NFC South · 2020

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

11-5

Seed

Net EPA

+0.214est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.149
Success rate46.9%
EPA / dropback+0.239
EPA / rush-0.032
Explosive rate9.6%
CPOE+3.10
Third-down rate44.2%
Red-zone TD rate67.2%
Points / drive2.68
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.037
Success rate allowed41.9%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.043
EPA / rush allowed-0.209
Explosive rate allowed6.9%
Pressure rate (proxy)22.7%
Sack rate6.7%
Points / drive allowed1.88

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.149 · 86th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.037 · 14th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+3.8 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

4-4

As favorite

7-6

As dog

2-1

O/U

9-7

+3.6 vs total

Roster

80 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Ryan Griffin	QB	32	6'5" 210	7	Tulane	INA
6	Drew Stanton	QB	36	6'3" 226	13	Michigan State	INA
11	Blaine Gabbert	QB	32	6'5" 235	9	Missouri	ACT
12	Tom Brady	QB	43	6'4" 225	20	Michigan	ACT

Backs & receivers24

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	John Franklin	WR	27	6'1" 186	2	Florida Atlantic	RES
10	Scott Miller	WR	23	5'9" 174	1	Bowling Green	ACT
13	Mike Evans	WR	27	6'5" 231	6	Texas A&M	ACT
14	Chris Godwin	WR	24	6'1" 209	3	Penn State	ACT
15	Cyril Grayson	WR	28	5'9" 183	3	Louisiana State	DEV
17	Justin Watson	WR	24	6'3" 215	2	Pennsylvania	INA
18	Tyler Johnson	WR	22	6'1" 205	R	Minnesota	ACT
19	Travis Jonsen	WR	25	6'4" 211	R	Montana State	DEV
22	T.J. Logan	RB	27	5'11" 195	3	North Carolina	RES
24	C.J. Prosise	RB	26	6'1" 225	4	Notre Dame	DEV
25	LeSean McCoy	RB	32	5'11" 210	11	Pittsburgh	ACT
27	Ronald Jones	RB	23	5'11" 208	2	Southern California	ACT
28	Leonard Fournette	RB	25	6'0" 228	3	Louisiana State	ACT
30	Ke'Shawn Vaughn	RB	23	5'10" 215	R	Vanderbilt	INA
44	Kenjon Barner	RB	31	5'9" 195	7	Oregon	RES
80	O.J. Howard	TE	27	6'6" 250	3	Alabama	RES
81	Antonio Brown	WR	32	5'10" 185	10	Central Michigan	ACT
82	Antony Auclair	TE	27	6'6" 256	3	Laval, Can.	INA
84	Cameron Brate	TE	29	6'5" 245	6	Harvard	ACT
85	Jaydon Mickens	WR	26	5'11" 170	4	Washington	ACT
86	Codey McElroy	TE	29	6'6" 258	2	Southeastern Oklahoma	DEV
87	Rob Gronkowski	TE	31	6'6" 265	10	Arizona	ACT
88	Tanner Hudson	TE	27	6'5" 239	2	Southern Arkansas	ACT
89	Josh Pearson	WR	23	6'4" 205	R	Jacksonville State	DEV

Offensive line14

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Nick Leverett	OL	23	6'4" 310	R	Rice	CUT
62	A.Q. Shipley	OL	34	6'1" 307	11	Penn State	RES
62	Ted Larsen	OL	33	6'3" 323	10	North Carolina State	ACT
62	Brad Seaton	OL	28	6'8" 330	3	Villanova	RES
64	Aaron Stinnie	OL	26	6'3" 312	2	James Madison	ACT
65	Alex Cappa	OL	25	6'6" 305	2	Humboldt State	RES
66	Ryan Jensen	OL	29	6'4" 319	7	Colorado State-Pueblo	ACT
70	Earl Watford	OL	30	6'4" 300	7	James Madison	DEV
72	Josh Wells	OL	29	6'6" 306	6	James Madison	ACT
73	Joe Haeg	OL	27	6'6" 298	4	North Dakota State	ACT
74	Ali Marpet	OL	27	6'4" 307	5	Hobart	ACT
75	John Molchon	OL	23	6'5" 318	R	Boise State	DEV
76	Donovan Smith	OL	27	6'6" 338	5	Penn State	ACT
78	Tristan Wirfs	OL	21	6'5" 322	R	Iowa	ACT

