AFC East · 2024
Buffalo Bills
Record
13-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.163est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.186
- Success rate47.8%
- EPA / dropback+0.298
- EPA / rush+0.029
- Explosive rate9.5%
- CPOE+0.64
- Third-down rate45.6%
- Red-zone TD rate75.1%
- Points / drive2.90
- Turnover rate0.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.004
- Success rate allowed44.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.095
- EPA / rush allowed-0.164
- Explosive rate allowed9.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.4%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.98
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.186 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.004 · 36th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-7
+5.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-4
As favorite
8-5
As dog
2-2
O/U
11-5-1
+6.3 vs total
Roster
77 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anthony Brown | QB | 26 | 6'1" 226 | 2 | Oregon | DEV |
| 6 | Shane Buechele | QB | 26 | 6'0" 205 | 3 | Southern Methodist | RES |
| 11 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | 30 | 6'3" 215 | 7 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 14 | Mike White | QB | 29 | 6'5" 225 | 6 | Western Kentucky | INA |
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | 28 | 6'5" 237 | 6 | Wyoming | ACT |
Backs & receivers18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Keon Coleman | WR | 21 | 6'4" 215 | R | Florida State | ACT |
| 1 | Curtis Samuel | WR | 28 | 5'11" 195 | 7 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 4 | James Cook | RB | 26 | 5'11" 190 | 2 | Georgia | ACT |
| 10 | Khalil Shakir | WR | 24 | 6'0" 190 | 2 | Boise State | ACT |
| 13 | Mack Hollins | WR | 32 | 6'4" 221 | 7 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 18 | Amari Cooper | WR | 30 | 6'1" 211 | 9 | Alabama | ACT |
| 19 | KJ Hamler | WR | 25 | 5'9" 176 | 4 | Penn State | DEV |
| 20 | Frank Gore Jr. | RB | 22 | 5'8" 200 | R | Southern Mississippi | DEV |
| 22 | Ray Davis | RB | 26 | 5'8" 216 | R | Kentucky | ACT |
| 26 | Ty Johnson | RB | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 5 | Maryland | ACT |
| 41 | Reggie Gilliam | RB | 27 | 6'0" 255 | 4 | Toledo | ACT |
| 80 | Tyrell Shavers | WR | 25 | 6'4" 210 | 1 | San Diego State | DEV |
| 84 | Zach Davidson | TE | 26 | 6'7" 245 | 3 | Central Missouri | DEV |
| 85 | Quintin Morris | TE | 25 | 6'2" 251 | 3 | Bowling Green | ACT |
| 86 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | 26 | 6'4" 240 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 88 | Dawson Knox | TE | 29 | 6'4" 254 | 5 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 88 | Armani Rogers | TE | 28 | 6'5" 227 | 2 | Ohio | RES |
| 89 | Jalen Virgil | WR | 26 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | Appalachian State | DEV |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Sedrick Van Pran-Granger | OL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | R | Georgia | INA |
| 64 | O'Cyrus Torrence | OL | 24 | 6'5" 347 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 65 | Mike Edwards | OL | 27 | 6'5" 355 | R | Campbell | DEV |
| 66 | Connor McGovern | OL | 28 | 6'5" 308 | 5 | Penn State | ACT |
| 67 | Travis Clayton | OL | 23 | 6'7" 301 | R | No College | RES |
| 68 | Tylan Grable | OL | 26 | 6'5" 290 | R | Central Florida | ACT |
| 70 | Alec Anderson | OL | 26 | 6'5" 305 | 2 | UCLA | ACT |
| 72 | Tommy Doyle | OL | 26 | 6'8" 315 | 3 | Miami, O. | RES |
| 73 | Dion Dawkins | OL | 30 | 6'5" 320 | 7 | Temple | ACT |
| 74 | Ryan Van Demark | OL | 26 | 6'6" 300 | 2 | Connecticut | INA |
| 75 | Richard Gouraige | OL | 27 | 6'5" 312 | 1 | Florida | DEV |
| 76 | David Edwards | OL | 27 | 6'6" 308 | 5 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 77 | Will Clapp | OL | 30 | 6'5" 311 | 6 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 79 | Spencer Brown | OL | 26 | 6'8" 321 | 3 | Northern Iowa | ACT |
Defensive front22
