AFC East · 2025

New England Patriots

Record

14-3

Seed

Net EPA

+0.247est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.154
Success rate48.2%
EPA / dropback+0.308
EPA / rush-0.089
Explosive rate10.5%
CPOE+10.94
Third-down rate43.3%
Red-zone TD rate63.4%
Points / drive2.47
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.040
Success rate allowed44.9%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.018
EPA / rush allowed-0.077
Explosive rate allowed7.6%
Pressure rate (proxy)19.4%
Sack rate5.6%
Points / drive allowed1.65

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.154 · 98th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.040 · 33th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

12-5

+6.2 vs line

Home

5-4

Away

7-1

As favorite

8-3

As dog

4-2

O/U

11-6

+2.3 vs total

Roster

85 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Drake Maye	QB	23	6'4" 225	1	North Carolina	ACT
11	Joshua Dobbs	QB	30	6'3" 216	8	Tennessee	ACT
16	Tommy DeVito	QB	27	6'2" 210	2	Illinois; Syracuse	INA

Backs & receivers24

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	DeMario Douglas	WR	26	5'8" 170	2	Liberty	ACT
4	Antonio Gibson	RB	27	6'0" 221	5	Memphis; East Central JC	RES
8	Stefon Diggs	WR	33	6'0" 191	10	Maryland	ACT
9	Kayshon Boutte	WR	23	5'11" 205	2	LSU	ACT
13	Mack Hollins	WR	33	6'4" 221	8	North Carolina	ACT
13	Craig Reynolds	RB	29	5'11" 215	6	Kutztown	DEV
18	Kyle Williams	WR	24	5'11" 190	R	Washington State	ACT
26	Terrell Jennings	RB	24	6'0" 225	1	Florida A&M	RES
29	Jeremiah Webb	WR	24	5'11" 196	R	South Alabama; South Dakota	DEV
32	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	24	5'10" 212	R	Ohio State	ACT
34	D'Ernest Johnson	RB	29	5'10" 208	6	University of South Florida	ACT
34	Lan Larison	RB	25	5'11" 215	R	UC Davis	RES
35	Deneric Prince	RB	25	6'0" 219	2	Tulsa; Texas A&M	RES
37	Jack Westover	RB	26	6'2" 248	1	Washington	ACT
38	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	27	6'0" 246	4	Oklahoma; Cerritos College	ACT
46	Brock Lampe	RB	22	6'1" 252	R	Northern Illinois	RES
49	Marshall Lang	TE	25	6'4" 246	R	Northwestern	DEV
81	Austin Hooper	TE	32	6'4" 254	9	Stanford	ACT
81	Trent Sherfield	WR	29	6'1" 219	7	Vanderbilt	DEV
82	CJ Dippre	TE	23	6'5" 262	R	Alabama; Maryland	INA
83	John Jiles	WR	25	6'3" 205	1	University of West Florida	DEV
85	Hunter Henry	TE	32	6'5" 250	9	Arkansas	ACT
86	Efton Chism III	WR	25	5'10" 200	R	Eastern Washington	INA
88	Thomas Odukoya	TE	28	6'6" 260	3	Eastern Michigan	DEV

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
52	Marcus Bryant	OL	23	6'7" 317	R	Missouri; SMU	INA
58	Jared Wilson	OL	22	6'3" 310	R	Georgia	ACT
59	Vederian Lowe	OL	26	6'5" 320	3	Illinois	ACT
61	Brenden Jaimes	OL	26	6'5" 300	4	Nebraska	DEV
63	Mehki Butler	OL	24	6'3" 320	R	Arkansas State; Iowa Western CC	DEV
65	Garrett Bradbury	OL	30	6'3" 305	6	N.C. State	ACT
66	Wes Schweitzer	OL	33	6'4" 314	9	San Jose State	RET
66	Will Campbell	OL	21	6'6" 323	R	LSU	ACT
67	Andrew Rupcich	OL	26	6'6" 323	3	Culver-Stockton College	DEV
70	Caedan Wallace	OL	25	6'5" 328	1	Penn State; West Virginia	INA
71	Mike Onwenu	OL	29	6'3" 350	5	Michigan	ACT
71	Lorenz Metz	OL	28	6'9" 330	2	Cincinnati	DEV
72	Yasir Durant	OL	27	6'6" 330	5	Missouri; Arizona Western	RES
74	Thayer Munford Jr.	OL	27	6'5" 315	3	Ohio State	ACT
76	Morgan Moses	OL	34	6'6" 330	11	Virginia	ACT
77	Ben Brown	OL	27	6'5" 315	3	Mississippi	ACT