Defensive front21

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Deone Bucannon	LB	28	6'1" 211	6	Washington State	ACT
45	Devin White	LB	22	6'0" 237	1	Louisiana State	ACT
48	Jack Cichy	LB	24	6'2" 238	2	Wisconsin	RES
49	Cam Gill	LB	24	6'3" 240	R	Wagner	ACT
50	Vita Vea	DL	25	6'4" 347	2	Washington	ACT
51	Kevin Minter	LB	31	6'0" 246	7	Louisiana State	ACT
53	Chapelle Russell	LB	23	6'2" 230	R	Temple	DEV
54	Lavonte David	LB	30	6'1" 233	8	Nebraska	ACT
56	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	DL	27	6'2" 307	5	Southern Mississippi	ACT
57	Quinton Bell	DL	24	6'4" 253	1	Prairie View	DEV
58	Shaquil Barrett	LB	29	6'2" 250	6	Colorado State	ACT
73	Kobe Smith	DL	22	6'2" 300	R	South Carolina	DEV
79	Pat O'Connor	DL	28	6'4" 270	3	Eastern Michigan	ACT
90	Jason Pierre-Paul	DL	31	6'5" 275	10	South Florida	ACT
91	Benning Potoa'e	DL	25	6'3" 290	R	Washington	DEV
92	William Gholston	DL	29	6'6" 281	7	Michigan State	ACT
93	Ndamukong Suh	DL	33	6'4" 313	10	Nebraska	ACT
94	Khalil Davis	DL	24	6'1" 315	R	Nebraska	INA
95	Jeremiah Ledbetter	DL	26	6'3" 295	3	Arkansas	INA
96	Steve McLendon	DL	34	6'3" 310	11	Troy	ACT
98	Anthony Nelson	LB	23	6'7" 272	1	Iowa	ACT

Secondary11

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
23	Sean Murphy-Bunting	DB	23	6'0" 195	1	Central Michigan	ACT
24	Carlton Davis	DB	25	6'1" 206	2	Auburn	ACT
26	Andrew Adams	DB	27	5'11" 202	4	Connecticut	ACT
29	Ryan Smith	DB	28	5'11" 190	4	North Carolina Central	ACT
31	Antoine Winfield	DB	22	5'9" 205	R	Minnesota	ACT
32	Mike Edwards	DB	24	5'10" 200	1	Kentucky	ACT
33	Jordan Whitehead	DB	23	5'10" 198	2	Pittsburgh	ACT
34	Javon Hagan	DB	23	6'0" 215	R	Ohio	DEV
35	Jamel Dean	DB	25	6'1" 206	1	Auburn	ACT
36	Herb Miller	DB	24	6'2" 190	1	Florida Atlantic	DEV
43	Ross Cockrell	DB	29	6'0" 191	6	Duke	ACT

Specialists6

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Greg Joseph	K	26	6'0" 210	2	Florida Atlantic	DEV
3	Ryan Succop	K	35	6'2" 218	11	South Carolina	ACT
4	Matt Wile	P	28	6'2" 225	5	Michigan	DEV
8	Bradley Pinion	P	26	6'5" 240	5	Clemson	ACT
89	Garrison Sanborn	LS	35	6'1" 240	11	Florida State	DEV
97	Zach Triner	LS	29	6'3" 245	4	Assumption	ACT

Schedule

20 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Saints	L 23-34	+4	-0.018
2	vs Panthers	W 31-17	-7.5	+0.052
3	@ Broncos	W 28-10	-6	+0.133
4	vs Chargers	W 38-31	-7.5	+0.152
5	@ Bears	L 19-20	-3.5	-0.023
6	vs Packers	W 38-10	+3	+0.198
7	@ Raiders	W 45-20	-3.5	+0.381
8	@ Giants	W 25-23	-13	+0.076
9	vs Saints	L 3-38	-3	-0.479
10	@ Panthers	W 46-23	-6	+0.346
11	vs Rams	L 24-27	-4	-0.116
12	vs Chiefs	L 24-27	+3.5	+0.129
14	vs Vikings	W 26-14	-7	+0.298
15	@ Falcons	W 31-27	-6	+0.247
16	@ Lions	W 47-7	-12	+0.405
17	vs Falcons	W 44-27	-7.5	+0.430
WC	@ Commanders	W 31-23	-10	+0.257
DIV	@ Saints	W 30-20	+2.5	+0.049
CON	@ Packers	W 31-26	+3	+0.140
SB	vs Chiefs	W 31-9	+3	+0.204