AFC North · 2021

Cincinnati Bengals

Record

10-7

Seed

Net EPA

+0.057est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.063
Success rate44.6%
EPA / dropback+0.161
EPA / rush-0.094
Explosive rate9.5%
CPOE+5.14
Third-down rate40.1%
Red-zone TD rate71.5%
Points / drive2.38
Turnover rate1.8%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.014
Success rate allowed43.6%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.021
EPA / rush allowed-0.080
Explosive rate allowed9.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)18.5%
Sack rate5.8%
Points / drive allowed1.78

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.063 · 67th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.014 · 33th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-7

+4.5 vs line

Home

4-5

Away

6-2

As favorite

4-4

As dog

6-3

O/U

8-8-1

+3.1 vs total

Roster

82 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Jake Browning	QB	25	6'2" 209	2	Washington	DEV
8	Brandon Allen	QB	30	6'2" 209	5	Arkansas	ACT
9	Joe Burrow	QB	26	6'4" 216	1	Louisiana State	ACT

Backs & receivers21

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	21	6'0" 200	R	Louisiana State	ACT
11	Trent Taylor	WR	27	5'8" 181	4	Louisiana Tech	ACT
12	Pooka Williams	RB	22	5'10" 170	R	Kansas	DEV
14	Scotty Washington	TE	24	6'5" 225	1	Wake Forest	DEV
16	Trenton Irwin	WR	27	6'2" 207	2	Stanford	INA
17	Stanley Morgan	WR	26	6'0" 205	2	Nebraska	ACT
19	Auden Tate	WR	24	6'5" 228	3	Florida State	RES
25	Chris Evans	RB	25	5'11" 216	R	Michigan	ACT
28	Joe Mixon	RB	25	6'1" 220	4	Oklahoma	ACT
32	Trayveon Williams	RB	25	5'8" 206	2	Texas A&M	INA
33	Elijah Holyfield	RB	25	5'10" 215	2	Georgia	DEV
34	Samaje Perine	RB	27	5'11" 240	4	Oklahoma	ACT
41	Chris Myarick	TE	27	6'5" 255	2	Temple	DEV
80	Mike Thomas	WR	27	6'1" 189	5	Southern Mississippi	ACT
81	Thaddeus Moss	TE	23	6'3" 249	1	Louisiana State	DEV
83	Tyler Boyd	WR	28	6'2" 203	5	Pittsburgh	ACT
84	Mitchell Wilcox	TE	26	6'4" 245	1	South Florida	ACT
85	Tee Higgins	WR	22	6'4" 210	1	Clemson	ACT
86	Mason Schreck	TE	29	6'5" 252	4	Buffalo	DEV
87	C.J. Uzomah	TE	28	6'6" 260	6	Auburn	ACT
89	Drew Sample	TE	25	6'5" 259	2	Washington	ACT

Offensive line13

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Lamont Gaillard	OL	25	6'3" 305	2	Georgia	DEV
63	Trey Hill	OL	21	6'4" 330	R	Georgia	ACT
64	Keaton Sutherland	OL	24	6'5" 315	2	Texas A&M	DEV
66	Trey Hopkins	OL	29	6'3" 316	7	Texas	ACT
67	Quinton Spain	OL	30	6'4" 330	6	West Virginia	ACT
70	D'Ante Smith	OL	23	6'5" 274	R	East Carolina	ACT
71	Riley Reiff	OL	34	6'6" 305	9	Iowa	RES
72	Xavier Su'a-Filo	OL	30	6'4" 310	7	UCLA	DEV
73	Jonah Williams	OL	25	6'5" 305	2	Alabama	ACT
74	Fred Johnson	OL	24	6'6" 326	2	Florida	INA
75	Isaiah Prince	OL	24	6'7" 305	2	Ohio State	ACT
77	Hakeem Adeniji	OL	25	6'4" 300	1	Kansas	ACT
79	Jackson Carman	OL	21	6'5" 345	R	Clemson	ACT