Defensive front25

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Harold Landry III	LB	29	6'2" 250	7	Boston College	ACT
14	Robert Spillane	LB	31	6'1" 229	7	Western Michigan	ACT
15	Marte Mapu	LB	27	6'3" 216	2	Sacramento State	ACT
33	Anfernee Jennings	LB	28	6'3" 259	5	Alabama	ACT
40	Otis Reese	LB	27	6'3" 225	2	Mississippi	DEV
42	Darius Harris	LB	29	6'2" 238	6	Middle Tennessee State	DEV
43	Bradyn Swinson	LB	23	6'4" 250	R	LSU; Oregon	INA
44	K'Lavon Chaisson	LB	26	6'3" 250	5	LSU	ACT
48	Jahlani Tavai	LB	30	6'2" 250	6	Hawaii	ACT
48	Patrick Johnson	LB	27	6'2" 251	4	Tulane	DEV
49	Chad Muma	LB	26	6'3" 242	3	Wyoming	ACT
51	Jack Gibbens	LB	28	6'3" 245	3	Minnesota; Abilene Christian	ACT
53	Christian Elliss	LB	26	6'2" 233	4	Idaho	ACT
53	Amari Gainer	LB	25	6'3" 235	1	North Carolina; Florida State	DEV
55	Eric Gregory	DL	26	6'3" 318	R	Arkansas	RES
68	Isaiah Iton	DL	24	6'2" 290	1	Rutgers; Hutchinson CC	RES
90	Christian Barmore	DL	26	6'5" 310	4	Alabama	ACT
91	Elijah Ponder	LB	23	6'3" 245	R	Cal Poly (San Luis Obispo)	ACT
92	Joshua Farmer	DL	22	6'3" 318	R	Florida State	RES
93	Leonard Taylor III	DL	23	6'3" 305	1	Miami	ACT
94	Jaquelin Roy	DL	26	6'3" 315	2	LSU	RES
94	Cory Durden	DL	26	6'4" 305	2	N.C. State; Florida State	ACT
95	Khyiris Tonga	DL	29	6'2" 340	4	BYU	ACT
97	Milton Williams	DL	26	6'3" 278	4	Louisiana Tech	ACT
98	Jeremiah Pharms Jr.	DL	30	6'3" 270	5	Friends U.	DEV

Secondary14

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
0	Christian Gonzalez	DB	23	6'1" 201	2	Oregon	ACT
7	Carlton Davis III	DB	30	6'1" 206	7	Auburn	ACT
19	Kobee Minor	DB	23	5'11" 190	R	Memphis; Indiana; Texas Tech	INA
21	Jaylinn Hawkins	DB	28	6'1" 210	5	California	ACT
22	Charles Woods	DB	25	5'11" 191	1	SMU; West Virginia; Illinois State	ACT
23	John Saunders Jr.	DB	25	6'2" 210	R	Mississippi; Miami (Ohio)	DEV
24	Dell Pettus	DB	24	5'11" 205	1	Troy	ACT
25	Marcus Jones	DB	28	5'8" 185	3	Houston; Troy	ACT
27	Marcellas Dial Jr.	DB	26	6'0" 195	1	South Carolina; Georgia Military	RES
28	Alex Austin	DB	24	6'1" 191	2	Oregon State	ACT
31	Craig Woodson	DB	24	6'0" 210	R	California	ACT
35	Miles Battle	DB	25	6'3" 205	1	Utah; Mississippi	DEV
39	Richie Grant	DB	30	6'0" 194	4	UCF	DEV
41	Brenden Schooler	DB	28	6'1" 206	3	Texas; Arizona; Oregon	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
17	Bryce Baringer	P	26	6'2" 215	2	Michigan State; Illinois	ACT
36	Andy Borregales	K	22	5'11" 170	R	Miami	ACT
47	Julian Ashby	LS	23	6'1" 221	R	Vanderbilt; Furman	ACT

Schedule

21 games

New England Patriots schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Raiders	L 13-20	-2.5	-0.046
2	@ Dolphins	W 33-27	+1.5	+0.275
3	vs Steelers	L 14-21	+1.5	-0.110
4	vs Panthers	W 42-13	-5.5	+0.355
5	@ Bills	W 23-20	+7.5	+0.065
6	@ Saints	W 25-19	-3.5	+0.139
7	@ Titans	W 31-13	-6.5	+0.267
8	vs Browns	W 32-13	-7	+0.093
9	vs Falcons	W 24-23	-5.5	+0.013
10	@ Buccaneers	W 28-23	+2.5	+0.194
11	vs Jets	W 27-14	-12.5	+0.138
12	@ Bengals	W 26-20	-7.5	+0.023
13	vs Giants	W 33-15	-7	+0.150
15	vs Bills	L 31-35	+2.5	+0.230
16	@ Ravens	W 28-24	+3.5	+0.189
17	@ Jets	W 42-10	-12.5	+0.505
18	vs Dolphins	W 38-10	-14	+0.324
WC	vs Chargers	W 16-3	-3.5	-0.016
DIV	vs Texans	W 28-16	-3	-0.237
CON	@ Broncos	W 10-7	-3.5	-0.138
SB	vs Seahawks	L 13-29	+4.5	-0.296