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Von Miller | DL | 35 | 6'3" 250 | 13 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 42 | Dorian Williams | LB | 23 | 6'2" 230 | 1 | Tulane | ACT |
| 43 | Terrel Bernard | LB | 25 | 6'1" 222 | 2 | Baylor | ACT |
| 44 | Joe Andreessen | LB | 24 | 6'1" 232 | R | Buffalo | ACT |
| 45 | Tyreek Maddox-Williams | LB | 28 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | Rutgers | DEV |
| 48 | Edefuan Ulofoshio | LB | 24 | 6'0" 236 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 50 | Greg Rousseau | DL | 24 | 6'6" 253 | 3 | Miami | ACT |
| 51 | Eli Ankou | DL | 30 | 6'3" 325 | 7 | UCLA | DEV |
| 54 | Baylon Spector | LB | 27 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | Clemson | RES |
| 56 | Javon Solomon | DL | 23 | 6'1" 249 | R | Troy | ACT |
| 57 | A.J. Epenesa | DL | 27 | 6'6" 280 | 4 | Iowa | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Milano | LB | 30 | 6'0" 223 | 7 | Boston College | ACT |
| 59 | Kingsley Jonathan | DL | 26 | 6'4" 260 | 2 | Syracuse | DEV |
| 71 | Quinton Jefferson | DL | 31 | 6'4" 291 | 8 | Maryland | INA |
| 90 | DeWayne Carter | DL | 25 | 6'3" 305 | R | Duke | INA |
| 91 | Ed Oliver | DL | 28 | 6'1" 287 | 5 | Houston | ACT |
| 92 | DaQuan Jones | DL | 34 | 6'4" 322 | 10 | Penn State | ACT |
| 93 | Zion Logue | DL | 22 | 6'6" 310 | R | Georgia | DEV |
| 94 | Dawuane Smoot | DL | 29 | 6'3" 264 | 7 | Illinois | ACT |
| 97 | Jordan Phillips | DL | 33 | 6'6" 341 | 9 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 98 | Austin Johnson | DL | 30 | 6'4" 314 | 8 | Penn State | ACT |
| 99 | Casey Toohill | DL | 28 | 6'5" 247 | 4 | Stanford | DEV |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Damar Hamlin | DB | 26 | 6'0" 195 | 3 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 5 | Kaiir Elam | DB | 23 | 6'1" 196 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 7 | Taron Johnson | DB | 28 | 5'11" 192 | 6 | Weber State | ACT |
| 9 | Taylor Rapp | DB | 28 | 6'0" 208 | 5 | Washington | INA |
| 23 | Micah Hyde | DB | 35 | 6'0" 197 | 11 | Iowa | DEV |
| 24 | Cole Bishop | DB | 23 | 6'2" 207 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 25 | Daequan Hardy | DB | 23 | 5'9" 178 | R | Penn State | DEV |
| 27 | Kareem Jackson | DB | 36 | 5'10" 185 | 14 | Alabama | ACT |
| 29 | Brandon Codrington | DB | 25 | 5'9" 185 | R | North Carolina Central | INA |
| 31 | Rasul Douglas | DB | 30 | 6'2" 209 | 7 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 33 | Te'Cory Couch | DB | 26 | 5'10" 175 | R | Miami | DEV |
| 39 | Cam Lewis | DB | 27 | 5'9" 185 | 5 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 46 | Ja'Marcus Ingram | DB | 28 | 6'2" 185 | 2 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 47 | Christian Benford | DB | 25 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | Villanova | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tyler Bass | K | 27 | 5'10" 185 | 4 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 5 | Jake Camarda | P | 25 | 6'1" 180 | 2 | Georgia | RES |
| 8 | Sam Martin | P | 34 | 6'1" 211 | 11 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 69 | Reid Ferguson | LS | 30 | 6'2" 235 | 8 | Louisiana State | ACT |
Schedule
20 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cardinals | W 34-28 | -6.5 | +0.211 |
| 2 | @ Dolphins | W 31-10 | +2.5 | +0.231 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | W 47-10 | -4 | +0.423 |
| 4 | @ Ravens | L 10-35 | +2.5 | -0.177 |
| 5 | @ Texans | L 20-23 | +1 | -0.027 |
| 6 | @ Jets | W 23-20 | -1 | +0.274 |
| 7 | vs Titans | W 34-10 | -9.5 | +0.225 |
| 8 | @ Seahawks | W 31-10 | -3 | +0.274 |
| 9 | vs Dolphins | W 30-27 | -6.5 | +0.170 |
| 10 | @ Colts | W 30-20 | -4.5 | +0.004 |
| 11 | vs Chiefs | W 30-21 | -2.5 | +0.167 |
| 13 | vs 49ers | W 35-10 | -6.5 | +0.345 |
| 14 | @ Rams | L 42-44 | -3.5 | +0.530 |
| 15 | @ Lions | W 48-42 | +2.5 | +0.439 |
| 16 | vs Patriots | W 24-21 | -14 | +0.029 |
| 17 | vs Jets | W 40-14 | -10 | +0.164 |
| 18 | @ Patriots | L 16-23 | -3 | -0.089 |
| WC | vs Broncos | W 31-7 | -7.5 | +0.308 |
| DIV | vs Ravens | W 27-25 | +1.5 | +0.102 |
| CON | @ Chiefs | L 29-32 | +1.5 | +0.184 |