AFC East · 2018
New England Patriots
Record
11-5
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.171est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.090
- Success rate47.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.181
- EPA / rush-0.031
- Explosive rate10.7%
- CPOE+1.03
- Third-down rate41.8%
- Red-zone TD rate66.1%
- Points / drive2.32
- Turnover rate1.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.040
- Success rate allowed42.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.009
- EPA / rush allowed-0.138
- Explosive rate allowed10.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.2%
- Sack rate4.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.68
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.090 · 79th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.040 · 18th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
-0.5 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
3-5
As favorite
9-7
As dog
0-0
O/U
5-11
-2.4 vs total
Roster
93 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brian Hoyer | QB | 34 | 6'2" 215 | 9 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 5 | Danny Etling | QB | 24 | 6'3" 225 | R | Louisiana State | DEV |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 41 | 6'4" 225 | 18 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers32
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Josh Gordon | WR | 27 | 6'3" 225 | 6 | Baylor | SUS |
| 10 | Devin Lucien | WR | — | 6'2" 200 | 2 | Arizona State | CUT |
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 32 | 5'10" 200 | 9 | Kent State | ACT |
| 13 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 25 | 5'10" 185 | 3 | Miami | ACT |
| 14 | Braxton Berrios | WR | 24 | 5'9" 190 | R | Miami | RES |
| 15 | Chris Hogan | WR | 32 | 6'1" 210 | 7 | Monmouth, N.J. | ACT |
| 16 | Jace Billingsley | WR | 25 | 5'9" 189 | 2 | Eastern Oregon | CUT |
| 17 | Riley McCarron | WR | 25 | 5'9" 198 | 1 | Iowa | DEV |
| 18 | Matthew Slater | WR | 34 | 6'0" 205 | 10 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Malcolm Mitchell | WR | — | 6'1" 200 | 2 | Georgia | CUT |
| 19 | K.J. Maye | WR | — | 5'8" 191 | 2 | Minnesota | CUT |
| 26 | Sony Michel | RB | 23 | 5'11" 215 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 27 | Kenneth Farrow | RB | 25 | 5'9" 219 | 2 | Houston | CUT |
| 28 | James White | RB | 26 | 5'10" 205 | 4 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 33 | Jeremy Hill | RB | 27 | 6'1" 230 | 4 | LSU | RES |
| 34 | Rex Burkhead | RB | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 5 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 46 | James Develin | RB | 30 | 6'3" 255 | 8 | Brown | ACT |
| 47 | Jacob Hollister | TE | 26 | 6'4" 245 | 1 | Wyoming | RES |
| 48 | Henry Poggi | RB | — | 6'4" 260 | R | Michigan | CUT |
| 69 | Shane Wimann | TE | — | 6'4" 250 | R | Northern Illinois | CUT |
| 80 | Stephen Anderson | TE | 25 | 6'2" 230 | 2 | California | ACT |
| 81 | Eric Decker | WR | — | 6'3" 214 | 8 | Minnesota | CUT |
| 81 | Cody Hollister | WR | 26 | 6'4" 209 | 1 | Arkansas | RSN |
| 83 | Dwayne Allen | TE | 28 | 6'3" 265 | 6 | Clemson | ACT |
| 83 | Damoun Patterson | WR | 25 | 6'2" 190 | R | Youngstown State | DEV |
| 84 | Cordarrelle Patterson | WR | 27 | 6'2" 220 | 5 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 85 | Ryan Izzo | TE | 24 | 6'5" 255 | R | Florida State | RES |
| 86 | Troy Niklas | TE | — | 6'6" 270 | 4 | Notre Dame | CUT |
| 86 | Paul Turner | WR | — | 5'10" 193 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | CUT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 29 | 6'6" 265 | 8 | Arizona | ACT |
| 88 | Kenny Britt | WR | — | 6'3" 230 | 9 | Rutgers | CUT |
| — | Darren Andrews | WR | — | — 181 | — | — | RSN |
Offensive line18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | David Andrews | OL | 26 | 6'3" 295 | 3 | Georgia | ACT |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | OL | 30 | 6'6" 335 | 7 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 61 | Tony Adams | OL | 24 | 6'1" 302 | R | North Carolina State | DEV |
| 62 | Joe Thuney | OL | 27 | 6'5" 305 | 2 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 63 | Brian Schwenke | OL | 27 | 6'3" 318 | 5 | California | RES |
| 64 | Matt Tobin | OL | 28 | 6'6" 310 | 5 | Iowa | CUT |
| 65 | Jason King | OL | — | 6'4" 300 | 1 | Purdue | CUT |
| 65 | Nate Theaker | OL | — | 6'5" 315 | 1 | Wayne State (Mich.) | CUT |
| 66 | James Ferentz | OL | 29 | 6'2" 285 | 4 | Iowa | ACT |
| 67 | Ulrick John | OL | 26 | 6'5" 312 | 4 | Georgia State | RES |
| 68 | LaAdrian Waddle | OL | 27 | 6'6" 315 | 5 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 69 | Shaq Mason | OL | 25 | 6'1" 310 | 3 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 74 | Cole Croston | OL | 26 | 6'5" 310 | 1 | Iowa | DEV |
