AFC South · 2009
Indianapolis Colts
Record
14-2
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.052est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.127
- Success rate48.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.241
- EPA / rush-0.077
- Explosive rate9.8%
- CPOE+4.60
- Third-down rate48.9%
- Red-zone TD rate73.5%
- Points / drive2.29
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.035
- Success rate allowed45.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.029
- EPA / rush allowed-0.044
- Explosive rate allowed6.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.6%
- Sack rate5.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.68
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.127 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.035 · 47th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-5-1
+2.5 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
7-1
As favorite
9-4-1
As dog
1-1
O/U
9-7
+0.8 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Curtis Painter | QB | 24 | 6'4" 230 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 33 | 6'5" 230 | 11 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Samuel Giguere | WR | 24 | 5'11" 215 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Austin Collie | WR | 25 | 6'0" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 29 | Joseph Addai | RB | 26 | 5'11" 214 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Donald Brown | RB | 22 | 5'10" 210 | R | — | ACT |
| 32 | Mike Hart | RB | 23 | 5'9" 206 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Chad Simpson | RB | 24 | 5'9" 216 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Dallas Clark | TE | 30 | 6'3" 252 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Colin Cloherty | TE | 23 | 6'2" 245 | R | — | TRD |
| 46 | Colin Cloherty | TE | 23 | 6'2" 245 | R | — | ACT |
| 47 | Gijon Robinson | TE | 26 | 6'1" 255 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Hank Baskett | WR | 28 | 6'4" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Hank Baskett | WR | 28 | 6'4" 220 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 84 | Jacob Tamme | TE | 24 | 6'3" 236 | 1 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 85 | Pierre Garcon | WR | 23 | 6'0" 210 | 1 | Mount Union | ACT |
| 87 | Reggie Wayne | WR | 32 | 6'0" 198 | 8 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Jamey Richard | G | 26 | 6'5" 295 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Jeff Saturday | C | 34 | 6'2" 295 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Ryan Lilja | G | 29 | 6'2" 290 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Kyle DeVan | C | 24 | 6'2" 306 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Tony Ugoh | T | 27 | 6'5" 301 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Ryan Diem | T | 30 | 6'6" 320 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Charlie Johnson | T | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Michael Toudouze | T | 26 | 6'6" 303 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Mike Pollak | G | 24 | 6'3" 301 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Philip Wheeler | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 240 | 1 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 52 | Cody Glenn | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 54 | Freddy Keiaho | MLB | 28 | 5'11" 226 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Clint Session | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 235 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Gary Brackett | MLB | 29 | 5'11" 235 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Ramon Humber | OLB | 22 | 5'11" 232 | R | North Dakota State | ACT |
| 68 | Eric Foster | DT | 24 | 6'2" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 69 | John Gill | DT | 24 | 6'3" 302 | R | — | ACT |
| 79 | Raheem Brock | DE | 31 | 6'4" 274 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Daniel Muir | DT | 27 | 6'2" 312 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Dwight Freeney | DE | 29 | 6'1" 268 | 7 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 94 | Ervin Baldwin | DE | 23 | 6'2" 260 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ervin Baldwin | DE | 23 | 6'2" 260 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 95 | Fili Moala | DT | 24 | 6'4" 303 | R | — | ACT |
| 96 | Keyunta Dawson | DE | 25 | 6'3" 254 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | DE | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 6 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | Antonio Johnson | DT | 26 | 6'3" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | T.J. Rushing | CB | 26 | 5'9" 186 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Tim Jennings | CB | 27 | 5'8" 185 | 3 | Georgia | ACT |
| 25 | Jerraud Powers | CB | 22 | 5'10" 192 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 26 | Kelvin Hayden | CB | 26 | 6'0" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Jacob Lacey | CB | 22 | 5'10" 177 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Melvin Bullitt | SS | 26 | 6'1" 201 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Jamie Silva | DB | 26 | 5'11" 204 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Antoine Bethea | FS | 25 | 5'11" 203 | 3 | Howard | ACT |
| 43 | Aaron Francisco | FS | 26 | 6'2" 207 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat McAfee | P | 22 | 6'1" 220 | R | West Virginia | ACT |
| 3 | Matt Stover | K | 41 | 5'11" 180 | 19 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 38 | 6'0" 202 | 13 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 48 | Justin Snow | LS | 34 | 6'3" 240 | 9 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jaguars | W 14-12 | -6.5 | +0.007 |
| 2 | @ Dolphins | W 27-23 | -3 | +0.490 |
| 3 | @ Cardinals | W 31-10 | +3 | +0.218 |
| 4 | vs Seahawks | W 34-17 | -10 | +0.228 |
| 5 | @ Titans | W 31-9 | -3 | +0.215 |
| 7 | @ Rams | W 42-6 | -14 | +0.424 |
| 8 | vs 49ers | W 18-14 | -13 | -0.053 |
| 9 | vs Texans | W 20-17 | -7.5 | +0.000 |
| 10 | vs Patriots | W 35-34 | -1 | +0.191 |
| 11 | @ Ravens | W 17-15 | -1 | +0.083 |
| 12 | @ Texans | W 35-27 | -3 | +0.294 |
| 13 | vs Titans | W 27-17 | -6 | +0.252 |
| 14 | vs Broncos | W 28-16 | -6.5 | -0.010 |
| 15 | @ Jaguars | W 35-31 | -3.5 | +0.389 |
| 16 | vs Jets | L 15-29 | -3 | -0.131 |
| 17 | @ Bills | L 7-30 | +9 | -0.384 |
| DIV | vs Ravens | W 20-3 | -6.5 | +0.034 |
| CON | vs Jets | W 30-17 | -8 | +0.157 |
| SB | vs Saints | L 17-31 | -4.5 | +0.147 |