Defensive front26

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Clay Johnston	LB	25	6'1" 232	1	Baylor	ACT
47	Keandre Jones	LB	25	6'3" 220	1	Maryland	ACT
48	Austin Calitro	LB	27	6'0" 240	4	Villanova	DEV
49	Joe Bachie	LB	23	6'2" 235	1	Michigan State	RES
50	Jordan Evans	LB	26	6'3" 242	4	Oklahoma	RES
51	Markus Bailey	LB	24	6'0" 240	1	Purdue	ACT
52	Noah Spence	DL	27	6'2" 251	5	Eastern Kentucky	DEV
55	Logan Wilson	LB	25	6'2" 250	1	Wyoming	ACT
56	Wyatt Hubert	DL	23	6'3" 270	R	Kansas State	RES
57	Germaine Pratt	LB	25	6'3" 245	2	North Carolina State	ACT
58	Joseph Ossai	DL	21	6'4" 253	R	Texas	RES
59	Akeem Davis-Gaither	LB	25	6'2" 215	1	Appalachian State	RES
62	Damion Square	DL	32	6'2" 293	8	Alabama	DEV
65	Larry Ogunjobi	DL	27	6'3" 305	4	North Carolina-Charlotte	RES
68	Josh Tupou	DL	27	6'3" 345	4	Colorado	ACT
69	Zach Kerr	DL	31	6'2" 334	7	Delaware	ACT
76	Mike Daniels	DL	32	6'0" 310	9	Iowa	INA
90	Khalid Kareem	DL	23	6'4" 265	1	Notre Dame	ACT
91	Trey Hendrickson	DL	28	6'4" 270	4	Florida Atlantic	ACT
92	B.J. Hill	DL	26	6'3" 311	3	North Carolina State	ACT
93	Wyatt Ray	DL	26	6'3" 255	2	Boston College	INA
94	Sam Hubbard	DL	26	6'5" 265	3	Ohio State	ACT
95	Renell Wren	DL	27	6'5" 315	2	Arizona State	DEV
96	Cameron Sample	DL	23	6'3" 280	R	Tulane	ACT
98	D.J. Reader	DL	27	6'3" 347	5	Clemson	ACT
99	Tyler Shelvin	DL	23	6'2" 346	R	Louisiana State	INA

Secondary15

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Eli Apple	DB	26	6'1" 203	5	Ohio State	ACT
21	Mike Hilton	DB	27	5'9" 184	5	Mississippi	ACT
22	Chidobe Awuzie	DB	26	6'0" 202	4	Colorado	ACT
23	Darius Phillips	DB	26	5'10" 190	3	Western Michigan	RES
24	Vonn Bell	DB	28	5'11" 205	5	Ohio State	ACT
26	Trae Waynes	DB	29	6'0" 190	6	Michigan State	ACT
29	Vernon Hargreaves	DB	26	5'10" 204	5	Florida	INA
30	Jessie Bates	DB	24	6'1" 200	3	Wake Forest	ACT
31	Michael Thomas	DB	31	5'11" 195	9	Stanford	ACT
33	Tre Flowers	DB	26	6'3" 203	3	Oklahoma State	ACT
35	Jalen Davis	DB	25	5'10" 185	3	Utah State	ACT
37	Ricardo Allen	DB	31	5'9" 186	7	Purdue	ACT
39	John Brannon	DB	23	6'0" 195	1	Western Carolina	DEV
40	Brandon Wilson	DB	27	5'10" 200	4	Houston	RES
41	Trayvon Henderson	DB	26	6'0" 205	3	Hawaii	DEV

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Evan McPherson	K	22	5'11" 185	R	Florida	ACT
10	Kevin Huber	P	36	6'1" 211	12	Cincinnati	ACT
46	Clark Harris	LS	37	6'5" 250	14	Rutgers	ACT
48	Dan Godsil	LS	25	6'3" 240	2	Indiana	RET

Schedule

21 games

Cincinnati Bengals schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Vikings	W 27-24	+3	+0.007
2	@ Bears	L 17-20	+2	-0.344
3	@ Steelers	W 24-10	+2.5	+0.083
4	vs Jaguars	W 24-21	-7.5	+0.288
5	vs Packers	L 22-25	+2	-0.030
6	@ Lions	W 34-11	-3.5	+0.216
7	@ Ravens	W 41-17	+6.5	+0.302
8	@ Jets	L 31-34	-11.5	+0.027
9	vs Browns	L 16-41	-2.5	-0.270
11	@ Raiders	W 32-13	-1	+0.078
12	vs Steelers	W 41-10	-3.5	+0.171
13	vs Chargers	L 22-41	-2.5	-0.317
14	vs 49ers	L 23-26	+2.5	+0.129
15	@ Broncos	W 15-10	+3	-0.031
16	vs Ravens	W 41-21	-7.5	+0.448
17	vs Chiefs	W 34-31	+3.5	+0.380
18	@ Browns	L 16-21	+6.5	-0.137
WC	vs Raiders	W 26-19	-6	+0.104
DIV	@ Titans	W 19-16	+4	-0.082
CON	@ Chiefs	W 27-24	+7	+0.084
SB	vs Rams	L 20-23	+4.5	-0.120