | 25 | 6'3" 295 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | OL | 29 | 6'6" 335 | 6 | Texas Christian | RES |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | OL | 26 | 6'5" 305 | 1 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 63 | Antonio Garcia | OL | 25 | 6'7" 302 | R | Troy | RSN |
| 66 | Chase Farris | OL | 24 | 6'4" 295 | 1 | Ohio State | RSN |
| 68 | LaAdrian Waddle | OL | 26 | 6'6" 315 | 4 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 69 | Shaq Mason | OL | 24 | 6'1" 310 | 2 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 71 | Cameron Fleming | OL | 26 | 6'6" 320 | 3 | Stanford | ACT |
| 72 | Max Rich | OL | — | 6'7" 315 | R | Harvard | CUT |
| 74 | Cole Croston | OL | 25 | 6'5" 315 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 74 | Jason King | OL | 25 | 6'4" 310 | R | Purdue | DEV |
| 75 | Ted Karras | OL | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | Illinois | ACT |
| 76 | Andrew Jelks | OL | 25 | 6'6" 307 | R | Vanderbilt | RSN |
| 77 | Nate Solder | OL | 29 | 6'8" 325 | 6 | Colorado | ACT |
Defensive front28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | David Harris | LB | 33 | 6'2" 250 | 10 | Michigan | ACT |
| 48 | Harvey Langi | LB | 26 | 6'2" 252 | R | Brigham Young | RSN |
| 50 | Trevor Bates | LB | 24 | 6'2" 247 | 1 | Maine | ACT |
| 50 | Nicholas Grigsby | LB | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 1 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 51 | Trevor Reilly | LB | 29 | 6'5" 240 | 3 | Utah | DEV |
| 51 | Keionta Davis | DL | 23 | 6'3" 271 | R | Tennessee-Chattanooga | RSN |
| 52 | Elandon Roberts | LB | 23 | 6'0" 235 | 1 | Houston | ACT |
| 53 | Kyle Van Noy | LB | 26 | 6'3" 243 | 3 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | LB | 27 | 6'3" 265 | 5 | Alabama | RES |
| 55 | Eric Lee | DL | 23 | 6'3" 260 | 1 | South Florida | ACT |
| 58 | Shea McClellin | LB | 28 | 6'3" 250 | 5 | Boise State | RES |
| 59 | Marquis Flowers | LB | 25 | 6'3" 250 | 3 | Arizona | ACT |
| 59 | Corey Vereen | DL | — | 6'2" 247 | R | Tennessee | CUT |
| 64 | Caleb Kidder | DL | 23 | 6'5" 269 | R | Montana | RES |
| 64 | Mikey Bart | DL | — | 6'3" 245 | R | North Carolina | CUT |
| 66 | Nick Usher | LB | 22 | 6'3" 216 | R | Texas-El Paso | CUT |
| 70 | Adam Butler | DL | 23 | 6'4" 300 | R | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 72 | Josh Augusta | DL | 23 | 6'4" 335 | R | Missouri | CUT |
| 90 | Malcom Brown | DL | 23 | 6'2" 320 | 2 | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Deatrich Wise | DL | 23 | 6'5" 271 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
| 92 | James Harrison | LB | 39 | 6'0" 242 | 15 | Kent State | ACT |
| 93 | Lawrence Guy | DL | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 6 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 94 | Ricky Jean Francois | DL | 32 | 6'3" 313 | 8 | LSU | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Rivers | DL | 23 | 6'5" 250 | R | Youngstown State | RES |
| 96 | Geneo Grissom | LB | 25 | 6'4" 265 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 97 | Alan Branch | DL | 34 | 6'6" 350 | 10 | Michigan | ACT |
| 98 | Trey Flowers | DL | 24 | 6'2" 265 | 2 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 99 | Vincent Valentine | DL | 23 | 6'3" 320 | 1 | Nebraska | RES |
Secondary17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Malcolm Butler | DB | 27 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | DB | 30 | 5'11" 215 | 8 | Oregon | ACT |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 28 | 6'1" 190 | 5 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Eric Rowe | DB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 29 | Johnson Bademosi | DB | 27 | 6'0" 206 | 5 | Stanford | ACT |
| 30 | Duron Harmon | DB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 4 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 30 | Jomal Wiltz | DB | 24 | 5'10" 180 | R | Iowa State | DEV |
| 31 | Jonathan Jones | DB | 25 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Auburn | RES |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | DB | 30 | 5'10" 195 | 7 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 33 | William Likely | DB | — | 5'7" 175 | R | Maryland | CUT |
| 34 | David Jones | DB | 25 | 6'3" 210 | R | Richmond | DEV |
| 35 | Damarius Travis | DB | 23 | 6'2" 215 | R | Minnesota | DEV |
| 35 | Ryan Lewis | DB | 23 | 6'0" 200 | R | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 36 | Brandon King | DB | 24 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 37 | Jordan Richards | DB | 24 | 5'11" 210 | 2 | Stanford | ACT |
| 41 | Cyrus Jones | DB | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 1 | Alabama | RES |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | DB | 30 | 6'0" 220 | 5 | Ohio State | RES |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 33 | 6'1" 215 | 11 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 27 | 6'2" 220 | 4 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 25 | 6'3" 245 | 2 | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | L 27-42 | -8 | +0.005 |
| 2 | @ Saints | W 36-20 | -5.5 | +0.321 |
| 3 | vs Texans | W 36-33 | -13.5 | +0.081 |
| 4 | vs Panthers | L 30-33 | -9 | +0.187 |
| 5 | @ Buccaneers | W 19-14 | -3.5 | +0.002 |
| 6 | @ Jets | W 24-17 | -9 | +0.152 |
| 7 | vs Falcons | W 23-7 | -3 | +0.207 |
| 8 | vs Chargers | W 21-13 | -6.5 | +0.051 |
| 10 | @ Broncos | W 41-16 | -7 | +0.178 |
| 11 | @ Raiders | W 33-8 | -7 | +0.338 |
| 12 | vs Dolphins | W 35-17 | -17 | +0.119 |
| 13 | @ Bills | W 23-3 | -7.5 | +0.226 |
| 14 | @ Dolphins | L 20-27 | -10 | -0.105 |
| 15 | @ Steelers | W 27-24 | -2.5 | +0.256 |
| 16 | vs Bills | W 37-16 | -11 | +0.244 |
| 17 | vs Jets | W 26-6 | -17 | +0.002 |
| DIV | vs Titans | W 35-14 | -13.5 | +0.256 |
| CON | vs Jaguars | W 24-20 | -7.5 | +0.112 |
| SB | vs Eagles | L 33-41 | -4.5 | +0.315 |