AFC East · 2007
New England Patriots
Record
16-0
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.259est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.256
- Success rate53.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.422
- EPA / rush+0.001
- Explosive rate8.7%
- CPOE+7.39
- Third-down rate48.4%
- Red-zone TD rate73.2%
- Points / drive3.13
- Turnover rate1.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.079
- Success rate allowed42.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.119
- EPA / rush allowed-0.011
- Explosive rate allowed7.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.0%
- Sack rate7.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.21
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.256 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.079 · 19th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+6.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
10-6
As dog
0-0
O/U
11-5
+6.5 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matt Gutierrez | QB | 23 | 6'4" 230 | R | — | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 30 | 6'4" 225 | 7 | Michigan | ACT |
| 16 | Matt Cassel | QB | 25 | 6'4" 230 | 2 | USC | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jabar Gaffney | WR | 28 | 6'1" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Kelley Washington | WR | 28 | 6'3" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Chad Jackson | WR | 22 | 6'1" 215 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Donte' Stallworth | WR | 28 | 6'0" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 31 | 5'8" 202 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Kyle Eckel | FB | 27 | 5'11" 237 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Laurence Maroney | RB | 22 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Heath Evans | FB | 30 | 6'0" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Troy Brown | WR | 36 | 5'10" 196 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Randy Moss | WR | 30 | 6'4" 210 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Stephen Spach | TE | 25 | 6'4" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 26 | 5'9" 185 | 3 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 28 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | Georgia | ACT |
| 88 | Kyle Brady | TE | 35 | 6'6" 280 | 12 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Wesley Britt | T | 27 | 6'8" 320 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 29 | 6'2" 296 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Ryan O'Callaghan | T | 24 | 6'7" 330 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 25 | 6'4" 310 | 2 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 31 | 6'4" 305 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 29 | 6'4" 305 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Billy Yates | G | 27 | 6'2" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Nick Kaczur | T | 28 | 6'4" 315 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 32 | 6'4" 261 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Eric Alexander | ILB | 25 | 6'2" 240 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 34 | 5'10" 228 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 34 | 6'1" 247 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Junior Seau | ILB | 38 | 6'3" 250 | 17 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Pierre Woods | OLB | 25 | 6'5" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 27 | 6'2" 325 | 3 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Le Kevin Smith | NT | 25 | 6'1" 308 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Santonio Thomas | DT | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 29 | 6'6" 310 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 26 | 6'5" 300 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Rashad Moore | DT | 28 | 6'3" 325 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Adalius Thomas | ILB | 30 | 6'2" 270 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 28 | 6'3" 285 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Randall Gay | CB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 26 | 5'10" 185 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Willie Andrews | FS | 25 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Eugene Wilson | FS | 27 | 5'10" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Ellis Hobbs | CB | 24 | 5'9" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Antwain Spann | CB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Brandon Meriweather | SS | 23 | 5'11" 200 | R | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | SS | 25 | 5'10" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Rodney Harrison | SS | 36 | 6'1" 220 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Raymond Ventrone | S | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | — | TRT |
| 41 | Raymond Ventrone | S | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 23 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Chris Hanson | P | 32 | 6'2" 202 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | LS | 29 | 6'2" 260 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jets | W 38-14 | -6 | +0.391 |
| 2 | vs Chargers | W 38-14 | -3.5 | +0.304 |
| 3 | vs Bills | W 38-7 | -16.5 | +0.219 |
| 4 | @ Bengals | W 34-13 | -7.5 | +0.387 |
| 5 | vs Browns | W 34-17 | -15.5 | +0.062 |
| 6 | @ Cowboys | W 48-27 | -5 | +0.269 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | W 49-28 | -15.5 | +0.472 |
| 8 | vs Commanders | W 52-7 | -15 | +0.368 |
| 9 | @ Colts | W 24-20 | -5 | +0.048 |
| 11 | @ Bills | W 56-10 | -15.5 | +0.592 |
| 12 | vs Eagles | W 31-28 | -24 | +0.182 |
| 13 | @ Ravens | W 27-24 | -19 | +0.131 |
| 14 | vs Steelers | W 34-13 | -11 | +0.333 |
| 15 | vs Jets | W 20-10 | -20.5 | -0.039 |
| 16 | vs Dolphins | W 28-7 | -22 | +0.093 |
| 17 | @ Giants | W 38-35 | -13 | +0.317 |
| DIV | vs Jaguars | W 31-20 | -13.5 | +0.398 |
| CON | vs Chargers | W 21-12 | -14 | +0.022 |
| SB | vs Giants | L 14-17 | -12.5 | +0.006 |