| 74 | Dan Skipper | OL | 25 | 6'9" 317 | 1 | Arkansas | DEV |
| 74 | Toby Weathersby | OL | 23 | 6'6" 308 | R | LSU | CUT |
| 75 | Ted Karras | OL | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 76 | Isaiah Wynn | OL | 24 | 6'2" 310 | R | Georgia | RES |
| 77 | Trent Brown | OL | 25 | 6'8" 355 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
Defensive front22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Brandon King | LB | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 3 | Auburn | ACT |
| 44 | Christian Sam | LB | 22 | 6'2" 240 | R | Arizona State | RES |
| 45 | Trent Harris | DL | 24 | 6'2" 255 | R | Miami | DEV |
| 46 | Calvin Munson | LB | 25 | 6'0" 243 | 1 | San Diego State | DEV |
| 50 | Ramon Humber | LB | 31 | 5'11" 232 | 9 | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 51 | Ja'Whaun Bentley | LB | 22 | 6'2" 255 | R | Purdue | RES |
| 52 | Elandon Roberts | LB | 24 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | Houston | ACT |
| 53 | Kyle Van Noy | LB | 27 | 6'3" 243 | 4 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | LB | 28 | 6'3" 265 | 6 | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | John Simon | LB | 29 | 6'2" 250 | 5 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 58 | Keionta Davis | DL | 24 | 6'3" 260 | 1 | Tennessee-Chattanooga | ACT |
| 59 | Albert McClellan | LB | 32 | 6'2" 250 | 8 | Marshall | ACT |
| 70 | Adam Butler | DL | 24 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 71 | Danny Shelton | DL | 25 | 6'2" 335 | 3 | Washington | ACT |
| 90 | Malcom Brown | DL | 24 | 6'2" 320 | 3 | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Deatrich Wise | DL | 24 | 6'5" 271 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
| 92 | Frank Herron | DL | 24 | 6'5" 276 | R | Louisiana State | DEV |
| 93 | Lawrence Guy | DL | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 7 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 94 | Adrian Clayborn | DL | 30 | 6'3" 280 | 7 | Iowa | ACT |
| 95 | Derek Rivers | DL | 24 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | Youngstown State | ACT |
| 97 | Ufomba Kamalu | DL | 27 | 6'6" 295 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 98 | Trey Flowers | DL | 25 | 6'2" 265 | 3 | Arkansas | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Duron Harmon | DB | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 5 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 22 | Jomal Wiltz | DB | 25 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Iowa State | DEV |
| 22 | Obi Melifonwu | DB | 24 | 6'4" 217 | 1 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | DB | 31 | 5'11" 215 | 9 | Oregon | ACT |
| 24 | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 29 | 6'1" 190 | 6 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Eric Rowe | DB | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | Utah | RES |
| 27 | J.C. Jackson | DB | 24 | 6'1" 193 | R | Maryland | ACT |
| 29 | Duke Dawson | DB | 24 | 5'10" 202 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 30 | Jason McCourty | DB | 31 | 5'11" 195 | 9 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 31 | Jonathan Jones | DB | 26 | 5'10" 190 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | DB | 31 | 5'10" 195 | 8 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 35 | Keion Crossen | DB | 22 | 5'10" 180 | R | Western Carolina | ACT |
| 39 | Damarius Travis | DB | — | 6'2" 215 | 1 | Minnesota | CUT |
| 42 | A.J. Howard | DB | 24 | 5'11" 185 | R | Appalachian State | DEV |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | DB | 31 | 6'0" 220 | 6 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 34 | 6'1" 215 | 12 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 28 | 6'2" 220 | 5 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 26 | 6'3" 245 | 3 | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Texans | W 27-20 | -6 | +0.007 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | L 20-31 | -2 | +0.013 |
| 3 | @ Lions | L 10-26 | -7 | -0.285 |
| 4 | vs Dolphins | W 38-7 | -6.5 | +0.206 |
| 5 | vs Colts | W 38-24 | -10.5 | +0.184 |
| 6 | vs Chiefs | W 43-40 | -4 | +0.187 |
| 7 | @ Bears | W 38-31 | -1 | +0.135 |
| 8 | @ Bills | W 25-6 | -13.5 | +0.068 |
| 9 | vs Packers | W 31-17 | -5 | +0.210 |
| 10 | @ Titans | L 10-34 | -6 | -0.136 |
| 12 | @ Jets | W 27-13 | -13 | +0.292 |
| 13 | vs Vikings | W 24-10 | -6 | +0.130 |
| 14 | @ Dolphins | L 33-34 | -8.5 | +0.221 |
| 15 | @ Steelers | L 10-17 | -2.5 | +0.039 |
| 16 | vs Bills | W 24-12 | -14 | -0.186 |
| 17 | vs Jets | W 38-3 | -14 | +0.203 |
| DIV | vs Chargers | W 41-28 | -4 | +0.243 |
| CON | @ Chiefs | W 37-31 | +3 | +0.173 |
| SB | @ Rams | W 13-3 | -2 | +0.005 |