AFC East · 2011
New England Patriots
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.153est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.193
- Success rate51.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.301
- EPA / rush+0.019
- Explosive rate9.8%
- CPOE+3.92
- Third-down rate46.4%
- Red-zone TD rate69.3%
- Points / drive2.61
- Turnover rate1.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.064
- Success rate allowed46.5%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.139
- EPA / rush allowed-0.076
- Explosive rate allowed10.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.8%
- Sack rate5.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.70
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.193 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.064 · 91th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+3.0 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-3
As favorite
8-7
As dog
1-0
O/U
11-5
+3.3 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Hoyer | QB | 27 | 6'2" 215 | 2 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 34 | 6'4" 225 | 11 | Michigan | ACT |
| 15 | Ryan Mallett | QB | 23 | 6'6" 238 | R | Arkansas | ACT |
Backs & receivers12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 25 | 5'10" 198 | 2 | Kent State | ACT |
| 22 | Stevan Ridley | RB | 22 | 5'11" 225 | R | LSU | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 35 | 5'8" 202 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Shane Vereen | RB | 22 | 5'9" 205 | R | California | ACT |
| 36 | Lousaka Polite | FB | 31 | 6'0" 245 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Danny Woodhead | RB | 26 | 5'8" 195 | 3 | Chadron State | ACT |
| 42 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | RB | 26 | 5'11" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Aaron Hernandez | TE | 23 | 6'1" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 30 | 5'9" 185 | 7 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Deion Branch | WR | 32 | 5'9" 195 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Chad Johnson | WR | 33 | 6'1" 192 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 22 | 6'6" 265 | 1 | Arizona | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Brian Waters | G | 34 | 6'3" 320 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | T | 23 | 6'5" 358 | R | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | C | 25 | 6'2" 290 | 3 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | G | 30 | 6'4" 313 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Donald Thomas | G | 27 | 6'4" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Nick McDonald | G | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 29 | 6'4" 310 | 6 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 33 | 6'4" 305 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 27 | 6'8" 315 | 2 | Houston | ACT |
| 77 | Nate Solder | T | 23 | 6'8" 319 | R | Colorado | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 255 | 5 | Purdue | ACT |
| 51 | Jerod Mayo | ILB | 25 | 6'1" 245 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 52 | Dane Fletcher | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 244 | 1 | Montana State | ACT |
| 55 | Brandon Spikes | ILB | 25 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 58 | Tracy White | ILB | 30 | 6'0" 230 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Gary Guyton | ILB | 27 | 6'3" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Alex Silvestro | DE | 24 | 6'3" 267 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Brandon Deaderick | DE | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Kyle Love | NT | 26 | 6'1" 310 | 1 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 31 | 6'2" 325 | 7 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Niko Koutouvides | MLB | 30 | 6'2" 238 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Shaun Ellis | DE | 34 | 6'5" 290 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Mark Anderson | DE | 28 | 6'4" 255 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Ron Brace | NT | 26 | 6'3" 330 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Gerard Warren | DE | 33 | 6'4" 330 | 10 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nathan Jones | CB | 29 | 5'10" 185 | 7 | — | TRT |
| 23 | Nathan Jones | CB | 29 | 5'10" 185 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Kyle Arrington | CB | 25 | 5'10" 196 | 3 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 25 | Patrick Chung | SS | 24 | 5'11" 212 | 2 | Oregon | ACT |
| 27 | Antwaun Molden | CB | 26 | 6'1" 198 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Sterling Moore | DB | 21 | 5'10" 190 | R | Southern Methodist | TRD |
| 29 | Sterling Moore | DB | 21 | 5'10" 190 | R | Southern Methodist | ACT |
| 31 | Sergio Brown | FS | 23 | 6'2" 210 | 1 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | CB | 24 | 5'10" 193 | 1 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 41 | Malcolm Williams | DB | 25 | 5'11" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | James Ihedigbo | FS | 29 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | Massachusetts | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 27 | 6'1" 215 | 5 | Memphis | ACT |
| 14 | Zoltan Mesko | P | 25 | 6'5" 231 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | KR | 27 | 6'0" 200 | 3 | UCLA | ACT |
| 48 | Danny Aiken | LS | 23 | 6'4" 255 | R | Virginia | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Dolphins | W 38-24 | -7 | +0.351 |
| 2 | vs Chargers | W 35-21 | -6.5 | +0.338 |
| 3 | @ Bills | L 31-34 | -7 | +0.122 |
| 4 | @ Raiders | W 31-19 | -6 | +0.306 |
| 5 | vs Jets | W 30-21 | -7.5 | +0.093 |
| 6 | vs Cowboys | W 20-16 | -6.5 | +0.009 |
| 8 | @ Steelers | L 17-25 | -3 | +0.078 |
| 9 | vs Giants | L 20-24 | -9.5 | +0.001 |
| 10 | @ Jets | W 37-16 | +2.5 | +0.143 |
| 11 | vs Chiefs | W 34-3 | -17 | +0.121 |
| 12 | @ Eagles | W 38-20 | -3 | +0.365 |
| 13 | vs Colts | W 31-24 | -20.5 | +0.257 |
| 14 | @ Commanders | W 34-27 | -7.5 | +0.276 |
| 15 | @ Broncos | W 41-23 | -7 | +0.297 |
| 16 | vs Dolphins | W 27-24 | -7.5 | +0.069 |
| 17 | vs Bills | W 49-21 | -10 | +0.285 |
| DIV | vs Broncos | W 45-10 | -14 | +0.347 |
| CON | vs Ravens | W 23-20 | -7 | +0.066 |
| SB | vs Giants | L 17-21 | -3 | +0.177 |